Lav R Varshney

Pushpendra Rana, Lav R Varshney

Large-scale planting of trees has been proposed as a low-cost natural solution for carbon mitigation, but is hampered by poor selection of plantation sites, especially in developing countries. To aid in site selection, we develop the ePSA (e-Plantation Site Assistant) recommendation system based on algorithm fusion that combines physics-based/traditional forestry science knowledge with machine learning. ePSA assists forest range officers by identifying blank patches inside forest areas and ranking each such patch based on their tree growth potential. Experiments, user studies, and deployment results characterize the utility of the recommender system in shaping the long-term success of tree plantations as a nature climate solution for carbon mitigation in northern India and beyond.

Daewon Seo, Ravi Kiran Raman, Joong Bum Rhim et al.

This work explores a social learning problem with agents having nonidentical noise variances and mismatched beliefs. We consider an $N$-agent binary hypothesis test in which each agent sequentially makes a decision based not only on a private observation, but also on preceding agents' decisions. In addition, the agents have their own beliefs instead of the true prior, and have nonidentical noise variances in the private signal. We focus on the Bayes risk of the last agent, where preceding agents are selfish. We first derive the optimal decision rule by recursive belief update and conclude, counterintuitively, that beliefs deviating from the true prior could be optimal in this setting. The effect of nonidentical noise levels in the two-agent case is also considered and analytical properties of the optimal belief curves are given. Next, we consider a predecessor selection problem wherein the subsequent agent of a certain belief chooses a predecessor from a set of candidates with varying beliefs. We characterize the decision region for choosing such a predecessor and argue that a subsequent agent with beliefs varying from the true prior often ends up selecting a suboptimal predecessor, indicating the need for a social planner. Lastly, we discuss an augmented intelligence design problem that uses a model of human behavior from cumulative prospect theory and investigate its near-optimality and suboptimality.