Amritanshu Agrawal

Suvodeep Majumder, Joymallya Chakraborty, Amritanshu Agrawal et al.

Prior literature has suggested that in many projects 80\% or more of the contributions are made by a small called group of around 20% of the development team. Most prior studies deprecate a reliance on such a small inner group of "heroes", arguing that it causes bottlenecks in development and communication. Despite this, such projects are very common in open source projects. So what exactly is the impact of "heroes" in code quality? Herbsleb argues that if code is strongly connected yet their developers are not, then that code will be buggy. To test the Hersleb hypothesis, we develop and apply two metrics of (a) "social-ness'"and (b) "hero-ness" that measure (a) how much one developer comments on the issues of another; and (b) how much one developer changes another developer's code (and "heroes" are those that change the most code, all around the system). In a result endorsing the Hersleb hypothesis, in over 1000 open source projects, we find that "social-ness" is a statistically stronger indicate for code quality (number of bugs) than "hero-ness". Hence we say that debates over the merits of "hero-ness" is subtly misguided. Our results suggest that the real benefits of these so-called "heroes" is not so much the code they generate but the pattern of communication required when the interaction between a large community of programmers passes through a small group of centralized developers. To say that another way, to build better code, build better communication flows between core developers and the rest. In order to allow other researchers to confirm/improve/refute our results, all our scripts and data are available, on-line at https://github.com/Anonymous633671/A-Comparison-on-Communication-and-Code-Dependency-Effects-on-Software-Code-Quality.

Akond Rahman, Amritanshu Agrawal, Rahul Krishna et al.

Continuous integration (CI) tools integrate code changes by automatically compiling, building, and executing test cases upon submission of code changes. Use of CI tools is getting increasingly popular, yet how proprietary projects reap the benefits of CI remains unknown. To investigate the influence of CI on software development, we analyze 150 open source software (OSS) projects, and 123 proprietary projects. For OSS projects, we observe the expected benefits after CI adoption, e.g., improvements in bug and issue resolution. However, for the proprietary projects, we cannot make similar observations. Our findings indicate that only adoption of CI might not be enough to the improve software development process. CI can be effective for software development if practitioners use CI's feedback mechanism efficiently, by applying the practice of making frequent commits. For our set of proprietary projects we observe practitioners commit less frequently, and hence not use CI effectively for obtaining feedback on the submitted code changes. Based on our findings we recommend industry practitioners to adopt the best practices of CI to reap the benefits of CI tools for example, making frequent commits.

Amritanshu Agrawal, Akond Rahman, Rahul Krishna et al.

A software project has "Hero Developers" when 80% of contributions are delivered by 20% of the developers. Are such heroes a good idea? Are too many heroes bad for software quality? Is it better to have more/less heroes for different kinds of projects? To answer these questions, we studied 661 open source projects from Public open source software (OSS) Github and 171 projects from an Enterprise Github. We find that hero projects are very common. In fact, as projects grow in size, nearly all project become hero projects. These findings motivated us to look more closely at the effects of heroes on software development. Analysis shows that the frequency to close issues and bugs are not significantly affected by the presence of project type (Public or Enterprise). Similarly, the time needed to resolve an issue/bug/enhancement is not affected by heroes or project type. This is a surprising result since, before looking at the data, we expected that increasing heroes on a project will slow down howfast that project reacts to change. However, we do find a statistically significant association between heroes, project types, and enhancement resolution rates. Heroes do not affect enhancement resolution rates in Public projects. However, in Enterprise projects, the more heroes increase the rate at which project complete enhancements. In summary, our empirical results call for a revision of a long-held truism in software engineering. Software heroes are far more common and valuable than suggested by the literature, particularly for medium to large Enterprise developments. Organizations should reflect on better ways to find and retain more of these heroes

Rahul Krishna, Amritanshu Agrawal, Akond Rahman et al.

Agile teams juggle multiple tasks so professionals are often assigned to multiple projects, especially in service organizations that monitor and maintain a large suite of software for a large user base. If we could predict changes in project conditions changes, then managers could better adjust the staff allocated to those projects.This paper builds such a predictor using data from 832 open source and proprietary applications. Using a time series analysis of the last 4 months of issues, we can forecast how many bug reports and enhancement requests will be generated next month. The forecasts made in this way only require a frequency count of this issue reports (and do not require an historical record of bugs found in the project). That is, this kind of predictive model is very easy to deploy within a project. We hence strongly recommend this method for forecasting future issues, enhancements, and bugs in a project.

Amritanshu Agrawal, Tim Menzies

We report and fix an important systematic error in prior studies that ranked classifiers for software analytics. Those studies did not (a) assess classifiers on multiple criteria and they did not (b) study how variations in the data affect the results. Hence, this paper applies (a) multi-criteria tests while (b) fixing the weaker regions of the training data (using SMOTUNED, which is a self-tuning version of SMOTE). This approach leads to dramatically large increases in software defect predictions. When applied in a 5*5 cross-validation study for 3,681 JAVA classes (containing over a million lines of code) from open source systems, SMOTUNED increased AUC and recall by 60% and 20% respectively. These improvements are independent of the classifier used to predict for quality. Same kind of pattern (improvement) was observed when a comparative analysis of SMOTE and SMOTUNED was done against the most recent class imbalance technique. In conclusion, for software analytic tasks like defect prediction, (1) data pre-processing can be more important than classifier choice, (2) ranking studies are incomplete without such pre-processing, and (3) SMOTUNED is a promising candidate for pre-processing.

Amritanshu Agrawal, Xueqi Yang, Rishabh Agrawal et al.

How to make software analytics simpler and faster? One method is to match the complexity of analysis to the intrinsic complexity of the data being explored. For example, hyperparameter optimizers find the control settings for data miners that improve for improving the predictions generated via software analytics. Sometimes, very fast hyperparameter optimization can be achieved by just DODGE-ing away from things tried before. But when is it wise to use DODGE and when must we use more complex (and much slower) optimizers? To answer this, we applied hyperparameter optimization to 120 SE data sets that explored bad smell detection, predicting Github ssue close time, bug report analysis, defect prediction, and dozens of other non-SE problems. We find that DODGE works best for data sets with low "intrinsic dimensionality" (D = 3) and very poorly for higher-dimensional data (D over 8). Nearly all the SE data seen here was intrinsically low-dimensional, indicating that DODGE is applicable for many SE analytics tasks.

Amritanshu Agrawal, Xueqi Yang, Rishabh Agrawal et al.

How can we make software analytics simpler and faster? One method is to match the complexity of analysis to the intrinsic complexity of the data being explored. For example, hyperparameter optimizers find the control settings for data miners that improve the predictions generated via software analytics. Sometimes, very fast hyperparameter optimization can be achieved by "DODGE-ing"; i.e. simply steering way from settings that lead to similar conclusions. But when is it wise to use that simple approach and when must we use more complex (and much slower) optimizers?} To answer this, we applied hyperparameter optimization to 120 SE data sets that explored bad smell detection, predicting Github issue close time, bug report analysis, defect prediction, and dozens of other non-SE problems. We find that the simple DODGE works best for data sets with low "intrinsic dimensionality" (u ~ 3) and very poorly for higher-dimensional data (u > 8). Nearly all the SE data seen here was intrinsically low-dimensional, indicating that DODGE is applicable for many SE analytics tasks.

Amritanshu Agrawal, Wei Fu, Di Chen et al.

Machine learning techniques applied to software engineering tasks can be improved by hyperparameter optimization, i.e., automatic tools that find good settings for a learner's control parameters. We show that such hyperparameter optimization can be unnecessarily slow, particularly when the optimizers waste time exploring "redundant tunings"', i.e., pairs of tunings which lead to indistinguishable results. By ignoring redundant tunings, DODGE, a tuning tool, runs orders of magnitude faster, while also generating learners with more accurate predictions than seen in prior state-of-the-art approaches.

Amritanshu Agrawal, Tim Menzies, Leandro L. Minku et al.

This paper claims that a new field of empirical software engineering research and practice is emerging: data mining using/used-by optimizers for empirical studies or DUO. For example, data miners can generate models that are explored by optimizers. Also, optimizers can advise how to best adjust the control parameters of a data miner. This combined approach acts like an agent leaning over the shoulder of an analyst that advises "ask this question next" or "ignore that problem, it is not relevant to your goals". Further, those agents can help us build "better" predictive models, where "better" can be either greater predictive accuracy or faster modeling time (which, in turn, enables the exploration of a wider range of options). We also caution that the era of papers that just use data miners is coming to an end. Results obtained from an unoptimized data miner can be quickly refuted, just by applying an optimizer to produce a different (and better performing) model. Our conclusion, hence, is that for software analytics it is possible, useful and necessary to combine data mining and optimization using DUO.

Amritanshu Agrawal, Huy Tu, Tim Menzies

Text mining methods are used for a wide range of Software Engineering (SE) tasks. The biggest challenge of text mining is high dimensional data, i.e., a corpus of documents can contain $10^4$ to $10^6$ unique words. To address this complexity, some very convoluted text mining methods have been applied. Is that complexity necessary? Are there simpler ways to quickly generate models that perform as well as the more convoluted methods and also be human-readable? To answer these questions, we explore a combination of LDA (Latent Dirichlet Allocation) and FFTs (Fast and Frugal Trees) to classify NASA software bug reports from six different projects. Designed using principles from psychological science, FFTs return very small models that are human-comprehensible. When compared to the commonly used text mining method and a recent state-of-the-art-system (search-based SE method that automatically tune the control parameters of LDA), these FFT models are very small (a binary tree of depth $d = 4$ that references only 4 topics) and hence easy to understand. They were also faster to generate and produced similar or better severity predictions. Hence we can conclude that, at least for datasets explored here, convoluted text mining models can be deprecated in favor of simpler method such as LDA+FFTs. At the very least, we recommend LDA+FFTs (a) when humans need to read, understand, and audit a model or (b) as an initial baseline method for the SE researchers exploring text artifacts from software projects.

Wei Fu, Tim Menzies, Di Chen et al.

Despite extensive research, many methods in software quality prediction still exhibit some degree of uncertainty in their results. Rather than treating this as a problem, this paper asks if this uncertainty is a resource that can simplify software quality prediction. For example, Deb's principle of $ε$-dominance states that if there exists some $ε$ value below which it is useless or impossible to distinguish results, then it is superfluous to explore anything less than $ε$. We say that for "large $ε$ problems", the results space of learning effectively contains just a few regions. If many learners are then applied to such large $ε$ problems, they would exhibit a "many roads lead to Rome" property; i.e., many different software quality prediction methods would generate a small set of very similar results. This paper explores DART, an algorithm especially selected to succeed for large $ε$ software quality prediction problems. DART is remarkable simple yet, on experimentation, it dramatically out-performs three sets of state-of-the-art defect prediction methods. The success of DART for defect prediction begs the questions: how many other domains in software quality predictors can also be radically simplified? This will be a fruitful direction for future work.

Vivek Nair, Amritanshu Agrawal, Jianfeng Chen et al.

This paper introduces Data-Driven Search-based Software Engineering (DSE), which combines insights from Mining Software Repositories (MSR) and Search-based Software Engineering (SBSE). While MSR formulates software engineering problems as data mining problems, SBSE reformulates SE problems as optimization problems and use meta-heuristic algorithms to solve them. Both MSR and SBSE share the common goal of providing insights to improve software engineering. The algorithms used in these two areas also have intrinsic relationships. We, therefore, argue that combining these two fields is useful for situations (a) which require learning from a large data source or (b) when optimizers need to know the lay of the land to find better solutions, faster. This paper aims to answer the following three questions: (1) What are the various topics addressed by DSE? (2) What types of data are used by the researchers in this area? (3) What research approaches do researchers use? The paper briefly sets out to act as a practical guide to develop new DSE techniques and also to serve as a teaching resource. This paper also presents a resource (tiny.cc/data-se) for exploring DSE. The resource contains 89 artifacts which are related to DSE, divided into 13 groups such as requirements engineering, software product lines, software processes. All the materials in this repository have been used in recent software engineering papers; i.e., for all this material, there exist baseline results against which researchers can comparatively assess their new ideas.

Amritanshu Agrawal, Wei Fu, Tim Menzies

Context: Topic modeling finds human-readable structures in unstructured textual data. A widely used topic modeler is Latent Dirichlet allocation. When run on different datasets, LDA suffers from "order effects" i.e. different topics are generated if the order of training data is shuffled. Such order effects introduce a systematic error for any study. This error can relate to misleading results;specifically, inaccurate topic descriptions and a reduction in the efficacy of text mining classification results. Objective: To provide a method in which distributions generated by LDA are more stable and can be used for further analysis. Method: We use LDADE, a search-based software engineering tool that tunes LDA's parameters using DE (Differential Evolution). LDADE is evaluated on data from a programmer information exchange site (Stackoverflow), title and abstract text of thousands ofSoftware Engineering (SE) papers, and software defect reports from NASA. Results were collected across different implementations of LDA (Python+Scikit-Learn, Scala+Spark); across different platforms (Linux, Macintosh) and for different kinds of LDAs (VEM,or using Gibbs sampling). Results were scored via topic stability and text mining classification accuracy. Results: In all treatments: (i) standard LDA exhibits very large topic instability; (ii) LDADE's tunings dramatically reduce cluster instability; (iii) LDADE also leads to improved performances for supervised as well as unsupervised learning. Conclusion: Due to topic instability, using standard LDA with its "off-the-shelf" settings should now be depreciated. Also, in future, we should require SE papers that use LDA to test and (if needed) mitigate LDA topic instability. Finally, LDADE is a candidate technology for effectively and efficiently reducing that instability.

George Mathew, Amritanshu Agrawal, Tim Menzies

This paper explores the structure of research papers in software engineering. Using text mining, we study 35,391 software engineering (SE) papers from 34 leading SE venues over the last 25 years. These venues were divided, nearly evenly, between conferences and journals. An important aspect of this analysis is that it is fully automated and repeatable. To achieve that automation, we used a stable topic modeling technique called LDADE that fully automates parameter tuning in LDA. Using LDADE, we mine 11 topics that represent much of the structure of contemporary SE. The 11 topics presented here should not be "set in stone" as the only topics worthy of study in SE. Rather our goal is to report that (a) text mining methods can detect large scale trends within our community; (b) those topic change with time; so (c) it is important to have automatic agents that can update our understanding of our community whenever new data arrives.