Arnaud Robert

Siyi Li, Arnaud Robert, A. Aldo Faisal et al.

This work proposes a novel data-driven model capable of providing accurate predictions for the power generation of all wind turbines in wind farms of arbitrary layout, yaw angle configurations and wind conditions. The proposed model functions by encoding a wind farm into a fully-connected graph and processing the graph representation through a graph transformer. The graph transformer surrogate is shown to generalise well and is able to uncover latent structural patterns within the graph representation of wind farms. It is demonstrated how the resulting surrogate model can be used to optimise yaw angle configurations using genetic algorithms, achieving similar levels of accuracy to industrially-standard wind farm simulation tools while only taking a fraction of the computational cost.

Felipe Tobar, Arnaud Robert, Jorge F. Silva

Let us consider the deconvolution problem, that is, to recover a latent source $x(\cdot)$ from the observations $\mathbf{y} = [y_1,\ldots,y_N]$ of a convolution process $y = x\star h + η$, where $η$ is an additive noise, the observations in $\mathbf{y}$ might have missing parts with respect to $y$, and the filter $h$ could be unknown. We propose a novel strategy to address this task when $x$ is a continuous-time signal: we adopt a Gaussian process (GP) prior on the source $x$, which allows for closed-form Bayesian nonparametric deconvolution. We first analyse the direct model to establish the conditions under which the model is well defined. Then, we turn to the inverse problem, where we study i) some necessary conditions under which Bayesian deconvolution is feasible, and ii) to which extent the filter $h$ can be learnt from data or approximated for the blind deconvolution case. The proposed approach, termed Gaussian process deconvolution (GPDC) is compared to other deconvolution methods conceptually, via illustrative examples, and using real-world datasets.

Elsa Cazelles, Arnaud Robert, Felipe Tobar

We propose the Wasserstein-Fourier (WF) distance to measure the (dis)similarity between time series by quantifying the displacement of their energy across frequencies. The WF distance operates by calculating the Wasserstein distance between the (normalised) power spectral densities (NPSD) of time series. Yet this rationale has been considered in the past, we fill a gap in the open literature providing a formal introduction of this distance, together with its main properties from the joint perspective of Fourier analysis and optimal transport. As the main aim of this work is to validate WF as a general-purpose metric for time series, we illustrate its applicability on three broad contexts. First, we rely on WF to implement a PCA-like dimensionality reduction for NPSDs which allows for meaningful visualisation and pattern recognition applications. Second, we show that the geometry induced by WF on the space of NPSDs admits a geodesic interpolant between time series, thus enabling data augmentation on the spectral domain, by averaging the dynamic content of two signals. Third, we implement WF for time series classification using parametric/non-parametric classifiers and compare it to other classical metrics. Supported on theoretical results, as well as synthetic illustrations and experiments on real-world data, this work establishes WF as a meaningful and capable resource pertinent to general distance-based applications of time series.