Mohamed Abdel-Aty

CV
h-index96
23papers
440citations
Novelty39%
AI Score53

23 Papers

CLJul 28, 2023Code
TrafficSafetyGPT: Tuning a Pre-trained Large Language Model to a Domain-Specific Expert in Transportation Safety

Ou Zheng, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Dongdong Wang et al.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown remarkable effectiveness in various general-domain natural language processing (NLP) tasks. However, their performance in transportation safety domain tasks has been suboptimal, primarily attributed to the requirement for specialized transportation safety expertise in generating accurate responses [1]. To address this challenge, we introduce TrafficSafetyGPT, a novel LLAMA-based model, which has undergone supervised fine-tuning using TrafficSafety-2K dataset which has human labels from government produced guiding books and ChatGPT-generated instruction-output pairs. Our proposed TrafficSafetyGPT model and TrafficSafety-2K train dataset are accessible at https://github.com/ozheng1993/TrafficSafetyGPT.

CVAug 23, 2022
CitySim: A Drone-Based Vehicle Trajectory Dataset for Safety Oriented Research and Digital Twins

Ou Zheng, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Lishengsa Yue et al.

The development of safety-oriented research and applications requires fine-grain vehicle trajectories that not only have high accuracy, but also capture substantial safety-critical events. However, it would be challenging to satisfy both these requirements using the available vehicle trajectory datasets do not have the capacity to satisfy both.This paper introduces the CitySim dataset that has the core objective of facilitating safety-oriented research and applications. CitySim has vehicle trajectories extracted from 1140 minutes of drone videos recorded at 12 locations. It covers a variety of road geometries including freeway basic segments, signalized intersections, stop-controlled intersections, and control-free intersections. CitySim was generated through a five-step procedure that ensured trajectory accuracy. The five-step procedure included video stabilization, object filtering, multi-video stitching, object detection and tracking, and enhanced error filtering. Furthermore, CitySim provides the rotated bounding box information of a vehicle, which was demonstrated to improve safety evaluations. Compared with other video-based critical events, including cut-in, merge, and diverge events, which were validated by distributions of both minimum time-to-collision and minimum post-encroachment time. In addition, CitySim had the capability to facilitate digital-twin-related research by providing relevant assets, such as the recording locations' three-dimensional base maps and signal timings.

CVMar 27, 2023
Advances and Applications of Computer Vision Techniques in Vehicle Trajectory Generation and Surrogate Traffic Safety Indicators

Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Zijin Wang, Ou Zheng et al.

The application of Computer Vision (CV) techniques massively stimulates microscopic traffic safety analysis from the perspective of traffic conflicts and near misses, which is usually measured using Surrogate Safety Measures (SSM). However, as video processing and traffic safety modeling are two separate research domains and few research have focused on systematically bridging the gap between them, it is necessary to provide transportation researchers and practitioners with corresponding guidance. With this aim in mind, this paper focuses on reviewing the applications of CV techniques in traffic safety modeling using SSM and suggesting the best way forward. The CV algorithm that are used for vehicle detection and tracking from early approaches to the state-of-the-art models are summarized at a high level. Then, the video pre-processing and post-processing techniques for vehicle trajectory extraction are introduced. A detailed review of SSMs for vehicle trajectory data along with their application on traffic safety analysis is presented. Finally, practical issues in traffic video processing and SSM-based safety analysis are discussed, and the available or potential solutions are provided. This review is expected to assist transportation researchers and engineers with the selection of suitable CV techniques for video processing, and the usage of SSMs for various traffic safety research objectives.

LGAug 1, 2023
A Novel Temporal Multi-Gate Mixture-of-Experts Approach for Vehicle Trajectory and Driving Intention Prediction

Renteng Yuan, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Qiaojun Xiang et al.

Accurate Vehicle Trajectory Prediction is critical for automated vehicles and advanced driver assistance systems. Vehicle trajectory prediction consists of two essential tasks, i.e., longitudinal position prediction and lateral position prediction. There is a significant correlation between driving intentions and vehicle motion. In existing work, the three tasks are often conducted separately without considering the relationships between the longitudinal position, lateral position, and driving intention. In this paper, we propose a novel Temporal Multi-Gate Mixture-of-Experts (TMMOE) model for simultaneously predicting the vehicle trajectory and driving intention. The proposed model consists of three layers: a shared layer, an expert layer, and a fully connected layer. In the model, the shared layer utilizes Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN) to extract temporal features. Then the expert layer is built to identify different information according to the three tasks. Moreover, the fully connected layer is used to integrate and export prediction results. To achieve better performance, uncertainty algorithm is used to construct the multi-task loss function. Finally, the publicly available CitySim dataset validates the TMMOE model, demonstrating superior performance compared to the LSTM model, achieving the highest classification and regression results. Keywords: Vehicle trajectory prediction, driving intentions Classification, Multi-task

AIOct 13, 2022
Trajectory Prediction for Vehicle Conflict Identification at Intersections Using Sequence-to-Sequence Recurrent Neural Networks

Amr Abdelraouf, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Zijin Wang et al.

Surrogate safety measures in the form of conflict indicators are indispensable components of the proactive traffic safety toolbox. Conflict indicators can be classified into past-trajectory-based conflicts and predicted-trajectory-based conflicts. While the calculation of the former class of conflicts is deterministic and unambiguous, the latter category is computed using predicted vehicle trajectories and is thus more stochastic. Consequently, the accuracy of prediction-based conflicts is contingent on the accuracy of the utilized trajectory prediction algorithm. Trajectory prediction can be a challenging task, particularly at intersections where vehicle maneuvers are diverse. Furthermore, due to limitations relating to the road user trajectory extraction pipelines, accurate geometric representation of vehicles during conflict analysis is a challenging task. Misrepresented geometries distort the real distances between vehicles under observation. In this research, a prediction-based conflict identification methodology was proposed. A sequence-to-sequence Recurrent Neural Network was developed to sequentially predict future vehicle trajectories for up to 3 seconds ahead. Furthermore, the proposed network was trained using the CitySim Dataset to forecast both future vehicle positions and headings to facilitate the prediction of future bounding boxes, thus maintaining accurate vehicle geometric representations. It was experimentally determined that the proposed method outperformed frequently used trajectory prediction models for conflict analysis at intersections. A comparison between Time-to-Collision (TTC) conflict identification using vehicle bounding boxes versus the commonly used vehicle center points for geometric representation was conducted. Compared to the bounding box method, the center point approach often failed to identify TTC conflicts or underestimated their severity.

LGJul 7, 2023
inTformer: A Time-Embedded Attention-Based Transformer for Crash Likelihood Prediction at Intersections Using Connected Vehicle Data

B M Tazbiul Hassan Anik, Zubayer Islam, Mohamed Abdel-Aty

The real-time crash likelihood prediction model is an essential component of the proactive traffic safety management system. Over the years, numerous studies have attempted to construct a crash likelihood prediction model in order to enhance traffic safety, but mostly on freeways. In the majority of the existing studies, researchers have primarily employed a deep learning-based framework to identify crash potential. Lately, Transformer has emerged as a potential deep neural network that fundamentally operates through attention-based mechanisms. Transformer has several functional benefits over extant deep learning models such as LSTM, CNN, etc. Firstly, Transformer can readily handle long-term dependencies in a data sequence. Secondly, Transformers can parallelly process all elements in a data sequence during training. Finally, a Transformer does not have the vanishing gradient issue. Realizing the immense possibility of Transformers, this paper proposes inTersection-Transformer (inTformer), a time-embedded attention-based Transformer model that can effectively predict intersection crash likelihood in real-time. The proposed model was evaluated using connected vehicle data extracted from Signal Analytics Platform. Acknowledging the complex traffic operation mechanism at intersection, this study developed zone-specific models by dividing the intersection region into two distinct zones: within-intersection and approach zone. The best inTformer models in 'within-intersection,' and 'approach' zone achieved a sensitivity of 73%, and 70%, respectively. The zone-level models were also compared to earlier studies on crash likelihood prediction at intersections and with several established deep learning models trained on the same connected vehicle dataset.

LGMar 29, 2023
Using Connected Vehicle Trajectory Data to Evaluate the Effects of Speeding

Jorge Ugan, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Zubayer Islam

Speeding has been and continues to be a major contributing factor to traffic fatalities. Various transportation agencies have proposed speed management strategies to reduce the amount of speeding on arterials. While there have been various studies done on the analysis of speeding proportions above the speed limit, few studies have considered the effect on the individual's journey. Many studies utilized speed data from detectors, which is limited in that there is no information of the route that the driver took. This study aims to explore the effects of various roadway features an individual experiences for a given journey on speeding proportions. Connected vehicle trajectory data was utilized to identify the path that a driver took, along with the vehicle related variables. The level of speeding proportion is predicted using multiple learning models. The model with the best performance, Extreme Gradient Boosting, achieved an accuracy of 0.756. The proposed model can be used to understand how the environment and vehicle's path effects the drivers' speeding behavior, as well as predict the areas with high levels of speeding proportions. The results suggested that features related to an individual driver's trip, i.e., total travel time, has a significant contribution towards speeding. Features that are related to the environment of the individual driver's trip, i.e., proportion of residential area, also had a significant effect on reducing speeding proportions. It is expected that the findings could help inform transportation agencies more on the factors related to speeding for an individual driver's trip.

LGApr 25, 2023
Lane Change Intention Recognition and Vehicle Status Prediction for Autonomous Vehicles

Renteng Yuan, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Xin Gu et al.

Accurately detecting and predicting lane change (LC)processes of human-driven vehicles can help autonomous vehicles better understand their surrounding environment, recognize potential safety hazards, and improve traffic safety. This paper focuses on LC processes, first developing a temporal convolutional network with an attention mechanism (TCN-ATM) model to recognize LC intention. Considering the intrinsic relationship among output variables, the Multi-task Learning (MTL)framework is employed to simultaneously predict multiple LC vehicle status indicators. Furthermore, a unified modeling framework for LC intention recognition and driving status prediction (LC-IR-SP) is developed. The results indicate that the classification accuracy of LC intention was improved from 96.14% to 98.20% when incorporating the attention mechanism into the TCN model. For LC vehicle status prediction issues, three multi-tasking learning models are constructed based on MTL framework. The results indicate that the MTL-LSTM model outperforms the MTL-TCN and MTL-TCN-ATM models. Compared to the corresponding single-task model, the MTL-LSTM model demonstrates an average decrease of 26.04% in MAE and 25.19% in RMSE.

SDMar 9, 2022
Deep Convolutional Neural Network for Roadway Incident Surveillance Using Audio Data

Zubayer Islam, Mohamed Abdel-Aty

Crash events identification and prediction plays a vital role in understanding safety conditions for transportation systems. While existing systems use traffic parameters correlated with crash data to classify and train these models, we propose the use of a novel sensory unit that can also accurately identify crash events: microphone. Audio events can be collected and analyzed to classify events such as crash. In this paper, we have demonstrated the use of a deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for road event classification. Important audio parameters such as Mel Frequency Cepstral Coefficients (MFCC), log Mel-filterbank energy spectrum and Fourier Spectrum were used as feature set. Additionally, the dataset was augmented with more sample data by the use of audio augmentation techniques such as time and pitch shifting. Together with the feature extraction this data augmentation can achieve reasonable accuracy. Four events such as crash, tire skid, horn and siren sounds can be accurately identified giving indication of a road hazard that can be useful for traffic operators or paramedics. The proposed methodology can reach accuracy up to 94%. Such audio systems can be implemented as a part of an Internet of Things (IoT) platform that can complement video-based sensors without complete coverage.

CLMar 6, 2023
ChatGPT is on the Horizon: Could a Large Language Model be Suitable for Intelligent Traffic Safety Research and Applications?

Ou Zheng, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Dongdong Wang et al.

ChatGPT embarks on a new era of artificial intelligence and will revolutionize the way we approach intelligent traffic safety systems. This paper begins with a brief introduction about the development of large language models (LLMs). Next, we exemplify using ChatGPT to address key traffic safety issues. Furthermore, we discuss the controversies surrounding LLMs, raise critical questions for their deployment, and provide our solutions. Moreover, we propose an idea of multi-modality representation learning for smarter traffic safety decision-making and open more questions for application improvement. We believe that LLM will both shape and potentially facilitate components of traffic safety research.

CVAug 21, 2024
Video-to-Text Pedestrian Monitoring (VTPM): Leveraging Computer Vision and Large Language Models for Privacy-Preserve Pedestrian Activity Monitoring at Intersections

Ahmed S. Abdelrahman, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Dongdong Wang

Computer vision has advanced research methodologies, enhancing system services across various fields. It is a core component in traffic monitoring systems for improving road safety; however, these monitoring systems don't preserve the privacy of pedestrians who appear in the videos, potentially revealing their identities. Addressing this issue, our paper introduces Video-to-Text Pedestrian Monitoring (VTPM), which monitors pedestrian movements at intersections and generates real-time textual reports, including traffic signal and weather information. VTPM uses computer vision models for pedestrian detection and tracking, achieving a latency of 0.05 seconds per video frame. Additionally, it detects crossing violations with 90.2% accuracy by incorporating traffic signal data. The proposed framework is equipped with Phi-3 mini-4k to generate real-time textual reports of pedestrian activity while stating safety concerns like crossing violations, conflicts, and the impact of weather on their behavior with latency of 0.33 seconds. To enhance comprehensive analysis of the generated textual reports, Phi-3 medium is fine-tuned for historical analysis of these generated textual reports. This fine-tuning enables more reliable analysis about the pedestrian safety at intersections, effectively detecting patterns and safety critical events. The proposed VTPM offers a more efficient alternative to video footage by using textual reports reducing memory usage, saving up to 253 million percent, eliminating privacy issues, and enabling comprehensive interactive historical analysis.

CVApr 12, 2024Code
Enhancing Traffic Safety with Parallel Dense Video Captioning for End-to-End Event Analysis

Maged Shoman, Dongdong Wang, Armstrong Aboah et al.

This paper introduces our solution for Track 2 in AI City Challenge 2024. The task aims to solve traffic safety description and analysis with the dataset of Woven Traffic Safety (WTS), a real-world Pedestrian-Centric Traffic Video Dataset for Fine-grained Spatial-Temporal Understanding. Our solution mainly focuses on the following points: 1) To solve dense video captioning, we leverage the framework of dense video captioning with parallel decoding (PDVC) to model visual-language sequences and generate dense caption by chapters for video. 2) Our work leverages CLIP to extract visual features to more efficiently perform cross-modality training between visual and textual representations. 3) We conduct domain-specific model adaptation to mitigate domain shift problem that poses recognition challenge in video understanding. 4) Moreover, we leverage BDD-5K captioned videos to conduct knowledge transfer for better understanding WTS videos and more accurate captioning. Our solution has yielded on the test set, achieving 6th place in the competition. The open source code will be available at https://github.com/UCF-SST-Lab/AICity2024CVPRW

CVFeb 12
An Integrated Causal Inference Framework for Traffic Safety Modeling with Semantic Street-View Visual Features

Lishan Sun, Yujia Cheng, Pengfei Cui et al.

Macroscopic traffic safety modeling aims to identify critical risk factors for regional crashes, thereby informing targeted policy interventions for safety improvement. However, current approaches rely heavily on static sociodemographic and infrastructure metrics, frequently overlooking the impacts from drivers' visual perception of driving environment. Although visual environment features have been found to impact driving and traffic crashes, existing evidence remains largely observational, failing to establish the robust causality for traffic policy evaluation under complex spatial environment. To fill these gaps, we applied semantic segmentation on Google Street View imageries to extract visual environmental features and proposed a Double Machine Learning framework to quantify their causal effects on regional crashes. Meanwhile, we utilized SHAP values to characterize the nonlinear influence mechanisms of confounding variables in the models and applied causal forests to estimate conditional average treatment effects. Leveraging crash records from the Miami metropolitan area, Florida, and 220,000 street view images, evidence shows that greenery proportion exerts a significant and robust negative causal effect on traffic crashes (Average Treatment Effect = -6.38, p = 0.005). This protective effect exhibits spatial heterogeneity, being most pronounced in densely populated and socially vulnerable urban cores. While greenery significantly mitigates angle and rear-end crashes, its protective benefit for vulnerable road users (VRUs) remains limited. Our findings provide causal evidence for greening as a potential safety intervention, prioritizing hazardous visual environments while highlighting the need for distinct design optimizations to protect VRUs.

CVDec 19, 2025
SAVeD: A First-Person Social Media Video Dataset for ADAS-equipped vehicle Near-Miss and Crash Event Analyses

Shaoyan Zhai, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Chenzhu Wang et al.

The advancement of safety-critical research in driving behavior in ADAS-equipped vehicles require real-world datasets that not only include diverse traffic scenarios but also capture high-risk edge cases such as near-miss events and system failures. However, existing datasets are largely limited to either simulated environments or human-driven vehicle data, lacking authentic ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance System) vehicle behavior under risk conditions. To address this gap, this paper introduces SAVeD, a large-scale video dataset curated from publicly available social media content, explicitly focused on ADAS vehicle-related crashes, near-miss incidents, and disengagements. SAVeD features 2,119 first-person videos, capturing ADAS vehicle operations in diverse locations, lighting conditions, and weather scenarios. The dataset includes video frame-level annotations for collisions, evasive maneuvers, and disengagements, enabling analysis of both perception and decision-making failures. We demonstrate SAVeD's utility through multiple analyses and contributions: (1) We propose a novel framework integrating semantic segmentation and monocular depth estimation to compute real-time Time-to-Collision (TTC) for dynamic objects. (2) We utilize the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution to model and quantify the extreme risk in crash and near-miss events across different roadway types. (3) We establish benchmarks for state-of-the-art VLLMs (VideoLLaMA2 and InternVL2.5 HiCo R16), showing that SAVeD's detailed annotations significantly enhance model performance through domain adaptation in complex near-miss scenarios.

30.0LGMay 11
Physics-Informed Teacher-Student Ensemble Learning for Traffic State Estimation with a Varying Speed Limit Scenario

Archie J. Huang, Dongdong Wang, Shaurya Agarwal et al.

Physics-informed deep learning (PIDL) neural networks have shown their capability as a useful instrument for transportation practitioners in utilizing the underlying relationship between the state variables for traffic state estimation (TSE). Another efficient traffic management approach is implementing varying speed limits (VSLs) on transportation corridors to control traffic and mitigate congestion. However, the existing training architecture of PIDL in the literature cannot accommodate the changing traffic characteristics on a freeway with VSL. To tackle this challenge, we propose a novel framework integrating teacher-student ensemble training with PIDL neural networks for TSE under VSL scenarios. The physics of flow conservation law is encoded locally in the teacher models by PIDL, and the student model uses a multi-layer perceptron classifier (MLP) to identify traffic characteristics and selects the ensemble member of PIDL neural networks for TSE. This integrated framework provides a natural solution for capturing the heterogeneity of VSL and accurately addressing the TSE problem. The case study results validate the proposed ensemble approach, demonstrating its superior performance in TSE compared to other popular baseline methods, as indicated by relative L2 error.

CVJan 27, 2025Code
Multi-view Structural Convolution Network for Domain-Invariant Point Cloud Recognition of Autonomous Vehicles

Younggun Kim, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Beomsik Cho et al.

Point cloud representation has recently become a research hotspot in the field of computer vision and has been utilized for autonomous vehicles. However, adapting deep learning networks for point cloud data recognition is challenging due to the variability in datasets and sensor technologies. This variability underscores the necessity for adaptive techniques to maintain accuracy under different conditions. In this paper, we present the Multi-View Structural Convolution Network (MSCN) designed for domain-invariant point cloud recognition. MSCN comprises Structural Convolution Layers (SCL) that extract local context geometric features from point clouds and Structural Aggregation Layers (SAL) that extract and aggregate both local and overall context features from point clouds. Furthermore, MSCN enhances feature robustness by training with unseen domain point clouds generated from the source domain, enabling the model to acquire domain-invariant representations. Extensive cross-domain experiments demonstrate that MSCN achieves an average accuracy of 82.0%, surpassing the strong baseline PointTransformer by 15.8%, confirming its effectiveness under real-world domain shifts. Our code is available at https://github.com/MLMLab/MSCN.

LGFeb 19, 2024
Vehicle-group-based Crash Risk Prediction and Interpretation on Highways

Tianheng Zhu, Ling Wang, Yiheng Feng et al.

Previous studies in predicting crash risks primarily associated the number or likelihood of crashes on a road segment with traffic parameters or geometric characteristics, usually neglecting the impact of vehicles' continuous movement and interactions with nearby vehicles. Recent technology advances, such as Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) are able to collect high-resolution trajectory data, which enables trajectory-based risk analysis. This study investigates a new vehicle group (VG) based risk analysis method and explores risk evolution mechanisms considering VG features. An impact-based vehicle grouping method is proposed to cluster vehicles into VGs by evaluating their responses to the erratic behaviors of nearby vehicles. The risk of a VG is aggregated based on the risk between each vehicle pair in the VG, measured by inverse Time-to-Collision (iTTC). A Logistic Regression and a Graph Neural Network (GNN) are then employed to predict VG risks using aggregated and disaggregated VG information. Both methods achieve excellent performance with AUC values exceeding 0.93. For the GNN model, GNNExplainer with feature perturbation is applied to identify critical individual vehicle features and their directional impact on VG risks. Overall, this research contributes a new perspective for identifying, predicting, and interpreting traffic risks.

CVMay 15, 2025
VRU-CIPI: Crossing Intention Prediction at Intersections for Improving Vulnerable Road Users Safety

Ahmed S. Abdelrahman, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Quoc Dai Tran

Understanding and predicting human behavior in-thewild, particularly at urban intersections, remains crucial for enhancing interaction safety between road users. Among the most critical behaviors are crossing intentions of Vulnerable Road Users (VRUs), where misinterpretation may result in dangerous conflicts with oncoming vehicles. In this work, we propose the VRU-CIPI framework with a sequential attention-based model designed to predict VRU crossing intentions at intersections. VRU-CIPI employs Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) to capture temporal dynamics in VRU movements, combined with a multi-head Transformer self-attention mechanism to encode contextual and spatial dependencies critical for predicting crossing direction. Evaluated on UCF-VRU dataset, our proposed achieves state-of-the-art performance with an accuracy of 96.45% and achieving real-time inference speed reaching 33 frames per second. Furthermore, by integrating with Infrastructure-to-Vehicles (I2V) communication, our approach can proactively enhance intersection safety through timely activation of crossing signals and providing early warnings to connected vehicles, ensuring smoother and safer interactions for all road users.

CVJul 13, 2025
VRU-Accident: A Vision-Language Benchmark for Video Question Answering and Dense Captioning for Accident Scene Understanding

Younggun Kim, Ahmed S. Abdelrahman, Mohamed Abdel-Aty

Ensuring the safety of vulnerable road users (VRUs), such as pedestrians and cyclists, is a critical challenge for autonomous driving systems, as crashes involving VRUs often result in severe or fatal consequences. While multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have shown promise in enhancing scene understanding and decision making in autonomous vehicles, there is currently no standardized benchmark to quantitatively evaluate their reasoning abilities in complex, safety-critical scenarios involving VRUs. To address this gap, we present VRU-Accident, a large-scale vision-language benchmark designed to evaluate MLLMs in high-risk traffic scenarios involving VRUs. VRU-Accident comprises 1K real-world dashcam accident videos, annotated with 6K multiple-choice question-answer pairs across six safety-critical categories (with 24K candidate options and 3.4K unique answer choices), as well as 1K dense scene descriptions. Unlike prior works, our benchmark focuses explicitly on VRU-vehicle accidents, providing rich, fine-grained annotations that capture both spatial-temporal dynamics and causal semantics of accidents. To assess the current landscape of MLLMs, we conduct a comprehensive evaluation of 17 state-of-the-art models on the multiple-choice VQA task and on the dense captioning task. Our findings reveal that while MLLMs perform reasonably well on visually grounded attributes, they face significant challenges in reasoning and describing accident causes, types, and preventability.

LGMay 15, 2025
Advanced Crash Causation Analysis for Freeway Safety: A Large Language Model Approach to Identifying Key Contributing Factors

Ahmed S. Abdelrahman, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Samgyu Yang et al.

Understanding the factors contributing to traffic crashes and developing strategies to mitigate their severity is essential. Traditional statistical methods and machine learning models often struggle to capture the complex interactions between various factors and the unique characteristics of each crash. This research leverages large language model (LLM) to analyze freeway crash data and provide crash causation analysis accordingly. By compiling 226 traffic safety studies related to freeway crashes, a training dataset encompassing environmental, driver, traffic, and geometric design factors was created. The Llama3 8B model was fine-tuned using QLoRA to enhance its understanding of freeway crashes and their contributing factors, as covered in these studies. The fine-tuned Llama3 8B model was then used to identify crash causation without pre-labeled data through zero-shot classification, providing comprehensive explanations to ensure that the identified causes were reasonable and aligned with existing research. Results demonstrate that LLMs effectively identify primary crash causes such as alcohol-impaired driving, speeding, aggressive driving, and driver inattention. Incorporating event data, such as road maintenance, offers more profound insights. The model's practical applicability and potential to improve traffic safety measures were validated by a high level of agreement among researchers in the field of traffic safety, as reflected in questionnaire results with 88.89%. This research highlights the complex nature of traffic crashes and how LLMs can be used for comprehensive analysis of crash causation and other contributing factors. Moreover, it provides valuable insights and potential countermeasures to aid planners and policymakers in developing more effective and efficient traffic safety practices.

LGFeb 17
Real-time Secondary Crash Likelihood Prediction Excluding Post Primary Crash Features

Lei Han, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Zubayer Islam et al.

Secondary crash likelihood prediction is a critical component of an active traffic management system to mitigate congestion and adverse impacts caused by secondary crashes. However, existing approaches mainly rely on post-crash features (e.g., crash type and severity) that are rarely available in real time, limiting their practical applicability. To address this limitation, we propose a hybrid secondary crash likelihood prediction framework that does not depend on post-crash features. A dynamic spatiotemporal window is designed to extract real-time traffic flow and environmental features from primary crash locations and their upstream segments. The framework includes three models: a primary crash model to estimate the likelihood of secondary crash occurrence, and two secondary crash models to evaluate traffic conditions at crash and upstream segments under different comparative scenarios. An ensemble learning strategy integrating six machine learning algorithms is developed to enhance predictive performance, and a voting-based mechanism combines the outputs of the three models. Experiments on Florida freeways demonstrate that the proposed hybrid framework correctly identifies 91% of secondary crashes with a low false alarm rate of 0.20. The Area Under the ROC Curve improves from 0.654, 0.744, and 0.902 for the individual models to 0.952 for the hybrid model, outperforming previous studies.

LGFeb 17
MMCAformer: Macro-Micro Cross-Attention Transformer for Traffic Speed Prediction with Microscopic Connected Vehicle Driving Behavior

Lei Han, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Younggun Kim et al.

Accurate speed prediction is crucial for proactive traffic management to enhance traffic efficiency and safety. Existing studies have primarily relied on aggregated, macroscopic traffic flow data to predict future traffic trends, whereas road traffic dynamics are also influenced by individual, microscopic human driving behaviors. Recent Connected Vehicle (CV) data provide rich driving behavior features, offering new opportunities to incorporate these behavioral insights into speed prediction. To this end, we propose the Macro-Micro Cross-Attention Transformer (MMCAformer) to integrate CV data-based micro driving behavior features with macro traffic features for speed prediction. Specifically, MMCAformer employs self-attention to learn intrinsic dependencies in macro traffic flow and cross-attention to capture spatiotemporal interplays between macro traffic status and micro driving behavior. MMCAformer is optimized with a Student-t negative log-likelihood loss to provide point-wise speed prediction and estimate uncertainty. Experiments on four Florida freeways demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed MMCAformer compared to baselines. Compared with only using macro features, introducing micro driving behavior features not only enhances prediction accuracy (e.g., overall RMSE, MAE, and MAPE reduced by 9.0%, 6.9%, and 10.2%, respectively) but also shrinks model prediction uncertainty (e.g., mean predictive intervals decreased by 10.1-24.0% across the four freeways). Results reveal that hard braking and acceleration frequencies emerge as the most influential features. Such improvements are more pronounced under congested, low-speed traffic conditions.

SDFeb 3, 2022
Real-time Emergency Vehicle Event Detection Using Audio Data

Zubayer Islam, Mohamed Abdel-Aty

In this work, we focus on detecting emergency vehicles using only audio data. Improved and quick detection can help in faster preemption of these vehicles at signalized intersections thereby reducing overall response time in case of emergencies. Important audio features were extracted from raw data and passed into extreme learning machines (ELM) for training. ELMs have been used in this work because of its simplicity and shorter run-time which can therefore be used for online learning. Recently, there have been many studies that focus on sound classification but most of the methods used are complex to train and implement. The results from this paper show that ELM can achieve similar performance with exceptionally shorter training times. The accuracy reported for ELM is about 97% for emergency vehicle detection (EVD).