Farhad Ghassemi

Heidi C. Zhang, Sina J. Semnani, Farhad Ghassemi et al.

We introduce SPAGHETTI: Semantic Parsing Augmented Generation for Hybrid English information from Text Tables and Infoboxes, a hybrid question-answering (QA) pipeline that utilizes information from heterogeneous knowledge sources, including knowledge base, text, tables, and infoboxes. Our LLM-augmented approach achieves state-of-the-art performance on the Compmix dataset, the most comprehensive heterogeneous open-domain QA dataset, with 56.5% exact match (EM) rate. More importantly, manual analysis on a sample of the dataset suggests that SPAGHETTI is more than 90% accurate, indicating that EM is no longer suitable for assessing the capabilities of QA systems today.

Longshaokan Wang, Lingda Wang, Mina Georgieva et al.

Distribution forecast can quantify forecast uncertainty and provide various forecast scenarios with their corresponding estimated probabilities. Accurate distribution forecast is crucial for planning - for example when making production capacity or inventory allocation decisions. We propose a practical and robust distribution forecast framework that relies on backtest-based bootstrap and adaptive residual selection. The proposed approach is robust to the choice of the underlying forecasting model, accounts for uncertainty around the input covariates, and relaxes the independence between residuals and covariates assumption. It reduces the Absolute Coverage Error by more than 63% compared to the classic bootstrap approaches and by 2% - 32% compared to a variety of State-of-the-Art deep learning approaches on in-house product sales data and M4-hourly competition data.