Jason Tang

Jason Tang, Stephen Law

Street-view perception models predict subjective attributes such as safety at scale, but remain correlational: they do not identify which localized visual changes would plausibly shift human judgement for a specific scene. We propose a lever-based interventional counterfactual framework that recasts scene-level explainability as a bounded search over structured counterfactual edits. Each lever specifies a semantic concept, spatial support, intervention direction, and constrained edit template. Candidate edits are generated through prompt-conditioned image editing and retained only if they satisfy validity checks for same-place preservation, locality, realism, and plausibility. In a pilot across 50 scenes from five cities, the framework reveals preliminary proxy-based directional patterns and a practical failure taxonomy under prompt-only editing, with Mobility Infrastructure and Physical Maintenance showing the largest auxiliary safety shifts. Human pairwise judgements remain the ground-truth endpoint for future validation.

Vivek Kaushik, Jason Tang

eBay partners with external vendors, which allows customers to freely select a vendor to complete their eBay experiences. However, vendor outages can hinder customer experiences. Consequently, eBay can disable a problematic vendor to prevent customer loss. Disabling the vendor too late risks losing customers willing to switch to other vendors, while disabling it too early risks losing those unwilling to switch. In this paper, we propose a data-driven solution to answer whether eBay should disable a problematic vendor and when to disable it. Our solution involves forecasting customer behavior. First, we use a multiplicative seasonality model to represent behavior if all vendors are fully functioning. Next, we use a Monte Carlo simulation to represent behavior if the problematic vendor remains enabled. Finally, we use a linear model to represent behavior if the vendor is disabled. By comparing these forecasts, we determine the optimal time for eBay to disable the problematic vendor.