Przemysław Biecek

Mateusz Krzyziński, Mikołaj Spytek, Hubert Baniecki et al.

Machine and deep learning survival models demonstrate similar or even improved time-to-event prediction capabilities compared to classical statistical learning methods yet are too complex to be interpreted by humans. Several model-agnostic explanations are available to overcome this issue; however, none directly explain the survival function prediction. In this paper, we introduce SurvSHAP(t), the first time-dependent explanation that allows for interpreting survival black-box models. It is based on SHapley Additive exPlanations with solid theoretical foundations and a broad adoption among machine learning practitioners. The proposed methods aim to enhance precision diagnostics and support domain experts in making decisions. Experiments on synthetic and medical data confirm that SurvSHAP(t) can detect variables with a time-dependent effect, and its aggregation is a better determinant of the importance of variables for a prediction than SurvLIME. SurvSHAP(t) is model-agnostic and can be applied to all models with functional output. We provide an accessible implementation of time-dependent explanations in Python at http://github.com/MI2DataLab/survshap.

Adrian Stando, Mustafa Cavus, Przemysław Biecek

Imbalanced data poses a significant challenge in classification as model performance is affected by insufficient learning from minority classes. Balancing methods are often used to address this problem. However, such techniques can lead to problems such as overfitting or loss of information. This study addresses a more challenging aspect of balancing methods - their impact on model behavior. To capture these changes, Explainable Artificial Intelligence tools are used to compare models trained on datasets before and after balancing. In addition to the variable importance method, this study uses the partial dependence profile and accumulated local effects techniques. Real and simulated datasets are tested, and an open-source Python package edgaro is developed to facilitate this analysis. The results obtained show significant changes in model behavior due to balancing methods, which can lead to biased models toward a balanced distribution. These findings confirm that balancing analysis should go beyond model performance comparisons to achieve higher reliability of machine learning models. Therefore, we propose a new method performance gain plot for informed data balancing strategy to make an optimal selection of balancing method by analyzing the measure of change in model behavior versus performance gain.

Piotr Komorowski, Hubert Baniecki, Przemysław Biecek

As deep learning models increasingly find applications in critical domains such as medical imaging, the need for transparent and trustworthy decision-making becomes paramount. Many explainability methods provide insights into how these models make predictions by attributing importance to input features. As Vision Transformer (ViT) becomes a promising alternative to convolutional neural networks for image classification, its interpretability remains an open research question. This paper investigates the performance of various interpretation methods on a ViT applied to classify chest X-ray images. We introduce the notion of evaluating faithfulness, sensitivity, and complexity of ViT explanations. The obtained results indicate that Layerwise relevance propagation for transformers outperforms Local interpretable model-agnostic explanations and Attention visualization, providing a more accurate and reliable representation of what a ViT has actually learned. Our findings provide insights into the applicability of ViT explanations in medical imaging and highlight the importance of using appropriate evaluation criteria for comparing them.

Mikołaj Spytek, Mateusz Krzyziński, Sophie Hanna Langbein et al.

Due to their flexibility and superior performance, machine learning models frequently complement and outperform traditional statistical survival models. However, their widespread adoption is hindered by a lack of user-friendly tools to explain their internal operations and prediction rationales. To tackle this issue, we introduce the survex R package, which provides a cohesive framework for explaining any survival model by applying explainable artificial intelligence techniques. The capabilities of the proposed software encompass understanding and diagnosing survival models, which can lead to their improvement. By revealing insights into the decision-making process, such as variable effects and importances, survex enables the assessment of model reliability and the detection of biases. Thus, transparency and responsibility may be promoted in sensitive areas, such as biomedical research and healthcare applications.

Mustafa Cavus, Przemysław Biecek

The expected goal provides a more representative measure of the team and player performance which also suit the low-scoring nature of football instead of score in modern football. The score of a match involves randomness and often may not represent the performance of the teams and players, therefore it has been popular to use the alternative statistics in recent years such as shots on target, ball possessions, and drills. To measure the probability of a shot being a goal by the expected goal, several features are used to train an expected goal model which is based on the event and tracking football data. The selection of these features, the size and date of the data, and the model which are used as the parameters that may affect the performance of the model. Using black-box machine learning models for increasing the predictive performance of the model decreases its interpretability that causes the loss of information that can be gathered from the model. This paper proposes an accurate expected goal model trained consisting of 315,430 shots from seven seasons between 2014-15 and 2020-21 of the top-five European football leagues. Moreover, this model is explained by using explainable artificial intelligence tool to obtain an explainable expected goal model for evaluating a team or player performance. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first paper that demonstrates a practical application of an explainable artificial intelligence tool aggregated profiles to explain a group of observations on an accurate expected goal model for monitoring the team and player performance. Moreover, these methods can be generalized to other sports branches.

Katarzyna Kobylińska, Mateusz Krzyziński, Rafał Machowicz et al.

The machine learning modeling process conventionally culminates in selecting a single model that maximizes a selected performance metric. However, this approach leads to abandoning a more profound analysis of slightly inferior models. Particularly in medical and healthcare studies, where the objective extends beyond predictions to valuable insight generation, relying solely on a single model can result in misleading or incomplete conclusions. This problem is particularly pertinent when dealing with a set of models known as $\textit{Rashomon set}$, with performance close to maximum one. Such a set can be numerous and may contain models describing the data in a different way, which calls for comprehensive analysis. This paper introduces a novel process to explore models in the Rashomon set, extending the conventional modeling approach. We propose the $\texttt{Rashomon_DETECT}$ algorithm to detect models with different behavior. It is based on recent developments in the eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) field. To quantify differences in variable effects among models, we introduce the Profile Disparity Index (PDI) based on measures from functional data analysis. To illustrate the effectiveness of our approach, we showcase its application in predicting survival among hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) patients - a foundational case study. Additionally, we benchmark our approach on other medical data sets, demonstrating its versatility and utility in various contexts. If differently behaving models are detected in the Rashomon set, their combined analysis leads to more trustworthy conclusions, which is of vital importance for high-stakes applications such as medical applications.

Katarzyna Woźnica, Piotr Wilczyński, Przemysław Biecek

Machine learning applications cover a wide range of predictive tasks in which tabular datasets play a significant role. However, although they often address similar problems, tabular datasets are typically treated as standalone tasks. The possibilities of using previously solved problems are limited due to the lack of structured contextual information about their features and the lack of understanding of the relations between them. To overcome this limitation, we propose a new approach called Semantic Feature Net (SeFNet), capturing the semantic meaning of the analyzed tabular features. By leveraging existing ontologies and domain knowledge, SeFNet opens up new opportunities for sharing insights between diverse predictive tasks. One such opportunity is the Dataset Ontology-based Semantic Similarity (DOSS) measure, which quantifies the similarity between datasets using relations across their features. In this paper, we present an example of SeFNet prepared for a collection of predictive tasks in healthcare, with the features' relations derived from the SNOMED-CT ontology. The proposed SeFNet framework and the accompanying DOSS measure address the issue of limited contextual information in tabular datasets. By incorporating domain knowledge and establishing semantic relations between features, we enhance the potential for meta-learning and enable valuable insights to be shared across different predictive tasks.

Artur Żółkowski, Mateusz Krzyziński, Piotr Wilczyński et al.

The number of standardized policy documents regarding climate policy and their publication frequency is significantly increasing. The documents are long and tedious for manual analysis, especially for policy experts, lawmakers, and citizens who lack access or domain expertise to utilize data analytics tools. Potential consequences of such a situation include reduced citizen governance and involvement in climate policies and an overall surge in analytics costs, rendering less accessibility for the public. In this work, we use a Latent Dirichlet Allocation-based pipeline for the automatic summarization and analysis of 10-years of national energy and climate plans (NECPs) for the period from 2021 to 2030, established by 27 Member States of the European Union. We focus on analyzing policy framing, the language used to describe specific issues, to detect essential nuances in the way governments frame their climate policies and achieve climate goals. The methods leverage topic modeling and clustering for the comparative analysis of policy documents across different countries. It allows for easier integration in potential user-friendly applications for the development of theories and processes of climate policy. This would further lead to better citizen governance and engagement over climate policies and public policy research.

Weronika Hryniewska-Guzik, Maria Kędzierska, Przemysław Biecek

Lung cancer and covid-19 have one of the highest morbidity and mortality rates in the world. For physicians, the identification of lesions is difficult in the early stages of the disease and time-consuming. Therefore, multi-task learning is an approach to extracting important features, such as lesions, from small amounts of medical data because it learns to generalize better. We propose a novel multi-task framework for classification, segmentation, reconstruction, and detection. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first ones who added detection to the multi-task solution. Additionally, we checked the possibility of using two different backbones and different loss functions in the segmentation task.

Piotr Wilczyński, Artur Żółkowski, Mateusz Krzyziński et al.

This paper introduces HADES, a novel tool for automatic comparative documents with similar structures. HADES is designed to streamline the work of professionals dealing with large volumes of documents, such as policy documents, legal acts, and scientific papers. The tool employs a multi-step pipeline that begins with processing PDF documents using topic modeling, summarization, and analysis of the most important words for each topic. The process concludes with an interactive web app with visualizations that facilitate the comparison of the documents. HADES has the potential to significantly improve the productivity of professionals dealing with high volumes of documents, reducing the time and effort required to complete tasks related to comparative document analysis. Our package is publically available on GitHub.

Jakub Grzywaczewski, Dawid Płudowski, Przemysław Biecek

Contrastively pre-trained Vision-Language Models (VLMs) serve as powerful feature extractors. Yet, their shared latent spaces are prone to structural anomalies and act as repositories for non-semantic, multi-modal noise. To address this phenomenon, we employ spectral decomposition of covariance matrices to decompose the VLM latent space into a multi-modal semantic signal component and a shared noise subspace. We observe that this noise geometry exhibits strong subgroup invariance across distinct data subsets. Crucially, pruning these shared noise dimensions is mainly harmless, preserving or actively improving downstream task performance. By isolating true semantic signals from artifactual noise, this work provides new mechanistic insights into the representational structure of modern VLMs, suggesting that a substantial fraction of their latent geometry is governed by shared, architecture-level noise rather than task-relevant semantics alone.

Weronika Hryniewska, Adrianna Grudzień, Przemysław Biecek

The increased interest in deep learning applications, and their hard-to-detect biases result in the need to validate and explain complex models. However, current explanation methods are limited as far as both the explanation of the reasoning process and prediction results are concerned. They usually only show the location in the image that was important for model prediction. The lack of possibility to interact with explanations makes it difficult to verify and understand exactly how the model works. This creates a significant risk when using the model. The risk is compounded by the fact that explanations do not take into account the semantic meaning of the explained objects. To escape from the trap of static and meaningless explanations, we propose a tool and a process called LIMEcraft. LIMEcraft enhances the process of explanation by allowing a user to interactively select semantically consistent areas and thoroughly examine the prediction for the image instance in case of many image features. Experiments on several models show that our tool improves model safety by inspecting model fairness for image pieces that may indicate model bias. The code is available at: http://github.com/MI2DataLab/LIMEcraft

Mustafa Cavus, Przemysław Biecek

Predictive models may generate biased predictions when classifying imbalanced datasets. This happens when the model favors the majority class, leading to low performance in accurately predicting the minority class. To address this issue, balancing or resampling methods are critical data-centric AI approaches in the modeling process to improve prediction performance. However, there have been debates and questions about the functionality of these methods in recent years. In particular, many candidate models may exhibit very similar predictive performance, called the Rashomon effect, in model selection, and they may even produce different predictions for the same observations. Selecting one of these models without considering the predictive multiplicity -- which is the case of yielding conflicting models' predictions for any sample -- can result in blind selection. In this paper, the impact of balancing methods on predictive multiplicity is examined using the Rashomon effect. It is crucial because the blind model selection in data-centric AI is risky from a set of approximately equally accurate models. This may lead to severe problems in model selection, validation, and explanation. To tackle this matter, we conducted real dataset experiments to observe the impact of balancing methods on predictive multiplicity through the Rashomon effect by using a newly proposed metric obscurity in addition to the existing ones: ambiguity and discrepancy. Our findings showed that balancing methods inflate the predictive multiplicity and yield varying results. To monitor the trade-off between the prediction performance and predictive multiplicity for conducting the modeling process responsibly, we proposed using the extended version of the performance-gain plot when balancing the training data.

Bartlomiej Sobieski, Przemysław Biecek

Despite increasing progress in development of methods for generating visual counterfactual explanations, especially with the recent rise of Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models, previous works consider them as an entirely local technique. In this work, we take the first step at globalizing them. Specifically, we discover that the latent space of Diffusion Autoencoders encodes the inference process of a given classifier in the form of global directions. We propose a novel proxy-based approach that discovers two types of these directions with the use of only single image in an entirely black-box manner. Precisely, g-directions allow for flipping the decision of a given classifier on an entire dataset of images, while h-directions further increase the diversity of explanations. We refer to them in general as Global Counterfactual Directions (GCDs). Moreover, we show that GCDs can be naturally combined with Latent Integrated Gradients resulting in a new black-box attribution method, while simultaneously enhancing the understanding of counterfactual explanations. We validate our approach on existing benchmarks and show that it generalizes to real-world use-cases.

Wiktoria Mieleszczenko-Kowszewicz, Dawid Płudowski, Filip Kołodziejczyk et al.

This study explores how the Large Language Models (LLMs) adjust linguistic features to create personalized persuasive outputs. While research showed that LLMs personalize outputs, a gap remains in understanding the linguistic features of their persuasive capabilities. We identified 13 linguistic features crucial for influencing personalities across different levels of the Big Five model of personality. We analyzed how prompts with personality trait information influenced the output of 19 LLMs across five model families. The findings show that models use more anxiety-related words for neuroticism, increase achievement-related words for conscientiousness, and employ fewer cognitive processes words for openness to experience. Some model families excel at adapting language for openness to experience, others for conscientiousness, while only one model adapts language for neuroticism. Our findings show how LLMs tailor responses based on personality cues in prompts, indicating their potential to create persuasive content affecting the mind and well-being of the recipients.

Sophie Hanna Langbein, Mateusz Krzyziński, Mikołaj Spytek et al.

With the spread and rapid advancement of black box machine learning models, the field of interpretable machine learning (IML) or explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) has become increasingly important over the last decade. This is particularly relevant for survival analysis, where the adoption of IML techniques promotes transparency, accountability and fairness in sensitive areas, such as clinical decision making processes, the development of targeted therapies, interventions or in other medical or healthcare related contexts. More specifically, explainability can uncover a survival model's potential biases and limitations and provide more mathematically sound ways to understand how and which features are influential for prediction or constitute risk factors. However, the lack of readily available IML methods may have deterred medical practitioners and policy makers in public health from leveraging the full potential of machine learning for predicting time-to-event data. We present a comprehensive review of the limited existing amount of work on IML methods for survival analysis within the context of the general IML taxonomy. In addition, we formally detail how commonly used IML methods, such as such as individual conditional expectation (ICE), partial dependence plots (PDP), accumulated local effects (ALE), different feature importance measures or Friedman's H-interaction statistics can be adapted to survival outcomes. An application of several IML methods to real data on data on under-5 year mortality of Ghanaian children from the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program serves as a tutorial or guide for researchers, on how to utilize the techniques in practice to facilitate understanding of model decisions or predictions.

Weronika Hryniewska-Guzik, Jakub Bilski, Bartosz Chrostowski et al.

Robust and highly accurate lung segmentation in X-rays is crucial in medical imaging. This study evaluates deep learning solutions for this task, ranking existing methods and analyzing their performance under diverse image modifications. Out of 61 analyzed papers, only nine offered implementation or pre-trained models, enabling assessment of three prominent methods: Lung VAE, TransResUNet, and CE-Net. The analysis revealed that CE-Net performs best, demonstrating the highest values in dice similarity coefficient and intersection over union metric.

Stanisław Giziński, Paulina Kaczyńska, Hubert Ruczyński et al.

There exists a growing discourse around the domination of Big Tech on the landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) research, yet our comprehension of this phenomenon remains cursory. This paper aims to broaden and deepen our understanding of Big Tech's reach and power within AI research. It highlights the dominance not merely in terms of sheer publication volume but rather in the propagation of new ideas or memes. Current studies often oversimplify the concept of influence to the share of affiliations in academic papers, typically sourced from limited databases such as arXiv or specific academic conferences. The main goal of this paper is to unravel the specific nuances of such influence, determining which AI ideas are predominantly driven by Big Tech entities. By employing network and memetic analysis on AI-oriented paper abstracts and their citation network, we are able to grasp a deeper insight into this phenomenon. By utilizing two databases: OpenAlex and S2ORC, we are able to perform such analysis on a much bigger scale than previous attempts. Our findings suggest that while Big Tech-affiliated papers are disproportionately more cited in some areas, the most cited papers are those affiliated with both Big Tech and Academia. Focusing on the most contagious memes, their attribution to specific affiliation groups (Big Tech, Academia, mixed affiliation) seems equally distributed between those three groups. This suggests that the notion of Big Tech domination over AI research is oversimplified in the discourse.

Dawid Płudowski, Francesco Spinnato, Piotr Wilczyński et al.

Counterfactual explanations provide an intuitive way to understand model decisions by identifying minimal changes required to alter an outcome. However, applying counterfactual methods to time series models remains challenging due to temporal dependencies, high dimensionality, and the lack of an intuitive human-interpretable representation. We introduce MASCOTS, a method that leverages the Bag-of-Receptive-Fields representation alongside symbolic transformations inspired by Symbolic Aggregate Approximation. By operating in a symbolic feature space, it enhances interpretability while preserving fidelity to the original data and model. Unlike existing approaches that either depend on model structure or autoencoder-based sampling, MASCOTS directly generates meaningful and diverse counterfactual observations in a model-agnostic manner, operating on both univariate and multivariate data. We evaluate MASCOTS on univariate and multivariate benchmark datasets, demonstrating comparable validity, proximity, and plausibility to state-of-the-art methods, while significantly improving interpretability and sparsity. Its symbolic nature allows for explanations that can be expressed visually, in natural language, or through semantic representations, making counterfactual reasoning more accessible and actionable.

Weronika Hryniewska-Guzik, Bartosz Sawicki, Przemysław Biecek

This paper presents a comprehensive comparative analysis of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) ensembling methods. Our research brings three significant contributions. Firstly, we introduce a novel ensembling method, NormEnsembleXAI, that leverages minimum, maximum, and average functions in conjunction with normalization techniques to enhance interpretability. Secondly, we offer insights into the strengths and weaknesses of XAI ensemble methods. Lastly, we provide a library, facilitating the practical implementation of XAI ensembling, thus promoting the adoption of transparent and interpretable deep learning models.

Weronika Hryniewska-Guzik, Luca Longo, Przemysław Biecek

Explainable Artificial Intelligence has gained significant attention due to the widespread use of complex deep learning models in high-stake domains such as medicine, finance, and autonomous cars. However, different explanations often present different aspects of the model's behavior. In this research manuscript, we explore the potential of ensembling explanations generated by deep classification models using convolutional model. Through experimentation and analysis, we aim to investigate the implications of combining explanations to uncover a more coherent and reliable patterns of the model's behavior, leading to the possibility of evaluating the representation learned by the model. With our method, we can uncover problems of under-representation of images in a certain class. Moreover, we discuss other side benefits like features' reduction by replacing the original image with its explanations resulting in the removal of some sensitive information. Through the use of carefully selected evaluation metrics from the Quantus library, we demonstrated the method's superior performance in terms of Localisation and Faithfulness, compared to individual explanations.

Mustafa Cavus, Katarzyna Woźnica, Przemysław Biecek

This paper investigates the critical role of hyperparameters in predictive multiplicity, where different machine learning models trained on the same dataset yield divergent predictions for identical inputs. These inconsistencies can seriously impact high-stakes decisions such as credit assessments, hiring, and medical diagnoses. Focusing on six widely used models for tabular data - Elastic Net, Decision Tree, k-Nearest Neighbor, Support Vector Machine, Random Forests, and Extreme Gradient Boosting - we explore how hyperparameter tuning influences predictive multiplicity, as expressed by the distribution of prediction discrepancies across benchmark datasets. Key hyperparameters such as lambda in Elastic Net, gamma in Support Vector Machines, and alpha in Extreme Gradient Boosting play a crucial role in shaping predictive multiplicity, often compromising the stability of predictions within specific algorithms. Our experiments on 21 benchmark datasets reveal that tuning these hyperparameters leads to notable performance improvements but also increases prediction discrepancies, with Extreme Gradient Boosting exhibiting the highest discrepancy and substantial prediction instability. This highlights the trade-off between performance optimization and prediction consistency, raising concerns about the risk of arbitrary predictions. These findings provide insight into how hyperparameter optimization leads to predictive multiplicity. While predictive multiplicity allows prioritizing domain-specific objectives such as fairness and reduces reliance on a single model, it also complicates decision-making, potentially leading to arbitrary or unjustified outcomes.

Paulina Tomaszewska, Przemysław Biecek

Does the stethoscope in the picture make the adjacent person a doctor or a patient? This, of course, depends on the contextual relationship of the two objects. If it's obvious, why don't explanation methods for vision models use contextual information? In this paper, we (1) review the most popular methods of explaining computer vision models by pointing out that they do not take into account context information, (2) show examples of failures of popular XAI methods, (3) provide examples of real-world use cases where spatial context plays a significant role, (4) propose new research directions that may lead to better use of context information in explaining computer vision models, (5) argue that a change in approach to explanations is needed from 'where' to 'how'.

Wiktoria Mieleszczenko-Kowszewicz, Beata Bajcar, Jolanta Babiak et al.

Be careful what you ask for, you just might get it. This saying fits with the way large language models (LLMs) are trained, which, instead of being rewarded for correctness, are increasingly rewarded for pleasing the recipient. So, they are increasingly effective at persuading us that their answers are valuable. But what tricks do they use in this persuasion? In this study, we examine what are the psycholinguistic features of the responses used by twelve different language models. By grouping response content according to rational or emotional prompts and exploring social influence principles employed by LLMs, we ask whether and how we can mitigate the risks of LLM-driven mass misinformation. We position this study within the broader discourse on human-centred AI, emphasizing the need for interdisciplinary approaches to mitigate cognitive and societal risks posed by persuasive AI responses.

Mustafa Cavus, Jan N. van Rijn, Przemysław Biecek

Automated machine learning systems efficiently streamline model selection but often focus on a single best-performing model, overlooking explanation uncertainty, an essential concern in human centered explainable AI. To address this, we propose a novel framework that incorporates model multiplicity into explanation generation by aggregating partial dependence profiles (PDP) from a set of near optimal models, known as the Rashomon set. The resulting Rashomon PDP captures interpretive variability and highlights areas of disagreement, providing users with a richer, uncertainty aware view of feature effects. To evaluate its usefulness, we introduce two quantitative metrics, the coverage rate and the mean width of confidence intervals, to evaluate the consistency between the standard PDP and the proposed Rashomon PDP. Experiments on 35 regression datasets from the OpenML CTR23 benchmark suite show that in most cases, the Rashomon PDP covers less than 70% of the best model's PDP, underscoring the limitations of single model explanations. Our findings suggest that Rashomon PDP improves the reliability and trustworthiness of model interpretations by adding additional information that would otherwise be neglected. This is particularly useful in high stakes domains where transparency and confidence are critical.

Agata Kaczmarek, Dawid Płudowski, Piotr Wilczyński et al.

The "Fake or Real" competition hosted on Kaggle (https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/fake-or-real-the-impostor-hunt ) is the second part of a series of follow-up competitions and hackathons related to the "Assurance for Space Domain AI Applications" project funded by the European Space Agency (https://assurance-ai.space-codev.org/ ). The competition idea is based on two real-life AI security threats identified within the project -- data poisoning and overreliance in Large Language Models. The task is to distinguish between the proper output from LLM and the output generated under malicious modification of the LLM. As this problem was not extensively researched, participants are required to develop new techniques to address this issue or adjust already existing ones to this problem's statement.

Krzysztof Kotowski, Ramez Shendy, Jakub Nalepa et al.

This competition hosted on Kaggle (https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/trojan-horse-hunt-in-space) is the first part of a series of follow-up competitions and hackathons related to the "Assurance for Space Domain AI Applications" project funded by the European Space Agency (https://assurance-ai.space-codev.org/). The competition idea is based on one of the real-life AI security threats identified within the project -- the adversarial poisoning of continuously fine-tuned satellite telemetry forecasting models. The task is to develop methods for finding and reconstructing triggers (trojans) in advanced models for satellite telemetry forecasting used in safety-critical space operations. Participants are provided with 1) a large public dataset of real-life multivariate satellite telemetry (without triggers), 2) a reference model trained on the clean data, 3) a set of poisoned neural hierarchical interpolation (N-HiTS) models for time series forecasting trained on the dataset with injected triggers, and 4) Jupyter notebook with the training pipeline and baseline algorithm (the latter will be published in the last month of the competition). The main task of the competition is to reconstruct a set of 45 triggers (i.e., short multivariate time series segments) injected into the training data of the corresponding set of 45 poisoned models. The exact characteristics (i.e., shape, amplitude, and duration) of these triggers must be identified by participants. The popular Neural Cleanse method is adopted as a baseline, but it is not designed for time series analysis and new approaches are necessary for the task. The impact of the competition is not limited to the space domain, but also to many other safety-critical applications of advanced time series analysis where model poisoning may lead to serious consequences.

Paulina Tomaszewska, Mateusz Sperkowski, Przemysław Biecek

The development of Artificial Intelligence for healthcare is of great importance. Models can sometimes achieve even superior performance to human experts, however, they can reason based on spurious features. This is not acceptable to the experts as it is expected that the models catch the valid patterns in the data following domain expertise. In the work, we analyse whether Deep Learning (DL) models for vision follow the histopathologists' practice so that when diagnosing a part of a lesion, they take into account also the surrounding tissues which serve as context. It turns out that the performance of DL models significantly decreases when the amount of contextual information is limited, therefore contextual information is valuable at prediction time. Moreover, we show that the models sometimes behave in an unstable way as for some images, they change the predictions many times depending on the size of the context. It may suggest that partial contextual information can be misleading.

Przemysław Bombiński, Patryk Szatkowski, Bartłomiej Sobieski et al.

Lung mask creation lacks well-defined criteria and standardized guidelines, leading to a high degree of subjectivity between annotators. In this study, we assess the underestimation of lung regions on chest X-ray segmentation masks created according to the current state-of-the-art method, by comparison with total lung volume evaluated on computed tomography (CT). We show, that lung X-ray masks created by following the contours of the heart, mediastinum, and diaphragm significantly underestimate lung regions and exclude substantial portions of the lungs from further assessment, which may result in numerous clinical errors.

Paulina Tomaszewska, Elżbieta Sienkiewicz, Mai P. Hoang et al.

We propose 'Deep spatial context' (DSCon) method, which serves for investigation of the attention-based vision models using the concept of spatial context. It was inspired by histopathologists, however, the method can be applied to various domains. The DSCon allows for a quantitative measure of the spatial context's role using three Spatial Context Measures: $SCM_{features}$, $SCM_{targets}$, $SCM_{residuals}$ to distinguish whether the spatial context is observable within the features of neighboring regions, their target values (attention scores) or residuals, respectively. It is achieved by integrating spatial regression into the pipeline. The DSCon helps to verify research questions. The experiments reveal that spatial relationships are much bigger in the case of the classification of tumor lesions than normal tissues. Moreover, it turns out that the larger the size of the neighborhood taken into account within spatial regression, the less valuable contextual information is. Furthermore, it is observed that the spatial context measure is the largest when considered within the feature space as opposed to the targets and residuals.

Weronika Hryniewska, Piotr Czarnecki, Jakub Wiśniewski et al.

Prevention is better than cure. This old truth applies not only to the prevention of diseases but also to the prevention of issues with AI models used in medicine. The source of malfunctioning of predictive models often lies not in the training process but reaches the data acquisition phase or design of the experiment phase. In this paper, we analyze in detail a single use case - a Kaggle competition related to the detection of abnormalities in X-ray lung images. We demonstrate how a series of simple tests for data imbalance exposes faults in the data acquisition and annotation process. Complex models are able to learn such artifacts and it is difficult to remove this bias during or after the training. Errors made at the data collection stage make it difficult to validate the model correctly. Based on this use case, we show how to monitor data and model balance (fairness) throughout the life cycle of a predictive model, from data acquisition to parity analysis of model scores.

Katarzyna Woźnica, Mateusz Grzyb, Zuzanna Trafas et al.

For many machine learning models, a choice of hyperparameters is a crucial step towards achieving high performance. Prevalent meta-learning approaches focus on obtaining good hyperparameters configurations with a limited computational budget for a completely new task based on the results obtained from the prior tasks. This paper proposes a new formulation of the tuning problem, called consolidated learning, more suited to practical challenges faced by model developers, in which a large number of predictive models are created on similar data sets. In such settings, we are interested in the total optimization time rather than tuning for a single task. We show that a carefully selected static portfolio of hyperparameters yields good results for anytime optimization, maintaining ease of use and implementation. Moreover, we point out how to construct such a portfolio for specific domains. The improvement in the optimization is possible due to more efficient transfer of hyperparameter configurations between similar tasks. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach through an empirical study for XGBoost algorithm and the collection of predictive tasks extracted from the MIMIC-IV medical database; however, consolidated learning is applicable in many others fields.

Stanisław Gizinski, Michał Kuzba, Bartosz Pielinski et al.

The growing number of AI applications, also for high-stake decisions, increases the interest in Explainable and Interpretable Machine Learning (XI-ML). This trend can be seen both in the increasing number of regulations and strategies for developing trustworthy AI and the growing number of scientific papers dedicated to this topic. To ensure the sustainable development of AI, it is essential to understand the dynamics of the impact of regulation on research papers as well as the impact of scientific discourse on AI-related policies. This paper introduces a novel framework for joint analysis of AI-related policy documents and eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) research papers. The collected documents are enriched with metadata and interconnections, using various NLP methods combined with a methodology inspired by Institutional Grammar. Based on the information extracted from collected documents, we showcase a series of analyses that help understand interactions, similarities, and differences between documents at different stages of institutionalization. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to use automatic language analysis tools to understand the dynamics between XI-ML methods and regulations. We believe that such a system contributes to better cooperation between XAI researchers and AI policymakers.

Katarzyna Woźnica, Katarzyna Pękala, Hubert Baniecki et al.

The increasing number of regulations and expectations of predictive machine learning models, such as so called right to explanation, has led to a large number of methods promising greater interpretability. High demand has led to a widespread adoption of XAI techniques like Shapley values, Partial Dependence profiles or permutational variable importance. However, we still do not know enough about their properties and how they manifest in the context in which explanations are created by analysts, reviewed by auditors, and interpreted by various stakeholders. This paper highlights a blind spot which, although critical, is often overlooked when monitoring and auditing machine learning models: the effect of the reference data on the explanation calculation. We discuss that many model explanations depend directly or indirectly on the choice of the referenced data distribution. We showcase examples where small changes in the distribution lead to drastic changes in the explanations, such as a change in trend or, alarmingly, a conclusion. Consequently, we postulate that obtaining robust and useful explanations always requires supporting them with a broader context.

Tomasz Stanisławek, Filip Graliński, Anna Wróblewska et al.

The relevance of the Key Information Extraction (KIE) task is increasingly important in natural language processing problems. But there are still only a few well-defined problems that serve as benchmarks for solutions in this area. To bridge this gap, we introduce two new datasets (Kleister NDA and Kleister Charity). They involve a mix of scanned and born-digital long formal English-language documents. In these datasets, an NLP system is expected to find or infer various types of entities by employing both textual and structural layout features. The Kleister Charity dataset consists of 2,788 annual financial reports of charity organizations, with 61,643 unique pages and 21,612 entities to extract. The Kleister NDA dataset has 540 Non-disclosure Agreements, with 3,229 unique pages and 2,160 entities to extract. We provide several state-of-the-art baseline systems from the KIE domain (Flair, BERT, RoBERTa, LayoutLM, LAMBERT), which show that our datasets pose a strong challenge to existing models. The best model achieved an 81.77% and an 83.57% F1-score on respectively the Kleister NDA and the Kleister Charity datasets. We share the datasets to encourage progress on more in-depth and complex information extraction tasks.

Przemysław Biecek, Marcin Chlebus, Janusz Gajda et al.

Rapid development of advanced modelling techniques gives an opportunity to develop tools that are more and more accurate. However as usually, everything comes with a price and in this case, the price to pay is to loose interpretability of a model while gaining on its accuracy and precision. For managers to control and effectively manage credit risk and for regulators to be convinced with model quality the price to pay is too high. In this paper, we show how to take credit scoring analytics in to the next level, namely we present comparison of various predictive models (logistic regression, logistic regression with weight of evidence transformations and modern artificial intelligence algorithms) and show that advanced tree based models give best results in prediction of client default. What is even more important and valuable we also show how to boost advanced models using techniques which allow to interpret them and made them more accessible for credit risk practitioners, resolving the crucial obstacle in widespread deployment of more complex, 'black box' models like random forests, gradient boosted or extreme gradient boosted trees. All this will be shown on the large dataset obtained from the Polish Credit Bureau to which all the banks and most of the lending companies in the country do report the credit files. In this paper the data from lending companies were used. The paper then compares state of the art best practices in credit risk modelling with new advanced modern statistical tools boosted by the latest developments in the field of interpretability and explainability of artificial intelligence algorithms. We believe that this is a valuable contribution when it comes to presentation of different modelling tools but what is even more important it is showing which methods might be used to get insight and understanding of AI methods in credit risk context.

Jakub Wiśniewski, Przemysław Biecek

Machine learning decision systems are getting omnipresent in our lives. From dating apps to rating loan seekers, algorithms affect both our well-being and future. Typically, however, these systems are not infallible. Moreover, complex predictive models are really eager to learn social biases present in historical data that can lead to increasing discrimination. If we want to create models responsibly then we need tools for in-depth validation of models also from the perspective of potential discrimination. This article introduces an R package fairmodels that helps to validate fairness and eliminate bias in classification models in an easy and flexible fashion. The fairmodels package offers a model-agnostic approach to bias detection, visualization and mitigation. The implemented set of functions and fairness metrics enables model fairness validation from different perspectives. The package includes a series of methods for bias mitigation that aim to diminish the discrimination in the model. The package is designed not only to examine a single model, but also to facilitate comparisons between multiple models.

Weronika Hryniewska, Przemysław Bombiński, Patryk Szatkowski et al.

The sudden outbreak and uncontrolled spread of COVID-19 disease is one of the most important global problems today. In a short period of time, it has led to the development of many deep neural network models for COVID-19 detection with modules for explainability. In this work, we carry out a systematic analysis of various aspects of proposed models. Our analysis revealed numerous mistakes made at different stages of data acquisition, model development, and explanation construction. In this work, we overview the approaches proposed in the surveyed Machine Learning articles and indicate typical errors emerging from the lack of deep understanding of the radiography domain. We present the perspective of both: experts in the field - radiologists and deep learning engineers dealing with model explanations. The final result is a proposed checklist with the minimum conditions to be met by a reliable COVID-19 diagnostic model.

Wojciech Kretowicz, Przemysław Biecek

Finding optimal hyperparameters for the machine learning algorithm can often significantly improve its performance. But how to choose them in a time-efficient way? In this paper we present the protocol of generating benchmark data describing the performance of different ML algorithms with different hyperparameter configurations. Data collected in this way is used to study the factors influencing the algorithm's performance. This collection was prepared for the purposes of the study presented in the EPP study. We tested algorithms performance on dense grid of hyperparameters. Tested datasets and hyperparameters were chosen before any algorithm has run and were not changed. This is a different approach than the one usually used in hyperparameter tuning, where the selection of candidate hyperparameters depends on the results obtained previously. However, such selection allows for systematic analysis of performance sensitivity from individual hyperparameters. This resulted in a comprehensive dataset of such benchmarks that we would like to share. We hope, that computed and collected result may be helpful for other researchers. This paper describes the way data was collected. Here you can find benchmarks of 7 popular machine learning algorithms on 39 OpenML datasets. The detailed data forming this benchmark are available at: https://www.kaggle.com/mi2datalab/mementoml.

Katarzyna Woźnica, Przemysław Biecek

Incomplete data are common in practical applications. Most predictive machine learning models do not handle missing values so they require some preprocessing. Although many algorithms are used for data imputation, we do not understand the impact of the different methods on the predictive models' performance. This paper is first that systematically evaluates the empirical effectiveness of data imputation algorithms for predictive models. The main contributions are (1) the recommendation of a general method for empirical benchmarking based on real-life classification tasks and the (2) comparative analysis of different imputation methods for a collection of data sets and a collection of ML algorithms.

Alicja Gosiewska, Katarzyna Woźnica, Przemysław Biecek

Benchmarks for the evaluation of model performance play an important role in machine learning. However, there is no established way to describe and create new benchmarks. What is more, the most common benchmarks use performance measures that share several limitations. For example, the difference in performance for two models has no probabilistic interpretation, there is no reference point to indicate whether they represent a significant improvement, and it makes no sense to compare such differences between data sets. We introduce a new meta-score assessment named Elo-based Predictive Power (EPP) that is built on top of other performance measures and allows for interpretable comparisons of models. The differences in EPP scores have a probabilistic interpretation and can be directly compared between data sets, furthermore, the logistic regression-based design allows for an assessment of ranking fitness based on a deviance statistic. We prove the mathematical properties of EPP and support them with empirical results of a large scale benchmark on 30 classification data sets and a real-world benchmark for visual data. Additionally, we propose a Unified Benchmark Ontology that is used to give a uniform description of benchmarks.

Filip Graliński, Tomasz Stanisławek, Anna Wróblewska et al.

State-of-the-art solutions for Natural Language Processing (NLP) are able to capture a broad range of contexts, like the sentence-level context or document-level context for short documents. But these solutions are still struggling when it comes to longer, real-world documents with the information encoded in the spatial structure of the document, such as page elements like tables, forms, headers, openings or footers; complex page layout or presence of multiple pages. To encourage progress on deeper and more complex Information Extraction (IE) we introduce a new task (named Kleister) with two new datasets. Utilizing both textual and structural layout features, an NLP system must find the most important information, about various types of entities, in long formal documents. We propose Pipeline method as a text-only baseline with different Named Entity Recognition architectures (Flair, BERT, RoBERTa). Moreover, we checked the most popular PDF processing tools for text extraction (pdf2djvu, Tesseract and Textract) in order to analyze behavior of IE system in presence of errors introduced by these tools.

Katarzyna Woźnica, Przemysław Biecek

Meta-learning is a field that aims at discovering how different machine learning algorithms perform on a wide range of predictive tasks. Such knowledge speeds up the hyperparameter tuning or feature engineering. With the use of surrogate models various aspects of the predictive task such as meta-features, landmarker models e.t.c. are used to predict the expected performance. State of the art approaches are focused on searching for the best meta-model but do not explain how these different aspects contribute to its performance. However, to build a new generation of meta-models we need a deeper understanding of the importance and effect of meta-features on the model tunability. In this paper, we propose techniques developed for eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) to examine and extract knowledge from black-box surrogate models. To our knowledge, this is the first paper that shows how post-hoc explainability can be used to improve the meta-learning.

Michał Kuźba, Przemysław Biecek

Recently we see a rising number of methods in the field of eXplainable Artificial Intelligence. To our surprise, their development is driven by model developers rather than a study of needs for human end users. The analysis of needs, if done, takes the form of an A/B test rather than a study of open questions. To answer the question "What would a human operator like to ask the ML model?" we propose a conversational system explaining decisions of the predictive model. In this experiment, we developed a chatbot called dr_ant to talk about machine learning model trained to predict survival odds on Titanic. People can talk with dr_ant about different aspects of the model to understand the rationale behind its predictions. Having collected a corpus of 1000+ dialogues, we analyse the most common types of questions that users would like to ask. To our knowledge, it is the first study which uses a conversational system to collect the needs of human operators from the interactive and iterative dialogue explorations of a predictive model.

Adam Gabriel Dobrakowski, Agnieszka Mykowiecka, Małgorzata Marciniak et al.

Is it true that patients with similar conditions get similar diagnoses? In this paper we show NLP methods and a unique corpus of documents to validate this claim. We (1) introduce a method for representation of medical visits based on free-text descriptions recorded by doctors, (2) introduce a new method for clustering of patients' visits and (3) present an~application of the proposed method on a corpus of 100,000 visits. With the proposed method we obtained stable and separated segments of visits which were positively validated against final medical diagnoses. We show how the presented algorithm may be used to aid doctors during their practice.