Ioannis N. Athanasiadis

Yingjie Shao, Ioannis N. Athanasiadis, George van Voorn et al.

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have become a promising framework for simulating partial differential equations (PDEs) by embedding physical laws directly into neural network training. However, recent studies show that PINN optimisation is sensitive to numerical precision. Existing implementations commonly use either single precision (FP32), which is computationally efficient but prone to failure modes, or double precision (FP64), which is robust but substantially expensive. This creates a trade-off between computational efficiency and numerical accuracy. To reduce the computational cost of double-precision training while retaining prediction accuracy, we propose a curvature-aware precision controller that adapts numerical precision during training rather than treating it as a fixed implementation choice. The proposed method reuses curvature information derived from the limited-memory BFGS (L-BFGS) optimiser to construct a precision controller, retaining FP32 when lower precision is sufficient and promoting computation to FP64 when the training dynamics indicate numerical sensitivity or precision-limited stagnation. We evaluate the proposed approach on four canonical PINN failure-mode benchmarks and an irradiance-driven ordinary differential equation example. We further test the proposed approach across different neural network architectures. The method consistently matches or even slightly exceeds full FP64 solution accuracy while reducing training time relative to full double-precision training on all benchmark equations. The obtained results indicate that precision sensitivity in PINN optimisation is phase-dependent, and that selectively applying higher precision only during numerically critical stages can lower computational cost without sacrificing predictive accuracy.

Diego Marcos, Robert van de Vlasakker, Ioannis N. Athanasiadis et al.

Plant morphological traits, their observable characteristics, are fundamental to understand the role played by each species within their ecosystem. However, compiling trait information for even a moderate number of species is a demanding task that may take experts years to accomplish. At the same time, massive amounts of information about species descriptions is available online in the form of text, although the lack of structure makes this source of data impossible to use at scale. To overcome this, we propose to leverage recent advances in large language models (LLMs) and devise a mechanism for gathering and processing information on plant traits in the form of unstructured textual descriptions, without manual curation. We evaluate our approach by automatically replicating three manually created species-trait matrices. Our method managed to find values for over half of all species-trait pairs, with an F1-score of over 75%. Our results suggest that large-scale creation of structured trait databases from unstructured online text is currently feasible thanks to the information extraction capabilities of LLMs, being limited by the availability of textual descriptions covering all the traits of interest.

Dilli R. Paudel, Diego Marcos, Allard de Wit et al.

Predictor inputs and label data for crop yield forecasting are not always available at the same spatial resolution. We propose a deep learning framework that uses high resolution inputs and low resolution labels to produce crop yield forecasts for both spatial levels. The forecasting model is calibrated by weak supervision from low resolution crop area and yield statistics. We evaluated the framework by disaggregating regional yields in Europe from parent statistical regions to sub-regions for five countries (Germany, Spain, France, Hungary, Italy) and two crops (soft wheat and potatoes). Performance of weakly supervised models was compared with linear trend models and Gradient-Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT). Higher resolution crop yield forecasts are useful to policymakers and other stakeholders. Weakly supervised deep learning methods provide a way to produce such forecasts even in the absence of high resolution yield data.

Michiel G. J. Kallenberg, Bernardo Maestrini, Ron van Bree et al.

Crop yield prediction typically involves the utilization of either theory-driven process-based crop growth models, which have proven to be difficult to calibrate for local conditions, or data-driven machine learning methods, which are known to require large datasets. In this work we investigate potato yield prediction using a hybrid meta-modeling approach. A crop growth model is employed to generate synthetic data for (pre)training a convolutional neural net, which is then fine-tuned with observational data. When applied in silico, our meta-modeling approach yields better predictions than a baseline comprising a purely data-driven approach. When tested on real-world data from field trials (n=303) and commercial fields (n=77), the meta-modeling approach yields competitive results with respect to the crop growth model. In the latter set, however, both models perform worse than a simple linear regression with a hand-picked feature set and dedicated preprocessing designed by domain experts. Our findings indicate the potential of meta-modeling for accurate crop yield prediction; however, further advancements and validation using extensive real-world datasets is recommended to solidify its practical effectiveness.

Christos Pylianidis, Ioannis N. Athanasiadis

Learning latent representations has aided operational decision-making in several disciplines. Its advantages include uncovering hidden interactions in data and automating procedures which were performed manually in the past. Representation learning is also being adopted by earth and environmental sciences. However, there are still subfields that depend on manual feature engineering based on expert knowledge and the use of algorithms which do not utilize the latent space. Relying on those techniques can inhibit operational decision-making since they impose data constraints and inhibit automation. In this work, we adopt a case study for nitrogen response rate prediction and examine if representation learning can be used for operational use. We compare a Multilayer Perceptron, an Autoencoder, and a dual-head Autoencoder with a reference Random Forest model for nitrogen response rate prediction. To bring the predictions closer to an operational setting we assume absence of future weather data, and we are evaluating the models using error metrics and a domain-derived error threshold. The results show that learning latent representations can provide operational nitrogen response rate predictions by offering performance equal and sometimes better than the reference model.

Eva van Tegelen, Taniya Kapoor, George A. K. van Voorn et al.

Developing neural operators that accurately predict the behavior of systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) across unseen parameter regimes is crucial for robust generalization in scientific and engineering applications. In practical applications, variations in physical parameters induce distribution shifts between training and prediction regimes, making extrapolation a central challenge. As a result, the way parameters are incorporated into neural operator models plays a key role in their ability to generalize, particularly when state and parameter representations are entangled. In this work, we introduce the Late Fusion Neural Operator, an architecture that disentangles learning state dynamics from parameter effects, improving predictive performance both within and beyond the training distribution. Our approach combines neural operators for learning latent state representations with sparse regression to incorporate parameter information in a structured manner. Across four benchmark PDEs including advection, Burgers, and both 1D and 2D reaction-diffusion equations, the proposed method consistently outperforms Fourier Neural Operator and CAPE-FNO. Late Fusion Neural Operators achieve consistently the best performance in all experiments, with an average RMSE reduction of 72.9% in-domain and 71.8% out-domain compared to the second-best method. These results demonstrate strong generalization across both in-domain and out-domain parameter regimes.

Aike Potze, Fred van Eeuwijk, Ioannis N. Athanasiadis

Plant breeding underpins global food security through incremental, accumulating improvements in crop yield, quality and sustainability, achieved via repeated cycles of crop ranking, selection and crossing. Climate change disrupts this process by altering local growing conditions, thereby shifting the relative performance of crop genotypes. Predicting these relative changes in yield is critical for food security. Yet, this problem remains an open challenge in plant breeding, and relatively unexplored within the AI community. We propose MixINN, an approach that first isolates high-quality genotype-environment interaction labels using mixed models, and then predicts these interactions for new crop varieties in future environmental conditions with a deep neural network. We evaluate our method on a corn multi-environment trial across the continental United States and show improved prediction of genotype ranking over current plant breeding methods. MixINN demonstrated superior performance in identifying the 20% most productive corn genotypes, leading to a 5.8% higher average yield, which further improved to 7.2% when targeting specific growing environments. These are competitive results for real-world breeding programs, demonstrating the potential of AI research in accelerating the development of climate-adapted crops, and improving future food security under climate change.

Vishal Nedungadi, Muhammad Akhtar Munir, Marc Rußwurm et al.

Air pollution remains a leading global health risk, exacerbated by rapid industrialization and urbanization, contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality rates. In this paper, we introduce AirCast, a novel multi-variable air pollution forecasting model, by combining weather and air quality variables. AirCast employs a multi-task head architecture that simultaneously forecasts atmospheric conditions and pollutant concentrations, improving its understanding of how weather patterns affect air quality. Predicting extreme pollution events is challenging due to their rare occurrence in historic data, resulting in a heavy-tailed distribution of pollution levels. To address this, we propose a novel Frequency-weighted Mean Absolute Error (fMAE) loss, adapted from the class-balanced loss for regression tasks. Informed from domain knowledge, we investigate the selection of key variables known to influence pollution levels. Additionally, we align existing weather and chemical datasets across spatial and temporal dimensions. AirCast's integrated approach, combining multi-task learning, frequency weighted loss and domain informed variable selection, enables more accurate pollution forecasts. Our source code and models are made public here (https://github.com/vishalned/AirCast.git)

Hilmy Baja, Michiel Kallenberg, Ioannis N. Athanasiadis

Farmers rely on in-field observations to make well-informed crop management decisions to maximize profit and minimize adverse environmental impact. However, obtaining real-world crop state measurements is labor-intensive, time-consuming and expensive. In most cases, it is not feasible to gather crop state measurements before every decision moment. Moreover, in previous research pertaining to farm management optimization, these observations are often assumed to be readily available without any cost, which is unrealistic. Hence, enabling optimization without the need to have temporally complete crop state observations is important. An approach to that problem is to include measuring as part of decision making. As a solution, we apply reinforcement learning (RL) to recommend opportune moments to simultaneously measure crop features and apply nitrogen fertilizer. With realistic considerations, we design an RL environment with explicit crop feature measuring costs. While balancing costs, we find that an RL agent, trained with recurrent PPO, discovers adaptive measuring policies that follow critical crop development stages, with results aligned by what domain experts would consider a sensible approach. Our results highlight the importance of measuring when crop feature measurements are not readily available.

Vishal Nedungadi, Xingguo Xiong, Aike Potze et al.

Food security remains a global concern as population grows and climate change intensifies, demanding innovative solutions for sustainable agricultural productivity. Recent advances in foundation models have demonstrated remarkable performance in remote sensing and climate sciences, and therefore offer new opportunities for agricultural monitoring. However, their application in challenges related to agriculture-such as crop type mapping, crop phenology estimation, and crop yield estimation-remains under-explored. In this work, we quantitatively evaluate existing foundational models to assess their effectivity for a representative set of agricultural tasks. From an agricultural domain perspective, we describe a requirements framework for an ideal agricultural foundation model (CropFM). We then survey and compare existing general-purpose foundational models in this framework and empirically evaluate two exemplary of them in three representative agriculture specific tasks. Finally, we highlight the need for a dedicated foundational model tailored specifically to agriculture.

Omar G. Younis, Luca Corinzia, Ioannis N. Athanasiadis et al.

Crop breeding is crucial in improving agricultural productivity while potentially decreasing land usage, greenhouse gas emissions, and water consumption. However, breeding programs are challenging due to long turnover times, high-dimensional decision spaces, long-term objectives, and the need to adapt to rapid climate change. This paper introduces the use of Reinforcement Learning (RL) to optimize simulated crop breeding programs. RL agents are trained to make optimal crop selection and cross-breeding decisions based on genetic information. To benchmark RL-based breeding algorithms, we introduce a suite of Gym environments. The study demonstrates the superiority of RL techniques over standard practices in terms of genetic gain when simulated in silico using real-world genomic maize data.

Hiske Overweg, Herman N. C. Berghuijs, Ioannis N. Athanasiadis

Nitrogen fertilizers have a detrimental effect on the environment, which can be reduced by optimizing fertilizer management strategies. We implement an OpenAI Gym environment where a reinforcement learning agent can learn fertilization management policies using process-based crop growth models and identify policies with reduced environmental impact. In our environment, an agent trained with the Proximal Policy Optimization algorithm is more successful at reducing environmental impacts than the other baseline agents we present.