Gabriel Rodrigues Palma

Gabriel Rodrigues Palma, Conor Thornberry, Seán Commins et al.

Theta oscillations, ranging from 4-8 Hz, play a significant role in spatial learning and memory functions during navigation tasks. Frontal theta oscillations are thought to play an important role in spatial navigation and memory. Electroencephalography (EEG) datasets are very complex, making any changes in the neural signal related to behaviour difficult to interpret. However, multiple analytical methods are available to examine complex data structure, especially machine learning based techniques. These methods have shown high classification performance and the combination with feature engineering enhances the capability of these methods. This paper proposes using hidden Markov and linear mixed effects models to extract features from EEG data. Based on the engineered features obtained from frontal theta EEG data during a spatial navigation task in two key trials (first, last) and between two conditions (learner and non-learner), we analysed the performance of six machine learning methods (Polynomial Support Vector Machines, Non-linear Support Vector Machines, Random Forests, K-Nearest Neighbours, Ridge, and Deep Neural Networks) on classifying learner and non-learner participants. We also analysed how different standardisation methods used to pre-process the EEG data contribute to classification performance. We compared the classification performance of each trial with data gathered from the same subjects, including solely coordinate-based features, such as idle time and average speed. We found that more machine learning methods perform better classification using coordinate-based data. However, only deep neural networks achieved an area under the ROC curve higher than 80% using the theta EEG data alone. Our findings suggest that standardising the theta EEG data and using deep neural networks enhances the classification of learner and non-learner subjects in a spatial learning task.

Gabriel Rodrigues Palma, Mariusz Skoczeń, Phil Maguire

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and well-established financial markets using linear models and Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) with the aim of finding profitable opportunities. We used approximately six months of data consisting of minute candles from the Bitcoin, Pepecoin, and Nasdaq markets to derive and compare the proposed novel features with commonly used ones. These features were extracted based on the previous 59 minutes for each market and used to identify predictions for the hour ahead. We explored the performance of various machine learning strategies, such as Random Forests (RF) and K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN) to classify market movements. A naive random approach to selecting trading decisions was used as a benchmark, with outcomes assumed to be equally likely. We used a temporal cross-validation approach using test sets of 40%, 30% and 20% of total hours to evaluate the learning algorithms' performances. Our results showed that filtering the time series facilitates algorithms' generalisation. The GMM filtering approach revealed that the KNN and RF algorithms produced higher average returns than the random algorithm.