Idris A. Eckley

Gaetano Romano, Idris Eckley, Paul Fearnhead et al.

Many modern applications of online changepoint detection require the ability to process high-frequency observations, sometimes with limited available computational resources. Online algorithms for detecting a change in mean often involve using a moving window, or specifying the expected size of change. Such choices affect which changes the algorithms have most power to detect. We introduce an algorithm, Functional Online CuSUM (FOCuS), which is equivalent to running these earlier methods simultaneously for all sizes of window, or all possible values for the size of change. Our theoretical results give tight bounds on the expected computational cost per iteration of FOCuS, with this being logarithmic in the number of observations. We show how FOCuS can be applied to a number of different change in mean scenarios, and demonstrate its practical utility through its state-of-the art performance at detecting anomalous behaviour in computer server data.

Alexander T. M. Fisch, Idris A. Eckley, P. Fearnhead

In this paper, we propose CE-BASS, a particle mixture Kalman filter which is robust to both innovative and additive outliers, and able to fully capture multi-modality in the distribution of the hidden state. Furthermore, the particle sampling approach re-samples past states, which enables CE-BASS to handle innovative outliers which are not immediately visible in the observations, such as trend changes. The filter is computationally efficient as we derive new, accurate approximations to the optimal proposal distributions for the particles. The proposed algorithm is shown to compare well with existing approaches and is applied to both machine temperature and server data.

Alexander T M Fisch, Idris A Eckley, Paul Fearnhead

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in identifying anomalous structure within multivariate data streams. We consider the problem of detecting collective anomalies, corresponding to intervals where one or more of the data streams behaves anomalously. We first develop a test for a single collective anomaly that has power to simultaneously detect anomalies that are either rare, that is affecting few data streams, or common. We then show how to detect multiple anomalies in a way that is computationally efficient but avoids the approximations inherent in binary segmentation-like approaches. This approach, which we call MVCAPA, is shown to consistently estimate the number and location of the collective anomalies, a property that has not previously been shown for competing methods. MVCAPA can be made robust to point anomalies and can allow for the anomalies to be imperfectly aligned. We show the practical usefulness of allowing for imperfect alignments through a resulting increase in power to detect regions of copy number variation.

Hankui Peng, Nicos Pavlidis, Idris Eckley et al.

In this paper we consider the problem of clustering collections of very short texts using subspace clustering. This problem arises in many applications such as product categorisation, fraud detection, and sentiment analysis. The main challenge lies in the fact that the vectorial representation of short texts is both high-dimensional, due to the large number of unique terms in the corpus, and extremely sparse, as each text contains a very small number of words with no repetition. We propose a new, simple subspace clustering algorithm that relies on linear algebra to cluster such datasets. Experimental results on identifying product categories from product names obtained from the US Amazon website indicate that the algorithm can be competitive against state-of-the-art clustering algorithms.

David P. Hofmeyr, Nicos G. Pavlidis, Idris A. Eckley

We study the problem of determining the optimal low dimensional projection for maximising the separability of a binary partition of an unlabelled dataset, as measured by spectral graph theory. This is achieved by finding projections which minimise the second eigenvalue of the graph Laplacian of the projected data, which corresponds to a non-convex, non-smooth optimisation problem. We show that the optimal univariate projection based on spectral connectivity converges to the vector normal to the maximum margin hyperplane through the data, as the scaling parameter is reduced to zero. This establishes a connection between connectivity as measured by spectral graph theory and maximal Euclidean separation. The computational cost associated with each eigen-problem is quadratic in the number of data. To mitigate this issue, we propose an approximation method using microclusters with provable approximation error bounds. Combining multiple binary partitions within a divisive hierarchical model allows us to construct clustering solutions admitting clusters with varying scales and lying within different subspaces. We evaluate the performance of the proposed method on a large collection of benchmark datasets and find that it compares favourably with existing methods for projection pursuit and dimension reduction for data clustering.

Kaylea Haynes, Idris A. Eckley, Paul Fearnhead

In the multiple changepoint setting, various search methods have been proposed which involve optimising either a constrained or penalised cost function over possible numbers and locations of changepoints using dynamic programming. Such methods are typically computationally intensive. Recent work in the penalised optimisation setting has focussed on developing a pruning-based approach which gives an improved computational cost that, under certain conditions, is linear in the number of data points. Such an approach naturally requires the specification of a penalty to avoid under/over-fitting. Work has been undertaken to identify the appropriate penalty choice for data generating processes with known distributional form, but in many applications the model assumed for the data is not correct and these penalty choices are not always appropriate. Consequently it is desirable to have an approach that enables us to compare segmentations for different choices of penalty. To this end we present a method to obtain optimal changepoint segmentations of data sequences for all penalty values across a continuous range. This permits an evaluation of the various segmentations to identify a suitably parsimonious penalty choice. The computational complexity of this approach can be linear in the number of data points and linear in the difference between the number of changepoints in the optimal segmentations for the smallest and largest penalty values. This can be orders of magnitude faster than alternative approaches that find optimal segmentations for a range of the number of changepoints.