Angelo Coluccia

Angelo Coluccia, Giuseppe Notarstefano

In this paper we consider a network of agents monitoring a spatially distributed arrival process. Each node measures the number of arrivals seen at its monitoring point in a given time-interval with the objective of estimating the unknown local arrival rate. We propose an asynchronous distributed approach based on a Bayesian model with unknown hyperparameter, where each node computes the minimum mean square error (MMSE) estimator of its local arrival rate in a distributed way. As a result, the estimation at each node "optimally" fuses the information from the whole network through a distributed optimization algorithm. Moreover, we propose an ad-hoc distributed estimator, based on a consensus algorithm for time-varying and directed graphs, which exhibits reduced complexity and exponential convergence. We analyze the performance of the proposed distributed estimators, showing that they: (i) are reliable even in presence of limited local data, and (ii) improve the estimation accuracy compared to the purely decentralized setup. Finally, we provide a statistical characterization of the proposed estimators. In particular, for the ad-hoc estimator, we show that as the number of nodes goes to infinity its mean square error converges to the optimal one. Numerical Monte Carlo simulations confirm the theoretical characterization and highlight the appealing performances of the estimators.

Francesco Sasso, Angelo Coluccia, Giuseppe Notarstefano

In this paper we consider a network of spatially distributed sensors which collect measurement samples of a spatial field, and aim at estimating in a distributed way (without any central coordinator) the entire field by suitably fusing all network data. We propose a general probabilistic model that can handle both partial knowledge of the physics generating the spatial field as well as a purely data-driven inference. Specifically, we adopt an Empirical Bayes approach in which the spatial field is modeled as a Gaussian Process, whose mean function is described by means of parametrized equations. We characterize the Empirical Bayes estimator when nodes are heterogeneous, i.e., perform a different number of measurements. Moreover, by exploiting the sparsity of both the covariance and the (parametrized) mean function of the Gaussian Process, we are able to design a distributed spatial field estimator. We corroborate the theoretical results with two numerical simulations: a stationary temperature field estimation in which the field is described by a partial differential (heat) equation, and a data driven inference in which the mean is parametrized by a cubic spline.

Francesco Sasso, Angelo Coluccia, Giuseppe Notarstefano

We consider a network scenario in which agents can evaluate each other according to a score graph that models some interactions. The goal is to design a distributed protocol, run by the agents, that allows them to learn their unknown state among a finite set of possible values. We propose a Bayesian framework in which scores and states are associated to probabilistic events with unknown parameters and hyperparameters, respectively. We show that each agent can learn its state by means of a local Bayesian classifier and a (centralized) Maximum-Likelihood (ML) estimator of parameter-hyperparameter that combines plain ML and Empirical Bayes approaches. By using tools from graphical models, which allow us to gain insight on conditional dependencies of scores and states, we provide a relaxed probabilistic model that ultimately leads to a parameter-hyperparameter estimator amenable to distributed computation. To highlight the appropriateness of the proposed relaxation, we demonstrate the distributed estimators on a social interaction set-up for user profiling.

Francesco Sasso, Angelo Coluccia, Giuseppe Notarstefano

In this paper we consider a network scenario in which agents can evaluate each other according to a score graph that models some physical or social interaction. The goal is to design a distributed protocol, run by the agents, allowing them to learn their unknown state among a finite set of possible values. We propose a Bayesian framework in which scores and states are associated to probabilistic events with unknown parameters and hyperparameters respectively. We prove that each agent can learn its state by means of a local Bayesian classifier and a (centralized) Maximum-Likelihood (ML) estimator of the parameter-hyperparameter that combines plain ML and Empirical Bayes approaches. By using tools from graphical models, which allow us to gain insight on conditional dependences of scores and states, we provide two relaxed probabilistic models that ultimately lead to ML parameter-hyperparameter estimators amenable to distributed computation. In order to highlight the appropriateness of the proposed relaxations, we demonstrate the distributed estimators on a machine-to-machine testing set-up for anomaly detection and on a social interaction set-up for user profiling.