Qifu Yin

Haowei Ni, Shuchen Meng, Xupeng Chen et al.

Accurate stock market predictions following earnings reports are crucial for investors. Traditional methods, particularly classical machine learning models, struggle with these predictions because they cannot effectively process and interpret extensive textual data contained in earnings reports and often overlook nuances that influence market movements. This paper introduces an advanced approach by employing Large Language Models (LLMs) instruction fine-tuned with a novel combination of instruction-based techniques and quantized low-rank adaptation (QLoRA) compression. Our methodology integrates 'base factors', such as financial metric growth and earnings transcripts, with 'external factors', including recent market indices performances and analyst grades, to create a rich, supervised dataset. This comprehensive dataset enables our models to achieve superior predictive performance in terms of accuracy, weighted F1, and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC), especially evident in the comparison with benchmarks such as GPT-4. We specifically highlight the efficacy of the llama-3-8b-Instruct-4bit model, which showcases significant improvements over baseline models. The paper also discusses the potential of expanding the output capabilities to include a 'Hold' option and extending the prediction horizon, aiming to accommodate various investment styles and time frames. This study not only demonstrates the power of integrating cutting-edge AI with fine-tuned financial data but also paves the way for future research in enhancing AI-driven financial analysis tools.

Xupeng Chen, Binbin Shi, Chenqian Le et al.

Deploying vision-language models (VLMs) in clinical settings demands auditable behavior under realistic failure conditions, yet the failure landscape of frontier VLMs on specialized medical inputs is poorly characterized. We audit five recent frontier and grounding-aware VLMs (Gemini~2.5~Pro, GPT-5, o3, GLM-4.5V, Qwen~2.5~VL) on Medical VQA along two trust-relevant axes. Perception: all models localize anatomical and pathological targets poorly -- the best model reaches only 0.23 mean IoU and 19.1% Acc@0.5 -- and exhibit clinically dangerous laterality confusion. Pipeline integration: a self-grounding pipeline, where the same model localizes then answers, degrades VQA accuracy for every model -- driven by both inaccurate localization and format-compliance failures under the two-step prompt (parse failure rises to 70%--99% for Gemini and GPT-5 on VQA-RAD). Replacing predicted boxes with ground-truth annotations recovers and improves VQA accuracy, consistent with the failure residing in the perception module rather than in the decomposition itself. These observational findings identify grounding quality as a primary trustworthiness bottleneck in our SLAKE bounding-box setting. As a complementary fine-tuning follow-up, supervised fine-tuning of Qwen~2.5~VL on combined Med-VQA training data attains the highest reported SLAKE open-ended recall (85.5%) among comparable methods, suggesting that the VQA-level gap is tractable with domain adaptation; whether this also closes the perception/trustworthiness bottleneck is left to future work.