SYFeb 10, 2017
A Novel Hybrid Approach Using SMS and ROCOF for Islanding Detection of Inverter-Based DGsShahrokh Akhlaghi, Morteza Sarailoo, Arash Akhlaghi et al.
This paper proposes a novel hybrid approach for islanding detection of inverter-based distributed generations (DG) based on combination of the Slip mode frequency-shift (SMS) as an active and rate of change of frequency (ROCOF) relay and over/under frequency relay as passive methods. This approach is utilized to force the DG to lose its stable operation and drift the frequency out of the allowed range of the frequency threshold. Performance of the proposed approach is evaluated under the IEEE 1547, UL 1741 and multiple-DG operation. The simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach for detection of islanding, especially for loads with high quality factor. It operates accurately under the condition of load switching and does not interfere with the power system operation during normal condition. In other words, not only it holds the benefits of both SMS and ROCOF, but also it removes their drawbacks by having less non-detection zone and faster response.
MLSep 24, 2017
Weather Forecasting Error in Solar Energy ForecastingHossein Sangrody, Morteza Sarailoo, Ning Zhou et al.
As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally, observed weather data are applied in the solar PV generation forecasting model while in practice the energy forecasting is based on forecasted weather data. In this paper, a study on the uncertainty in weather forecasting for the most commonly used weather variables is presented. The forecasted weather data for six days ahead is compared with the observed data and the results of analysis are quantified by statistical metrics. In addition, the most influential weather predictors in energy forecasting model are selected. The performance of historical and observed weather data errors is assessed using a solar PV generation forecasting model. Finally, a sensitivity test is performed to identify the influential weather variables whose accurate values can significantly improve the results of energy forecasting.
MLJul 15, 2017
On the Performance of Forecasting Models in the Presence of Input UncertaintyHossein Sangrody, Morteza Sarailoo, Ning Zhou et al.
Nowadays, with the unprecedented penetration of renewable distributed energy resources (DERs), the necessity of an efficient energy forecasting model is more demanding than before. Generally, forecasting models are trained using observed weather data while the trained models are applied for energy forecasting using forecasted weather data. In this study, the performance of several commonly used forecasting methods in the presence of weather predictors with uncertainty is assessed and compared. Accordingly, both observed and forecasted weather data are collected, then the influential predictors for solar PV generation forecasting model are selected using several measures. Using observed and forecasted weather data, an analysis on the uncertainty of weather variables is represented by MAE and bootstrapping. The energy forecasting model is trained using observed weather data, and finally, the performance of several commonly used forecasting methods in solar energy forecasting is simulated and compared for a real case study.