2.3SYApr 24, 2023
Stochastic MPC for energy hubs using data driven demand forecastingVarsha Behrunani, Francesco Micheli, Jonas Mehr et al.
Energy hubs convert and distribute energy resources by combining different energy inputs through multiple conversion and storage components. The optimal operation of the energy hub exploits its flexibility to increase the energy efficiency and reduce the operational costs. However, uncertainties in the demand present challenges to energy hub optimization. In this paper, we propose a stochastic MPC controller to minimize energy costs using chance constraints for the uncertain electricity and thermal demands. Historical data is used to build a demand prediction model based on Gaussian processes to generate a forecast of the future electricity and heat demands. The stochastic optimization problem is solved via the Scenario Approach by sampling multi-step demand trajectories from the derived prediction model. The performance of the proposed predictor and of the stochastic controller is verified on a simulated energy hub model and demand data from a real building.
8.1SYApr 9
Towards socio-techno-economic power systems with demand-side flexibilityHanmin Cai, Federica Bellizio, Yi Guo et al.
Harnessing the demand-side flexibility in building and mobility sectors can help to better integrate renewable energy into power systems and reduce global CO2 emissions. Enabling this sector coupling can be achieved with advances in energy management, business models, control technologies, and power grids. The study of demand-side flexibility extends beyond engineering, spanning social science, economics, and power and control systems, which present both challenges and opportunities to researchers and engineers in these fields. This Review outlines recent trends and studies in social, economic, and technological advancements in power systems that leverage demand-side flexibility. We first provide a concept of a socio-techno-economic system with an abstraction of end-users, building and mobility sectors, control systems, electricity markets, and power grids. We discuss the interconnections between these elements, highlighting the importance of bidirectional flows of information and coordinated decision-making. We then emphasize that fully realizing demand-side flexibility necessitates deep integration across stakeholders and systems, moving beyond siloed approaches. Finally, we discuss the future directions in renewable-based power systems and control engineering to address key challenges from both research and practitioners' perspectives. A holistic approach for identifying, measuring, and utilizing demand-side flexibility is key to successfully maximizing its multi-stakeholder benefits but requires further transdisciplinary collaboration and commercially viable solutions for broader implementation.