Neal Master

Anil Aswani, Neal Master, Jay Taneja et al.

Experimentally comparing the energy usage and comfort characteristics of different controllers in heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems is difficult because variations in weather and occupancy conditions preclude the possibility of establishing equivalent experimental conditions across the order of hours, days, and weeks. This paper is concerned with defining quantitative metrics of energy usage and occupant comfort, which can be computed and compared in a rigorous manner that is capable of determining whether differences between controllers are statistically significant in the presence of such environmental fluctuations. Experimental case studies are presented that compare two alternative controllers (a schedule controller and a hybrid system learning-based model predictive controller) to the default controller in a building-wide HVAC system. Lastly, we discuss how our proposed methodology may also be able to quantify the efficiency of other building automation systems.

Neal Master, Carri W. Chan, Nicholas Bambos

In many scheduling applications, minimizing delays is of high importance. One adverse effect of such delays is that the reward for completion of a job may decay over time. Indeed in healthcare settings, delays in access to care can result in worse outcomes, such as an increase in mortality risk. Motivated by managing hospital operations in disaster scenarios, as well as other applications in perishable inventory control and information services, we consider non-preemptive scheduling of jobs whose internal value decays over time. Because solving for the optimal scheduling policy is computationally intractable, we focus our attention on the performance of three intuitive heuristics: (1) a policy which maximizes the expected immediate reward, (2) a policy which maximizes the expected immediate reward rate, and (3) a policy which prioritizes jobs with imminent deadlines. We provide performance guarantees for all three policies and show that many of these performance bounds are tight. In addition, we provide numerical experiments and simulations to compare how the policies perform in a variety of scenarios. Our theoretical and numerical results allow us to establish rules-of-thumb for applying these heuristics in a variety of situations, including patient scheduling scenarios.

Neal Master

Projective cone scheduling defines a large class of rate-stabilizing policies for queueing models relevant to several applications. While there exists considerable theory on the properties of projective cone schedulers, there is little practical guidance on choosing the parameters that define them. In this paper, we propose an algorithm for designing an automated projective cone scheduling system based on observations of an expert projective cone scheduler. We show that the estimated scheduling policy is able to emulate the expert in the sense that the average loss realized by the learned policy will converge to zero. Specifically, for a system with $n$ queues observed over a time horizon $T$, the average loss for the algorithm is $O(\ln(T)\sqrt{\ln(n)/T})$. This upper bound holds regardless of the statistical characteristics of the system. The algorithm uses the multiplicative weights update method and can be applied online so that additional observations of the expert scheduler can be used to improve an existing estimate of the policy. This provides a data-driven method for designing a scheduling policy based on observations of a human expert. We demonstrate the efficacy of the algorithm with a simple numerical example and discuss several extensions.

Anil Aswani, Neal Master, Jay Taneja et al.

Improving the energy-efficiency of heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems has the potential to realize large economic and societal benefits. This paper concerns the system identification of a hybrid system model of a building-wide HVAC system and its subsequent control using a hybrid system formulation of learning-based model predictive control (LBMPC). Here, the learning refers to model updates to the hybrid system model that incorporate the heating effects due to occupancy, solar effects, outside air temperature (OAT), and equipment, in addition to integrator dynamics inherently present in low-level control. Though we make significant modeling simplifications, our corresponding controller that uses this model is able to experimentally achieve a large reduction in energy usage without any degradations in occupant comfort. It is in this way that we justify the modeling simplifications that we have made. We conclude by presenting results from experiments on our building HVAC testbed, which show an average of 1.5MWh of energy savings per day (p = 0.002) with a 95% confidence interval of 1.0MWh to 2.1MWh of energy savings.