AISep 2, 2022
Inference and dynamic decision-making for deteriorating systems with probabilistic dependencies through Bayesian networks and deep reinforcement learningPablo G. Morato, Charalampos P. Andriotis, Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou et al.
In the context of modern environmental and societal concerns, there is an increasing demand for methods able to identify management strategies for civil engineering systems, minimizing structural failure risks while optimally planning inspection and maintenance (I&M) processes. Most available methods simplify the I&M decision problem to the component level due to the computational complexity associated with global optimization methodologies under joint system-level state descriptions. In this paper, we propose an efficient algorithmic framework for inference and decision-making under uncertainty for engineering systems exposed to deteriorating environments, providing optimal management strategies directly at the system level. In our approach, the decision problem is formulated as a factored partially observable Markov decision process, whose dynamics are encoded in Bayesian network conditional structures. The methodology can handle environments under equal or general, unequal deterioration correlations among components, through Gaussian hierarchical structures and dynamic Bayesian networks. In terms of policy optimization, we adopt a deep decentralized multi-agent actor-critic (DDMAC) reinforcement learning approach, in which the policies are approximated by actor neural networks guided by a critic network. By including deterioration dependence in the simulated environment, and by formulating the cost model at the system level, DDMAC policies intrinsically consider the underlying system-effects. This is demonstrated through numerical experiments conducted for both a 9-out-of-10 system and a steel frame under fatigue deterioration. Results demonstrate that DDMAC policies offer substantial benefits when compared to state-of-the-art heuristic approaches. The inherent consideration of system-effects by DDMAC strategies is also interpreted based on the learned policies.
MAMar 12
The price of decentralization in managing engineering systems through multi-agent reinforcement learningPrateek Bhustali, Pablo G. Morato, Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou et al.
Inspection and maintenance (I&M) planning involves sequential decision making under uncertainties and incomplete information, and can be modeled as a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP). While single-agent deep reinforcement learning provides approximate solutions to POMDPs, it does not scale well in multi-component systems. Scalability can be achieved through multi-agent deep reinforcement learning (MADRL), which decentralizes decision-making across multiple agents, locally controlling individual components. However, this decentralization can induce cooperation pathologies that degrade the optimality of the learned policies. To examine these effects in I&M planning, we introduce a set of deteriorating systems in which redundancy is varied systematically. These benchmark environments are designed such that computation of centralized (near-)optimal policies remains tractable, enabling direct comparison of solution methods. We implement and benchmark a broad set of MADRL algorithms spanning fully centralized and decentralized training paradigms, from value-factorization to actor-critic methods. Our results show a clear effect of redundancy on coordination: MADRL algorithms achieve near-optimal performance in series-like settings, whereas increasing redundancy amplifies coordination challenges and can lead to optimality losses. Nonetheless, decentralized agents learn structured policies that consistently outperform optimized heuristic baselines, highlighting both the promise and current limitations of decentralized learning for scalable maintenance planning.
LGJul 7, 2025
ConBatch-BAL: Batch Bayesian Active Learning under Budget ConstraintsPablo G. Morato, Charalampos P. Andriotis, Seyran Khademi
Varying annotation costs among data points and budget constraints can hinder the adoption of active learning strategies in real-world applications. This work introduces two Bayesian active learning strategies for batch acquisition under constraints (ConBatch-BAL), one based on dynamic thresholding and one following greedy acquisition. Both select samples using uncertainty metrics computed via Bayesian neural networks. The dynamic thresholding strategy redistributes the budget across the batch, while the greedy one selects the top-ranked sample at each step, limited by the remaining budget. Focusing on scenarios with costly data annotation and geospatial constraints, we also release two new real-world datasets containing geolocated aerial images of buildings, annotated with energy efficiency or typology classes. The ConBatch-BAL strategies are benchmarked against a random acquisition baseline on these datasets under various budget and cost scenarios. The results show that the developed ConBatch-BAL strategies can reduce active learning iterations and data acquisition costs in real-world settings, and even outperform the unconstrained baseline solutions.