Shibo Li

Yifei Sun, Tao Wang, Junqi Qu et al.

Multiphysics simulations play an essential role in accurately modeling complex interactions across diverse scientific and engineering domains Although neural operators especially the Fourier Neural Operator FNO have significantly improved computational efficiency they often fail to effectively capture intricate correlations inherent in coupled physical processes To address this limitation we introduce COMPOL a novel coupled multiphysics operator learning framework COMPOL extends conventional operator architectures by incorporating sophisticated recurrent and attentionbased aggregation mechanisms effectively modeling interdependencies among interacting physical processes within latent feature spaces Our approach is architectureagnostic and seamlessly integrates into various neural operator frameworks that involve latent space transformations Extensive experiments on diverse benchmarksincluding biological reactiondiffusion systems patternforming chemical reactions multiphase geological flows and thermohydromechanical processes demonstrate that COMPOL consistently achieves superior predictive accuracy compared to stateoftheart methods.

Shibo Li, Yao Zheng

This paper introduces the MPS (Model Prediction Set), a novel framework for online model selection for nonstationary time series. Classical model selection methods, such as information criteria and cross-validation, rely heavily on the stationarity assumption and often fail in dynamic environments which undergo gradual or abrupt changes over time. Yet real-world data are rarely stationary, and model selection under nonstationarity remains a largely open problem. To tackle this challenge, we combine conformal inference with model confidence sets to develop a procedure that adaptively selects models best suited to the evolving dynamics at any given time. Concretely, the MPS updates in real time a confidence set of candidate models that covers the best model for the next time period with a specified long-run probability, while adapting to nonstationarity of unknown forms. Through simulations and real-world data analysis, we demonstrate that MPS reliably and efficiently identifies optimal models under nonstationarity, an essential capability lacking in offline methods. Moreover, MPS frequently produces high-quality sets with small cardinality, whose evolution offers deeper insights into changing dynamics. As a generic framework, MPS accommodates any data-generating process, data structure, model class, training method, and evaluation metric, making it broadly applicable across diverse problem settings.