GTFeb 3, 2023
Multi-channel Autobidding with Budget and ROI ConstraintsYuan Deng, Negin Golrezaei, Patrick Jaillet et al.
In digital online advertising, advertisers procure ad impressions simultaneously on multiple platforms, or so-called channels, such as Google Ads, Meta Ads Manager, etc., each of which consists of numerous ad auctions. We study how an advertiser maximizes total conversion (e.g. ad clicks) while satisfying aggregate return-on-investment (ROI) and budget constraints across all channels. In practice, an advertiser does not have control over, and thus cannot globally optimize, which individual ad auctions she participates in for each channel, and instead authorizes a channel to procure impressions on her behalf: the advertiser can only utilize two levers on each channel, namely setting a per-channel budget and per-channel target ROI. In this work, we first analyze the effectiveness of each of these levers for solving the advertiser's global multi-channel problem. We show that when an advertiser only optimizes over per-channel ROIs, her total conversion can be arbitrarily worse than what she could have obtained in the global problem. Further, we show that the advertiser can achieve the global optimal conversion when she only optimizes over per-channel budgets. In light of this finding, under a bandit feedback setting that mimics real-world scenarios where advertisers have limited information on ad auctions in each channels and how channels procure ads, we present an efficient learning algorithm that produces per-channel budgets whose resulting conversion approximates that of the global optimal problem. Finally, we argue that all our results hold for both single-item and multi-item auctions from which channels procure impressions on advertisers' behalf.
LGAug 5, 2022
Active Learning for Non-Parametric Choice ModelsFransisca Susan, Negin Golrezaei, Ehsan Emamjomeh-Zadeh et al.
We study the problem of actively learning a non-parametric choice model based on consumers' decisions. We present a negative result showing that such choice models may not be identifiable. To overcome the identifiability problem, we introduce a directed acyclic graph (DAG) representation of the choice model. This representation provably encodes all the information about the choice model which can be inferred from the available data, in the sense that it permits computing all choice probabilities. We establish that given exact choice probabilities for a collection of item sets, one can reconstruct the DAG. However, attempting to extend this methodology to estimate the DAG from noisy choice frequency data obtained during an active learning process leads to inaccuracies. To address this challenge, we present an inclusion-exclusion approach that effectively manages error propagation across DAG levels, leading to a more accurate estimate of the DAG. Utilizing this technique, our algorithm estimates the DAG representation of an underlying non-parametric choice model. The algorithm operates efficiently (in polynomial time) when the set of frequent rankings is drawn uniformly at random. It learns the distribution over the most popular items among frequent preference types by actively and repeatedly offering assortments of items and observing the chosen item. We demonstrate that our algorithm more effectively recovers a set of frequent preferences on both synthetic and publicly available datasets on consumers' preferences, compared to corresponding non-active learning estimation algorithms. These findings underscore the value of our algorithm and the broader applicability of active-learning approaches in modeling consumer behavior.
LGOct 28, 2022
Non-Stationary Bandits with Auto-Regressive Temporal DependencyQinyi Chen, Negin Golrezaei, Djallel Bouneffouf
Traditional multi-armed bandit (MAB) frameworks, predominantly examined under stochastic or adversarial settings, often overlook the temporal dynamics inherent in many real-world applications such as recommendation systems and online advertising. This paper introduces a novel non-stationary MAB framework that captures the temporal structure of these real-world dynamics through an auto-regressive (AR) reward structure. We propose an algorithm that integrates two key mechanisms: (i) an alternation mechanism adept at leveraging temporal dependencies to dynamically balance exploration and exploitation, and (ii) a restarting mechanism designed to discard out-of-date information. Our algorithm achieves a regret upper bound that nearly matches the lower bound, with regret measured against a robust dynamic benchmark. Finally, via a real-world case study on tourism demand prediction, we demonstrate both the efficacy of our algorithm and the broader applicability of our techniques to more complex, rapidly evolving time series.
GTJun 12, 2023
Multi-Platform Budget Management in Ad Markets with Non-IC AuctionsFransisca Susan, Negin Golrezaei, Okke Schrijvers
In online advertising markets, budget-constrained advertisers acquire ad placements through repeated bidding in auctions on various platforms. We present a strategy for bidding optimally in a set of auctions that may or may not be incentive-compatible under the presence of budget constraints. Our strategy maximizes the expected total utility across auctions while satisfying the advertiser's budget constraints in expectation. Additionally, we investigate the online setting where the advertiser must submit bids across platforms while learning about other bidders' bids over time. Our algorithm has $O(T^{3/4})$ regret under the full-information setting. Finally, we demonstrate that our algorithms have superior cumulative regret on both synthetic and real-world datasets of ad placement auctions, compared to existing adaptive pacing algorithms.
GTJul 27, 2023
Learning in Repeated Multi-Unit Pay-As-Bid AuctionsRigel Galgana, Negin Golrezaei
Motivated by Carbon Emissions Trading Schemes, Treasury Auctions, Procurement Auctions, and Wholesale Electricity Markets, which all involve the auctioning of homogeneous multiple units, we consider the problem of learning how to bid in repeated multi-unit pay-as-bid auctions. In each of these auctions, a large number of (identical) items are to be allocated to the largest submitted bids, where the price of each of the winning bids is equal to the bid itself. In this work, we study the problem of optimizing bidding strategies from the perspective of a single bidder. Effective bidding in pay-as-bid (PAB) auctions is complex due to the combinatorial nature of the action space. We show that a utility decoupling trick enables a polynomial time algorithm to solve the offline problem where competing bids are known in advance. Leveraging this structure, we design efficient algorithms for the online problem under both full information and bandit feedback settings that achieve an upper bound on regret of $O(M \sqrt{T \log T})$ and $O(M T^{\frac{2}{3}} \sqrt{\log T})$ respectively, where $M$ is the number of units demanded by the bidder and $T$ is the total number of auctions. We accompany these results with a regret lower bound of $Ω(M\sqrt{T})$ for the full information setting and $Ω(M^{2/3}T^{2/3})$ for the bandit setting. We also present additional findings on the characterization of PAB equilibria. While the Nash equilibria of PAB auctions possess nice properties such as winning bid uniformity and high welfare \& revenue, they are not guaranteed under no regret learning dynamics. Nevertheless, our simulations suggest these properties hold anyways, regardless of Nash equilibrium existence. Compared to its uniform price counterpart, the PAB dynamics converge faster and achieve higher revenue, making PAB appealing whenever revenue holds significant social value.
DSJun 21, 2023
Online Resource Allocation with Convex-set Machine-Learned AdviceNegin Golrezaei, Patrick Jaillet, Zijie Zhou
Decision-makers often have access to a machine-learned prediction about demand, referred to as advice, which can potentially be utilized in online decision-making processes for resource allocation. However, exploiting such advice poses challenges due to its potential inaccuracy. To address this issue, we propose a framework that enhances online resource allocation decisions with potentially unreliable machine-learned (ML) advice. We assume here that this advice is represented by a general convex uncertainty set for the demand vector. We introduce a parameterized class of Pareto optimal online resource allocation algorithms that strike a balance between consistent and robust ratios. The consistent ratio measures the algorithm's performance (compared to the optimal hindsight solution) when the ML advice is accurate, while the robust ratio captures performance under an adversarial demand process when the advice is inaccurate. Specifically, in a C-Pareto optimal setting, we maximize the robust ratio while ensuring that the consistent ratio is at least C. Our proposed C-Pareto optimal algorithm is an adaptive protection level algorithm, which extends the classical fixed protection level algorithm introduced in Littlewood (2005) and Ball and Queyranne (2009). Solving a complex non-convex continuous optimization problem characterizes the adaptive protection level algorithm. To complement our algorithms, we present a simple method for computing the maximum achievable consistent ratio, which serves as an estimate for the maximum value of the ML advice. Additionally, we present numerical studies to evaluate the performance of our algorithm in comparison to benchmark algorithms. The results demonstrate that by adjusting the parameter C, our algorithms effectively strike a balance between worst-case and average performance, outperforming the benchmark algorithms.
IRJun 12, 2023
Interpolating Item and User Fairness in Multi-Sided RecommendationsQinyi Chen, Jason Cheuk Nam Liang, Negin Golrezaei et al.
Today's online platforms heavily lean on algorithmic recommendations for bolstering user engagement and driving revenue. However, these recommendations can impact multiple stakeholders simultaneously -- the platform, items (sellers), and users (customers) -- each with their unique objectives, making it difficult to find the right middle ground that accommodates all stakeholders. To address this, we introduce a novel fair recommendation framework, Problem (FAIR), that flexibly balances multi-stakeholder interests via a constrained optimization formulation. We next explore Problem (FAIR) in a dynamic online setting where data uncertainty further adds complexity, and propose a low-regret algorithm FORM that concurrently performs real-time learning and fair recommendations, two tasks that are often at odds. Via both theoretical analysis and a numerical case study on real-world data, we demonstrate the efficacy of our framework and method in maintaining platform revenue while ensuring desired levels of fairness for both items and users.
36.0AIMar 12
Entropy Guided Diversification and Preference Elicitation in Agentic Recommendation SystemsDat Tran, Yongce Li, Hannah Clay et al.
Users on e-commerce platforms can be uncertain about their preferences early in their search. Queries to recommendation systems are frequently ambiguous, incomplete, or weakly specified. Agentic systems are expected to proactively reason, ask clarifying questions, and act on the user's behalf, which makes handling such ambiguity increasingly important. In existing platforms, ambiguity led to excessive interactions and question fatigue or overconfident recommendations prematurely collapsing the search space. We present an Interactive Decision Support System (IDSS) that addresses ambiguous user queries using entropy as a unifying signal. IDSS maintains a dynamically filtered candidate product set and quantifies uncertainty over item attributes using entropy. This uncertainty guides adaptive preference elicitation by selecting follow-up questions that maximize expected information gain. When preferences remain incomplete, IDSS explicitly incorporates residual uncertainty into downstream recommendations through uncertainty-aware ranking and entropy-based diversification, rather than forcing premature resolution. We evaluate IDSS using review-driven simulated users grounded in real user reviews, enabling a controlled study of diverse shopping behaviors. Our evaluation measures both interaction efficiency and recommendation quality. Results show that entropy-guided elicitation reduces unnecessary follow-up questions, while uncertainty-aware ranking and presentation yield more informative, diverse, and transparent recommendation sets under ambiguous intent. These findings demonstrate that entropy-guided reasoning provides an effective foundation for agentic recommendation systems operating under uncertainty.
73.9GTApr 6
Optimal Contest Beyond ConvexityNegin Golrezaei, MohammadTaghi Hajiaghayi, Suho Shin
In the contest design problem, there are $n$ strategic contestants, each of whom decides an effort level. A contest designer with a fixed budget must then design a mechanism that allocates a prize $p_i$ to the $i$-th rank based on the outcome, to incentivize contestants to exert higher costly efforts and induce high-quality outcomes. In this paper, we significantly deepen our understanding of optimal mechanisms under general settings by considering nonconvex objectives in contestants' qualities. Notably, our results accommodate the following objectives: (i) any convex combination of user welfare (motivated by recommender systems) and the average quality of contestants, and (ii) arbitrary posynomials over quality, both of which may neither be convex nor concave. In particular, these subsume classic measures such as social welfare, order statistics, and (inverse) S-shaped functions, which have received little or no attention in the contest literature to the best of our knowledge. Surprisingly, across all these regimes, we show that the optimal mechanism is highly structured: it allocates potentially higher prize to the first-ranked contestant, zero to the last-ranked one, and equal prizes to the all intermediate contestants, i.e., $p_1 \ge p_2 = \ldots = p_{n-1} \ge p_n = 0$. Thanks to the structural characterization, we obtain a fully polynomial-time approximation scheme given a value oracle. Our technical results rely on Schur-convexity of Bernstein basis polynomial-weighted functions, total positivity and variation diminishing property. En route to our results, we obtain a surprising reduction from a structured high-dimensional nonconvex optimization to a single-dimensional optimization by connecting the shape of the gradient sequences of the objective function to the number of transition points in optimum, which might be of independent interest.
GTJul 13, 2025
Incentive-Aware Dynamic Resource Allocation under Long-Term Cost ConstraintsYan Dai, Negin Golrezaei, Patrick Jaillet
Motivated by applications such as cloud platforms allocating GPUs to users or governments deploying mobile health units across competing regions, we study the dynamic allocation of a reusable resource to strategic agents with private valuations. Our objective is to simultaneously (i) maximize social welfare, (ii) satisfy multi-dimensional long-term cost constraints, and (iii) incentivize truthful reporting. We begin by numerically evaluating primal-dual methods widely used in constrained online optimization and find them to be highly fragile in strategic settings -- agents can easily manipulate their reports to distort future dual updates for future gain. To address this vulnerability, we develop an incentive-aware framework that makes primal-dual methods robust to strategic behavior. Our design combines epoch-based lazy updates -- where dual variables remain fixed within each epoch -- with randomized exploration rounds that extract approximately truthful signals for learning. Leveraging carefully designed online learning subroutines that can be of independent interest for dual updates, our mechanism achieves $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T})$ social welfare regret, satisfies all cost constraints, and ensures incentive alignment. This matches the performance of non-strategic allocation approaches while being robust to strategic agents.
DSJun 6, 2024
Learning Safe Strategies for Value Maximizing Buyers in Uniform Price AuctionsNegin Golrezaei, Sourav Sahoo
We study the bidding problem in repeated uniform price multi-unit auctions from the perspective of a value-maximizing buyer. The buyer aims to maximize their cumulative value over $T$ rounds while adhering to per-round return-on-investment (RoI) constraints in a strategic (or adversarial) environment. Using an $m$-uniform bidding format, the buyer submits $m$ bid-quantity pairs $(b_i, q_i)$ to demand $q_i$ units at bid $b_i$, with $m \ll M$ in practice, where $M$ denotes the maximum demand of the buyer. We introduce the notion of safe bidding strategies as those that satisfy the RoI constraints irrespective of competing bids. Despite the stringent requirement, we show that these strategies satisfy a mild no-overbidding condition, depend only on the valuation curve of the bidder, and the bidder can focus on a finite subset without loss of generality. Though the subset size is $O(M^m)$, we design a polynomial-time learning algorithm that achieves sublinear regret, both in full-information and bandit settings, relative to the hindsight-optimal safe strategy. We assess the robustness of safe strategies against the hindsight-optimal strategy from a richer class. We define the richness ratio $α\in (0,1]$ as the minimum ratio of the value of the optimal safe strategy to that of the optimal strategy from richer class and construct hard instances showing the tightness of $α$. Our algorithm achieves $α$-approximate sublinear regret against these stronger benchmarks. Simulations on semi-synthetic auction data show that empirical richness ratios significantly outperform the theoretical worst-case bounds. The proposed safe strategies and learning algorithm extend naturally to more nuanced buyer and competitor models.
GTMay 27, 2023
Learning and Collusion in Multi-unit AuctionsSimina Brânzei, Mahsa Derakhshan, Negin Golrezaei et al.
We consider repeated multi-unit auctions with uniform pricing, which are widely used in practice for allocating goods such as carbon licenses. In each round, $K$ identical units of a good are sold to a group of buyers that have valuations with diminishing marginal returns. The buyers submit bids for the units, and then a price $p$ is set per unit so that all the units are sold. We consider two variants of the auction, where the price is set to the $K$-th highest bid and $(K+1)$-st highest bid, respectively. We analyze the properties of this auction in both the offline and online settings. In the offline setting, we consider the problem that one player $i$ is facing: given access to a data set that contains the bids submitted by competitors in past auctions, find a bid vector that maximizes player $i$'s cumulative utility on the data set. We design a polynomial time algorithm for this problem, by showing it is equivalent to finding a maximum-weight path on a carefully constructed directed acyclic graph. In the online setting, the players run learning algorithms to update their bids as they participate in the auction over time. Based on our offline algorithm, we design efficient online learning algorithms for bidding. The algorithms have sublinear regret, under both full information and bandit feedback structures. We complement our online learning algorithms with regret lower bounds. Finally, we analyze the quality of the equilibria in the worst case through the lens of the core solution concept in the game among the bidders. We show that the $(K+1)$-st price format is susceptible to collusion among the bidders; meanwhile, the $K$-th price format does not have this issue.
LGFeb 18, 2021
Online Learning via Offline Greedy Algorithms: Applications in Market Design and OptimizationRad Niazadeh, Negin Golrezaei, Joshua Wang et al.
Motivated by online decision-making in time-varying combinatorial environments, we study the problem of transforming offline algorithms to their online counterparts. We focus on offline combinatorial problems that are amenable to a constant factor approximation using a greedy algorithm that is robust to local errors. For such problems, we provide a general framework that efficiently transforms offline robust greedy algorithms to online ones using Blackwell approachability. We show that the resulting online algorithms have $O(\sqrt{T})$ (approximate) regret under the full information setting. We further introduce a bandit extension of Blackwell approachability that we call Bandit Blackwell approachability. We leverage this notion to transform greedy robust offline algorithms into a $O(T^{2/3})$ (approximate) regret in the bandit setting. Demonstrating the flexibility of our framework, we apply our offline-to-online transformation to several problems at the intersection of revenue management, market design, and online optimization, including product ranking optimization in online platforms, reserve price optimization in auctions, and submodular maximization. We also extend our reduction to greedy-like first order methods used in continuous optimization, such as those used for maximizing continuous strong DR monotone submodular functions subject to convex constraints. We show that our transformation, when applied to these applications, leads to new regret bounds or improves the current known bounds. We complement our theoretical studies by conducting numerical simulations for two of our applications, in both of which we observe that the numerical performance of our transformations outperforms the theoretical guarantees in practical instances.
LGSep 10, 2020
Learning Product Rankings Robust to Fake UsersNegin Golrezaei, Vahideh Manshadi, Jon Schneider et al.
In many online platforms, customers' decisions are substantially influenced by product rankings as most customers only examine a few top-ranked products. Concurrently, such platforms also use the same data corresponding to customers' actions to learn how these products must be ranked or ordered. These interactions in the underlying learning process, however, may incentivize sellers to artificially inflate their position by employing fake users, as exemplified by the emergence of click farms. Motivated by such fraudulent behavior, we study the ranking problem of a platform that faces a mixture of real and fake users who are indistinguishable from one another. We first show that existing learning algorithms---that are optimal in the absence of fake users---may converge to highly sub-optimal rankings under manipulation by fake users. To overcome this deficiency, we develop efficient learning algorithms under two informational environments: in the first setting, the platform is aware of the number of fake users, and in the second setting, it is agnostic to the number of fake users. For both these environments, we prove that our algorithms converge to the optimal ranking, while being robust to the aforementioned fraudulent behavior; we also present worst-case performance guarantees for our methods, and show that they significantly outperform existing algorithms. At a high level, our work employs several novel approaches to guarantee robustness such as: (i) constructing product-ordering graphs that encode the pairwise relationships between products inferred from the customers' actions; and (ii) implementing multiple levels of learning with a judicious amount of bi-directional cross-learning between levels.
LGJul 14, 2020
Optimal Learning for Structured BanditsBart P. G. Van Parys, Negin Golrezaei
We study structured multi-armed bandits, which is the problem of online decision-making under uncertainty in the presence of structural information. In this problem, the decision-maker needs to discover the best course of action despite observing only uncertain rewards over time. The decision-maker is aware of certain convex structural information regarding the reward distributions; that is, the decision-maker knows the reward distributions of the arms belong to a convex compact set. In the presence such structural information, they then would like to minimize their regret by exploiting this information, where the regret is its performance difference against a benchmark policy that knows the best action ahead of time. In the absence of structural information, the classical upper confidence bound (UCB) and Thomson sampling algorithms are well known to suffer minimal regret. As recently pointed out, neither algorithms are, however, capable of exploiting structural information that is commonly available in practice. We propose a novel learning algorithm that we call "DUSA" whose regret matches the information-theoretic regret lower bound up to a constant factor and can handle a wide range of structural information. Our algorithm DUSA solves a dual counterpart of the regret lower bound at the empirical reward distribution and follows its suggested play. We show that this idea leads to the first computationally viable learning policy with asymptotic minimal regret for various structural information, including well-known structured bandits such as linear, Lipschitz, and convex bandits, and novel structured bandits that have not been studied in the literature due to the lack of a unified and flexible framework.
LGFeb 25, 2020
Dynamic Incentive-aware Learning: Robust Pricing in Contextual AuctionsNegin Golrezaei, Adel Javanmard, Vahab Mirrokni
Motivated by pricing in ad exchange markets, we consider the problem of robust learning of reserve prices against strategic buyers in repeated contextual second-price auctions. Buyers' valuations for an item depend on the context that describes the item. However, the seller is not aware of the relationship between the context and buyers' valuations, i.e., buyers' preferences. The seller's goal is to design a learning policy to set reserve prices via observing the past sales data, and her objective is to minimize her regret for revenue, where the regret is computed against a clairvoyant policy that knows buyers' heterogeneous preferences. Given the seller's goal, utility-maximizing buyers have the incentive to bid untruthfully in order to manipulate the seller's learning policy. We propose learning policies that are robust to such strategic behavior. These policies use the outcomes of the auctions, rather than the submitted bids, to estimate the preferences while controlling the long-term effect of the outcome of each auction on the future reserve prices. When the market noise distribution is known to the seller, we propose a policy called Contextual Robust Pricing (CORP) that achieves a T-period regret of $O(d\log(Td) \log (T))$, where $d$ is the dimension of {the} contextual information. When the market noise distribution is unknown to the seller, we propose two policies whose regrets are sublinear in $T$.
LGNov 8, 2019
Incentive-aware Contextual Pricing with Non-parametric Market NoiseNegin Golrezaei, Patrick Jaillet, Jason Cheuk Nam Liang
We consider a dynamic pricing problem for repeated contextual second-price auctions with multiple strategic buyers who aim to maximize their long-term time discounted utility. The seller has limited information on buyers' overall demand curves which depends on a non-parametric market-noise distribution, and buyers may potentially submit corrupted bids (relative to true valuations) to manipulate the seller's pricing policy for more favorable reserve prices in the future. We focus on designing the seller's learning policy to set contextual reserve prices where the seller's goal is to minimize regret compared to the revenue of a benchmark clairvoyant policy that has full information of buyers' demand. We propose a policy with a phased-structure that incorporates randomized "isolation" periods, during which a buyer is randomly chosen to solely participate in the auction. We show that this design allows the seller to control the number of periods in which buyers significantly corrupt their bids. We then prove that our policy enjoys a $T$-period regret of $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T})$ facing strategic buyers. Finally, we conduct numerical simulations to compare our proposed algorithm to standard pricing policies. Our numerical results show that our algorithm outperforms these policies under various buyer bidding behavior.
LGSep 25, 2018
Contextual Bandits with Cross-learningSantiago Balseiro, Negin Golrezaei, Mohammad Mahdian et al.
In the classical contextual bandits problem, in each round $t$, a learner observes some context $c$, chooses some action $i$ to perform, and receives some reward $r_{i,t}(c)$. We consider the variant of this problem where in addition to receiving the reward $r_{i,t}(c)$, the learner also learns the values of $r_{i,t}(c')$ for some other contexts $c'$ in set $\mathcal{O}_i(c)$; i.e., the rewards that would have been achieved by performing that action under different contexts $c'\in \mathcal{O}_i(c)$. This variant arises in several strategic settings, such as learning how to bid in non-truthful repeated auctions, which has gained a lot of attention lately as many platforms have switched to running first-price auctions. We call this problem the contextual bandits problem with cross-learning. The best algorithms for the classical contextual bandits problem achieve $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{CKT})$ regret against all stationary policies, where $C$ is the number of contexts, $K$ the number of actions, and $T$ the number of rounds. We design and analyze new algorithms for the contextual bandits problem with cross-learning and show that their regret has better dependence on the number of contexts. Under complete cross-learning where the rewards for all contexts are learned when choosing an action, i.e., set $\mathcal{O}_i(c)$ contains all contexts, we show that our algorithms achieve regret $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{KT})$, removing the dependence on $C$. For any other cases, i.e., under partial cross-learning where $|\mathcal{O}_i(c)|< C$ for some context-action pair of $(i,c)$, the regret bounds depend on how the sets $\mathcal O_i(c)$ impact the degree to which cross-learning between contexts is possible. We simulate our algorithms on real auction data from an ad exchange running first-price auctions and show that they outperform traditional contextual bandit algorithms.