Dominik Fischer

Rohit Salgotra, Thomas Seidelmann, Dominik Fischer et al.

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are effective measures to contain a pandemic. Yet, such control measures commonly have a negative effect on the economy. Here, we propose a macro-level approach to support resolving this Health-Economy Dilemma (HED). First, an extension to the well-known SEIR model is suggested which includes an economy model. Second, a bi-objective optimization problem is defined to study optimal control policies in view of the HED problem. Next, several multi-objective evolutionary algorithms are applied to perform a study on the health-economy performance trade-offs that are inherent to the obtained optimal policies. Finally, the results from the applied algorithms are compared to select a preferred algorithm for future studies. As expected, for the proposed models and strategies, a clear conflict between the health and economy performances is found. Furthermore, the results suggest that the guided usage of NPIs is preferable as compared to refraining from employing such strategies at all. This study contributes to pandemic modeling and simulation by providing a novel concept that elaborates on integrating economic aspects while exploring the optimal moment to enable NPIs.

Dominik Fischer, Sanaz Mostaghim, Larissa Albantakis

While it is relatively easy to imitate and evolve natural swarm behavior in simulations, less is known about the social characteristics of simulated, evolved swarms, such as the optimal (evolutionary) group size, why individuals in a swarm perform certain actions, and how behavior would change in swarms of different sizes. To address these questions, we used a genetic algorithm to evolve animats equipped with Markov Brains in a spatial navigation task that facilitates swarm behavior. The animats' goal was to frequently cross between two rooms without colliding with other animats. Animats were evolved in swarms of various sizes. We then evaluated the task performance and social behavior of the final generation from each evolution when placed with swarms of different sizes in order to evaluate their generalizability across conditions. According to our experiments, we find that swarm size during evolution matters: animats evolved in a balanced swarm developed more flexible behavior, higher fitness across conditions, and, in addition, higher brain complexity.