Liping Sun

Qian Jiang, Liping Sun

Scientific forecasting typically relies on direct state prediction, an approach that grows brittle under data scarcity, extended horizons, non-stationary dynamics, or high-dimensional complexity. While raw state trajectories are highly sensitive in these regimes, underlying local evolution rules often exhibit robust reusability. We introduce mechanism learning, a framework that forecasts future states by estimating the currently active local mechanism. Our method compresses local spatiotemporal fragments into mechanism descriptors, forming a data-driven, structured mechanism space where proximity reflects similar local evolution rules. To ground these estimates in observed data, we utilize prototype anchors, a set of representative mechanisms that sparsely cover the space of local rules. We evaluate this approach on Burgers dynamics, WeatherBench2, and Lorenz96. Empirically, the learned mechanism spaces resist collapse and maintain strong local consistency. Compared to direct prediction and other models including FNO, NODE, LSTM, and reservoir-family methods, our framework demonstrates predictive gains in fragile regimes: it significantly improves switching stability in Burgers dynamics and achieves state-of-the-art performance both under the scarce-data fixed-horizon WeatherBench2 protocol and in intermediate-complexity Lorenz96. Ablation studies and drift diagnostics confirm that these improvements are driven by finite prototype anchoring rather than sheer latent capacity. Together, these results establish mechanism learning as a principled, robust alternative to direct state prediction in forecasting complex systems.

Zizhao Zhang, Tianxiang Zhao, Yu Sun et al.

To address the challenges posed by cascading reactions caused by component failures in autonomous cargo ships (ACS) and the uncertainties in emergency decision-making, this paper proposes a novel hybrid feature fusion framework for constructing a graph-structured dataset of failure modes. By employing an improved cuckoo search algorithm (HN-CSA), the literature retrieval efficiency is significantly enhanced, achieving improvements of 7.1% and 3.4% compared to the NSGA-II and CSA search algorithms, respectively. A hierarchical feature fusion framework is constructed, using Word2Vec encoding to encode subsystem/component features, BERT-KPCA to process failure modes/reasons, and Sentence-BERT to quantify the semantic association between failure impact and emergency decision-making. The dataset covers 12 systems, 1,262 failure modes, and 6,150 propagation paths. Validation results show that the GATE-GNN model achieves a classification accuracy of 0.735, comparable to existing benchmarks. Additionally, a silhouette coefficient of 0.641 indicates that the features are highly distinguishable. In the label prediction results, the Shore-based Meteorological Service System achieved an F1 score of 0.93, demonstrating high prediction accuracy. This paper not only provides a solid foundation for failure analysis in autonomous cargo ships but also offers reliable support for fault diagnosis, risk assessment, and intelligent decision-making systems. The link to the dataset is https://github.com/wojiufukele/Graph-Structured-about-CSA.

Liping Sun, Yucheng Guo, Siliang Lu et al.

With the press of global climate change, extreme weather and sudden weather changes are becoming increasingly common. To maintain a comfortable indoor environment and minimize the contribution of the building to climate change as much as possible, higher requirements are placed on the operation and control of HVAC systems, e.g., more energy-efficient and flexible to response to the rapid change of weather. This places demands on the rapid modeling and prediction of zone air temperatures of buildings. Compared to the traditional simulation-based approach such as EnergyPlus and DOE2, a hybrid approach combined physics and data-driven is more suitable. Recently, the availability of high-quality datasets and algorithmic breakthroughs have driven a considerable amount of work in this field. However, in the niche of short- and long-term predictions, there are still some gaps in existing research. This paper aims to develop a time series forecast model to predict the zone air temperature in a building located in America on a 2-week horizon. The findings could be further improved to support intelligent control and operation of HVAC systems (i.e. demand flexibility) and could also be used as hybrid building energy modeling.

Peiqi Li, Yincheng Gao, Renxing Li et al.

Heterogeneous morphological features and data imbalance pose significant challenges in rare thyroid carcinoma classification using ultrasound imaging. To address this issue, we propose a novel multitask learning framework, Channel-Spatial Attention Synergy Network (CSASN), which integrates a dual-branch feature extractor - combining EfficientNet for local spatial encoding and ViT for global semantic modeling, with a cascaded channel-spatial attention refinement module. A residual multiscale classifier and dynamically weighted loss function further enhance classification stability and accuracy. Trained on a multicenter dataset comprising more than 2000 patients from four clinical institutions, our framework leverages a residual multiscale classifier and dynamically weighted loss function to enhance classification stability and accuracy. Extensive ablation studies demonstrate that each module contributes significantly to model performance, particularly in recognizing rare subtypes such as FTC and MTC carcinomas. Experimental results show that CSASN outperforms existing single-stream CNN or Transformer-based models, achieving a superior balance between precision and recall under class-imbalanced conditions. This framework provides a promising strategy for AI-assisted thyroid cancer diagnosis.