Jing Ma

Jing Ma, Mengting Wan, Longqi Yang et al.

Hypergraphs provide an effective abstraction for modeling multi-way group interactions among nodes, where each hyperedge can connect any number of nodes. Different from most existing studies which leverage statistical dependencies, we study hypergraphs from the perspective of causality. Specifically, in this paper, we focus on the problem of individual treatment effect (ITE) estimation on hypergraphs, aiming to estimate how much an intervention (e.g., wearing face covering) would causally affect an outcome (e.g., COVID-19 infection) of each individual node. Existing works on ITE estimation either assume that the outcome on one individual should not be influenced by the treatment assignments on other individuals (i.e., no interference), or assume the interference only exists between pairs of connected individuals in an ordinary graph. We argue that these assumptions can be unrealistic on real-world hypergraphs, where higher-order interference can affect the ultimate ITE estimations due to the presence of group interactions. In this work, we investigate high-order interference modeling, and propose a new causality learning framework powered by hypergraph neural networks. Extensive experiments on real-world hypergraphs verify the superiority of our framework over existing baselines.

Junjie Liu, Yiyang Sun, Jing Ma et al.

In China, stroke is the first leading cause of death in recent years. It is a major cause of long-term physical and cognitive impairment, which bring great pressure on the National Public Health System. Evaluation of the risk of getting stroke is important for the prevention and treatment of stroke in China. A data set with 2000 hospitalized stroke patients in 2018 and 27583 residents during the year 2017 to 2020 is analyzed in this study. Due to data incompleteness, inconsistency, and non-structured formats, missing values in the raw data are filled with -1 as an abnormal class. With the cleaned features, three models on risk levels of getting stroke are built by using machine learning methods. The importance of "8+2" factors from China National Stroke Prevention Project (CSPP) is evaluated via decision tree and random forest models. Except for "8+2" factors the importance of features and SHAP1 values for lifestyle information, demographic information, and medical measurement are evaluated and ranked via a random forest model. Furthermore, a logistic regression model is applied to evaluate the probability of getting stroke for different risk levels. Based on the census data in both communities and hospitals from Shanxi Province, we investigate different risk factors of getting stroke and their ranking with interpretable machine learning models. The results show that Hypertension (Systolic blood pressure, Diastolic blood pressure), Physical Inactivity (Lack of sports), and Overweight (BMI) are ranked as the top three high-risk factors of getting stroke in Shanxi province. The probability of getting stroke for a person can also be predicted via our machine learning model.