LGMay 30Code
Generate in Reconstruction Space, Match in Semantic Space: Transport Geometry for One-Step GenerationHugues Van Assel, Edward De Brouwer, Saeed Saremi et al.
Generative modeling and self-supervised representation learning (SSL) optimize structurally different objectives: generative training rewards distributional fidelity, while SSL rewards semantic coherence. Yet recent work repeatedly finds that SSL features improve generative training, though the mechanism of this synergy remains unclear. Here, we study the benefits of SSL in generative modeling in the framework of one-step generation where the role of representation is explicit: frozen SSL features are used to match generated samples to real data. We use the Sinkhorn divergence in that feature space, providing a tractable surrogate for the Wasserstein distance, the population-level discrepancy approximated by Fréchet-style evaluation metrics (such as FID). We find that this objective becomes highly effective when computed in a semantically structured SSL feature space (a 39$\times$ reduction in ImageNet FID). We trace this behavior primarily to matching estimation: semantic SSL features that suppress nuisance reconstruction details induce a more compact geometry, making distribution matching more tractable. As a consequence, the best training SSL features need not match the features used by the evaluation metric. In particular, we show that using Inception as the feature extractor can improve FID while degrading matching stability and sample quality, revealing a form of metric hacking. Using extensive experiments on ImageNet, we identify which SSL feature families lead to best generation performance and show that matching stability is a quantitative criterion for selecting them. Code is available at https://github.com/Genentech/semantic-transport-generation.
LGAug 15, 2024Code
Derivative-Free Guidance in Continuous and Discrete Diffusion Models with Soft Value-Based DecodingXiner Li, Yulai Zhao, Chenyu Wang et al. · princeton
Diffusion models excel at capturing the natural design spaces of images, molecules, DNA, RNA, and protein sequences. However, rather than merely generating designs that are natural, we often aim to optimize downstream reward functions while preserving the naturalness of these design spaces. Existing methods for achieving this goal often require ``differentiable'' proxy models (\textit{e.g.}, classifier guidance or DPS) or involve computationally expensive fine-tuning of diffusion models (\textit{e.g.}, classifier-free guidance, RL-based fine-tuning). In our work, we propose a new method to address these challenges. Our algorithm is an iterative sampling method that integrates soft value functions, which looks ahead to how intermediate noisy states lead to high rewards in the future, into the standard inference procedure of pre-trained diffusion models. Notably, our approach avoids fine-tuning generative models and eliminates the need to construct differentiable models. This enables us to (1) directly utilize non-differentiable features/reward feedback, commonly used in many scientific domains, and (2) apply our method to recent discrete diffusion models in a principled way. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm across several domains, including image generation, molecule generation, and DNA/RNA sequence generation. The code is available at \href{https://github.com/masa-ue/SVDD}{https://github.com/masa-ue/SVDD}.
LGAug 9, 2024
Cell Morphology-Guided Small Molecule Generation with GFlowNetsStephen Zhewen Lu, Ziqing Lu, Ehsan Hajiramezanali et al.
High-content phenotypic screening, including high-content imaging (HCI), has gained popularity in the last few years for its ability to characterize novel therapeutics without prior knowledge of the protein target. When combined with deep learning techniques to predict and represent molecular-phenotype interactions, these advancements hold the potential to significantly accelerate and enhance drug discovery applications. This work focuses on the novel task of HCI-guided molecular design. Generative models for molecule design could be guided by HCI data, for example with a supervised model that links molecules to phenotypes of interest as a reward function. However, limited labeled data, combined with the high-dimensional readouts, can make training these methods challenging and impractical. We consider an alternative approach in which we leverage an unsupervised multimodal joint embedding to define a latent similarity as a reward for GFlowNets. The proposed model learns to generate new molecules that could produce phenotypic effects similar to those of the given image target, without relying on pre-annotated phenotypic labels. We demonstrate that the proposed method generates molecules with high morphological and structural similarity to the target, increasing the likelihood of similar biological activity, as confirmed by an independent oracle model.
LGJan 25, 2023
Improving Graph Generation by Restricting Graph BandwidthNathaniel Diamant, Alex M. Tseng, Kangway V. Chuang et al.
Deep graph generative modeling has proven capable of learning the distribution of complex, multi-scale structures characterizing real-world graphs. However, one of the main limitations of existing methods is their large output space, which limits generation scalability and hinders accurate modeling of the underlying distribution. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel approach that significantly reduces the output space of existing graph generative models. Specifically, starting from the observation that many real-world graphs have low graph bandwidth, we restrict graph bandwidth during training and generation. Our strategy improves both generation scalability and quality without increasing architectural complexity or reducing expressiveness. Our approach is compatible with existing graph generative methods, and we describe its application to both autoregressive and one-shot models. We extensively validate our strategy on synthetic and real datasets, including molecular graphs. Our experiments show that, in addition to improving generation efficiency, our approach consistently improves generation quality and reconstruction accuracy. The implementation is made available.
LGFeb 7, 2023
GraphGUIDE: interpretable and controllable conditional graph generation with discrete Bernoulli diffusionAlex M. Tseng, Nathaniel Diamant, Tommaso Biancalani et al.
Diffusion models achieve state-of-the-art performance in generating realistic objects and have been successfully applied to images, text, and videos. Recent work has shown that diffusion can also be defined on graphs, including graph representations of drug-like molecules. Unfortunately, it remains difficult to perform conditional generation on graphs in a way which is interpretable and controllable. In this work, we propose GraphGUIDE, a novel framework for graph generation using diffusion models, where edges in the graph are flipped or set at each discrete time step. We demonstrate GraphGUIDE on several graph datasets, and show that it enables full control over the conditional generation of arbitrary structural properties without relying on predefined labels. Our framework for graph diffusion can have a large impact on the interpretable conditional generation of graphs, including the generation of drug-like molecules with desired properties in a way which is informed by experimental evidence.
LGOct 21, 2022
Conditional Diffusion with Less Explicit Guidance via Model Predictive ControlMax W. Shen, Ehsan Hajiramezanali, Gabriele Scalia et al.
How much explicit guidance is necessary for conditional diffusion? We consider the problem of conditional sampling using an unconditional diffusion model and limited explicit guidance (e.g., a noised classifier, or a conditional diffusion model) that is restricted to a small number of time steps. We explore a model predictive control (MPC)-like approach to approximate guidance by simulating unconditional diffusion forward, and backpropagating explicit guidance feedback. MPC-approximated guides have high cosine similarity to real guides, even over large simulation distances. Adding MPC steps improves generative quality when explicit guidance is limited to five time steps.
LGNov 1, 2023
Conformalized Deep Splines for Optimal and Efficient Prediction SetsNathaniel Diamant, Ehsan Hajiramezanali, Tommaso Biancalani et al.
Uncertainty estimation is critical in high-stakes machine learning applications. One effective way to estimate uncertainty is conformal prediction, which can provide predictive inference with statistical coverage guarantees. We present a new conformal regression method, Spline Prediction Intervals via Conformal Estimation (SPICE), that estimates the conditional density using neural-network-parameterized splines. We prove universal approximation and optimality results for SPICE, which are empirically validated by our experiments. SPICE is compatible with two different efficient-to-compute conformal scores, one oracle-optimal for marginal coverage (SPICE-ND) and the other asymptotically optimal for conditional coverage (SPICE-HPD). Results on benchmark datasets demonstrate SPICE-ND models achieve the smallest average prediction set sizes, including average size reductions of nearly 50% for some datasets compared to the next best baseline. SPICE-HPD models achieve the best conditional coverage compared to baselines. The SPICE implementation is made available.
LGNov 3, 2022
A 3D-Shape Similarity-based Contrastive Approach to Molecular Representation LearningAustin Atsango, Nathaniel L. Diamant, Ziqing Lu et al.
Molecular shape and geometry dictate key biophysical recognition processes, yet many graph neural networks disregard 3D information for molecular property prediction. Here, we propose a new contrastive-learning procedure for graph neural networks, Molecular Contrastive Learning from Shape Similarity (MolCLaSS), that implicitly learns a three-dimensional representation. Rather than directly encoding or targeting three-dimensional poses, MolCLaSS matches a similarity objective based on Gaussian overlays to learn a meaningful representation of molecular shape. We demonstrate how this framework naturally captures key aspects of three-dimensionality that two-dimensional representations cannot and provides an inductive framework for scaffold hopping.
LGJun 5, 2023
Complex Preferences for Different Convergent Priors in Discrete Graph DiffusionAlex M. Tseng, Nathaniel Diamant, Tommaso Biancalani et al.
Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generating many different kinds of data, including images, text, and videos. Despite their success, there has been limited research on how the underlying diffusion process and the final convergent prior can affect generative performance; this research has also been limited to continuous data types and a score-based diffusion framework. To fill this gap, we explore how different discrete diffusion kernels (which converge to different prior distributions) affect the performance of diffusion models for graphs. To this end, we developed a novel formulation of a family of discrete diffusion kernels which are easily adjustable to converge to different Bernoulli priors, and we study the effect of these different kernels on generative performance. We show that the quality of generated graphs is sensitive to the prior used, and that the optimal choice cannot be explained by obvious statistics or metrics, which challenges the intuitions which previous works have suggested.
LGDec 21, 2022
Hierarchically branched diffusion models leverage dataset structure for class-conditional generationAlex M. Tseng, Max Shen, Tommaso Biancalani et al.
Class-labeled datasets, particularly those common in scientific domains, are rife with internal structure, yet current class-conditional diffusion models ignore these relationships and implicitly diffuse on all classes in a flat fashion. To leverage this structure, we propose hierarchically branched diffusion models as a novel framework for class-conditional generation. Branched diffusion models rely on the same diffusion process as traditional models, but learn reverse diffusion separately for each branch of a hierarchy. We highlight several advantages of branched diffusion models over the current state-of-the-art methods for class-conditional diffusion, including extension to novel classes in a continual-learning setting, a more sophisticated form of analogy-based conditional generation (i.e. transmutation), and a novel interpretability into the generation process. We extensively evaluate branched diffusion models on several benchmark and large real-world scientific datasets spanning many data modalities.
LGFeb 22, 2025Code
RAG-Enhanced Collaborative LLM Agents for Drug DiscoveryNamkyeong Lee, Edward De Brouwer, Ehsan Hajiramezanali et al.
Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have shown great potential to accelerate drug discovery. However, the specialized nature of biochemical data often necessitates costly domain-specific fine-tuning, posing major challenges. First, it hinders the application of more flexible general-purpose LLMs for cutting-edge drug discovery tasks. More importantly, it limits the rapid integration of the vast amounts of scientific data continuously generated through experiments and research. Compounding these challenges is the fact that real-world scientific questions are typically complex and open-ended, requiring reasoning beyond pattern matching or static knowledge retrieval.To address these challenges, we propose CLADD, a retrieval-augmented generation (RAG)-empowered agentic system tailored to drug discovery tasks. Through the collaboration of multiple LLM agents, CLADD dynamically retrieves information from biomedical knowledge bases, contextualizes query molecules, and integrates relevant evidence to generate responses - all without the need for domain-specific fine-tuning. Crucially, we tackle key obstacles in applying RAG workflows to biochemical data, including data heterogeneity, ambiguity, and multi-source integration. We demonstrate the flexibility and effectiveness of this framework across a variety of drug discovery tasks, showing that it outperforms general-purpose and domain-specific LLMs as well as traditional deep learning approaches. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/Genentech/CLADD.
CLNov 1, 2024Code
MolCap-Arena: A Comprehensive Captioning Benchmark on Language-Enhanced Molecular Property PredictionCarl Edwards, Ziqing Lu, Ehsan Hajiramezanali et al.
Bridging biomolecular modeling with natural language information, particularly through large language models (LLMs), has recently emerged as a promising interdisciplinary research area. LLMs, having been trained on large corpora of scientific documents, demonstrate significant potential in understanding and reasoning about biomolecules by providing enriched contextual and domain knowledge. However, the extent to which LLM-driven insights can improve performance on complex predictive tasks (e.g., toxicity) remains unclear. Further, the extent to which relevant knowledge can be extracted from LLMs also remains unknown. In this study, we present Molecule Caption Arena: the first comprehensive benchmark of LLM-augmented molecular property prediction. We evaluate over twenty LLMs, including both general-purpose and domain-specific molecule captioners, across diverse prediction tasks. To this goal, we introduce a novel, battle-based rating system. Our findings confirm the ability of LLM-extracted knowledge to enhance state-of-the-art molecular representations, with notable model-, prompt-, and dataset-specific variations. Code, resources, and data are available at github.com/Genentech/molcap-arena.
LGDec 2, 2025
E-valuator: Reliable Agent Verifiers with Sequential Hypothesis TestingShuvom Sadhuka, Drew Prinster, Clara Fannjiang et al.
Agentic AI systems execute a sequence of actions, such as reasoning steps or tool calls, in response to a user prompt. To evaluate the success of their trajectories, researchers have developed verifiers, such as LLM judges and process-reward models, to score the quality of each action in an agent's trajectory. Although these heuristic scores can be informative, there are no guarantees of correctness when used to decide whether an agent will yield a successful output. Here, we introduce e-valuator, a method to convert any black-box verifier score into a decision rule with provable control of false alarm rates. We frame the problem of distinguishing successful trajectories (that is, a sequence of actions that will lead to a correct response to the user's prompt) and unsuccessful trajectories as a sequential hypothesis testing problem. E-valuator builds on tools from e-processes to develop a sequential hypothesis test that remains statistically valid at every step of an agent's trajectory, enabling online monitoring of agents over arbitrarily long sequences of actions. Empirically, we demonstrate that e-valuator provides greater statistical power and better false alarm rate control than other strategies across six datasets and three agents. We additionally show that e-valuator can be used for to quickly terminate problematic trajectories and save tokens. Together, e-valuator provides a lightweight, model-agnostic framework that converts verifier heuristics into decisions rules with statistical guarantees, enabling the deployment of more reliable agentic systems.
LGMay 11
AssayBench: An Assay-Level Virtual Cell Benchmark for LLMs and AgentsEdward De Brouwer, Carl Edwards, Alexander Wu et al.
Recent advances in machine learning and large-scale biological data collections have revived the prospect of building a virtual cell, a computational model of cellular behavior that could accelerate biological discovery. One of the most compelling promises of this vision is the ability to perform in silico phenotypic screens, in which a model predicts the effects of cellular perturbations in unseen biological contexts. This task combines heterogeneous textual inputs with diverse phenotypic outputs, making it particularly well-suited to LLMs and agentic systems. Yet, no standard benchmark currently exists for this task, as existing efforts focus on narrower molecular readouts that are only indirectly aligned with the phenotypic endpoints driving many real-world drug discovery workflows. In this work, we present AssayBench, a benchmark for phenotypic screen prediction, built from 1,920 publicly available CRISPR screens spanning five broad classes of cellular phenotypes. We formulate the screen prediction task as a gene rank prediction for each screen and introduce the adjusted nDCG, a continuous metric for comparing performance across heterogeneous assays. Our extensive evaluation shows that existing methods remain far from empirically estimated performance ceilings and zero-shot generalist LLMs outperform biology-specific LLMs and trainable baselines. Optimization techniques such as fine-tuning, ensembling, and prompt optimization can further improve LLM performance on this task. Overall, AssayBench offers a practical testbed for measuring progress toward in silico phenotypic screening and, more broadly, virtual cell models.
LGJun 17, 2024Code
Adding Conditional Control to Diffusion Models with Reinforcement LearningYulai Zhao, Masatoshi Uehara, Gabriele Scalia et al.
Diffusion models are powerful generative models that allow for precise control over the characteristics of the generated samples. While these diffusion models trained on large datasets have achieved success, there is often a need to introduce additional controls in downstream fine-tuning processes, treating these powerful models as pre-trained diffusion models. This work presents a novel method based on reinforcement learning (RL) to add such controls using an offline dataset comprising inputs and labels. We formulate this task as an RL problem, with the classifier learned from the offline dataset and the KL divergence against pre-trained models serving as the reward functions. Our method, $\textbf{CTRL}$ ($\textbf{C}$onditioning pre-$\textbf{T}$rained diffusion models with $\textbf{R}$einforcement $\textbf{L}$earning), produces soft-optimal policies that maximize the abovementioned reward functions. We formally demonstrate that our method enables sampling from the conditional distribution with additional controls during inference. Our RL-based approach offers several advantages over existing methods. Compared to classifier-free guidance, it improves sample efficiency and can greatly simplify dataset construction by leveraging conditional independence between the inputs and additional controls. Additionally, unlike classifier guidance, it eliminates the need to train classifiers from intermediate states to additional controls. The code is available at https://github.com/zhaoyl18/CTRL.
LGFeb 23, 2024
Fine-Tuning of Continuous-Time Diffusion Models as Entropy-Regularized ControlMasatoshi Uehara, Yulai Zhao, Kevin Black et al. · princeton
Diffusion models excel at capturing complex data distributions, such as those of natural images and proteins. While diffusion models are trained to represent the distribution in the training dataset, we often are more concerned with other properties, such as the aesthetic quality of the generated images or the functional properties of generated proteins. Diffusion models can be finetuned in a goal-directed way by maximizing the value of some reward function (e.g., the aesthetic quality of an image). However, these approaches may lead to reduced sample diversity, significant deviations from the training data distribution, and even poor sample quality due to the exploitation of an imperfect reward function. The last issue often occurs when the reward function is a learned model meant to approximate a ground-truth "genuine" reward, as is the case in many practical applications. These challenges, collectively termed "reward collapse," pose a substantial obstacle. To address this reward collapse, we frame the finetuning problem as entropy-regularized control against the pretrained diffusion model, i.e., directly optimizing entropy-enhanced rewards with neural SDEs. We present theoretical and empirical evidence that demonstrates our framework is capable of efficiently generating diverse samples with high genuine rewards, mitigating the overoptimization of imperfect reward models.
LGFeb 26, 2024
Feedback Efficient Online Fine-Tuning of Diffusion ModelsMasatoshi Uehara, Yulai Zhao, Kevin Black et al. · princeton
Diffusion models excel at modeling complex data distributions, including those of images, proteins, and small molecules. However, in many cases, our goal is to model parts of the distribution that maximize certain properties: for example, we may want to generate images with high aesthetic quality, or molecules with high bioactivity. It is natural to frame this as a reinforcement learning (RL) problem, in which the objective is to fine-tune a diffusion model to maximize a reward function that corresponds to some property. Even with access to online queries of the ground-truth reward function, efficiently discovering high-reward samples can be challenging: they might have a low probability in the initial distribution, and there might be many infeasible samples that do not even have a well-defined reward (e.g., unnatural images or physically impossible molecules). In this work, we propose a novel reinforcement learning procedure that efficiently explores on the manifold of feasible samples. We present a theoretical analysis providing a regret guarantee, as well as empirical validation across three domains: images, biological sequences, and molecules.
LGMar 3, 2025
Dynamic Search for Inference-Time Alignment in Diffusion ModelsXiner Li, Masatoshi Uehara, Xingyu Su et al.
Diffusion models have shown promising generative capabilities across diverse domains, yet aligning their outputs with desired reward functions remains a challenge, particularly in cases where reward functions are non-differentiable. Some gradient-free guidance methods have been developed, but they often struggle to achieve optimal inference-time alignment. In this work, we newly frame inference-time alignment in diffusion as a search problem and propose Dynamic Search for Diffusion (DSearch), which subsamples from denoising processes and approximates intermediate node rewards. It also dynamically adjusts beam width and tree expansion to efficiently explore high-reward generations. To refine intermediate decisions, DSearch incorporates adaptive scheduling based on noise levels and a lookahead heuristic function. We validate DSearch across multiple domains, including biological sequence design, molecular optimization, and image generation, demonstrating superior reward optimization compared to existing approaches.
LGDec 18, 2024
Efficient Fine-Tuning of Single-Cell Foundation Models Enables Zero-Shot Molecular Perturbation PredictionSepideh Maleki, Jan-Christian Huetter, Kangway V. Chuang et al.
Predicting transcriptional responses to novel drugs provides a unique opportunity to accelerate biomedical research and advance drug discovery efforts. However, the inherent complexity and high dimensionality of cellular responses, combined with the extremely limited available experimental data, makes the task challenging. In this study, we leverage single-cell foundation models (FMs) pre-trained on tens of millions of single cells, encompassing multiple cell types, states, and disease annotations, to address molecular perturbation prediction. We introduce a drug-conditional adapter that allows efficient fine-tuning by training less than 1% of the original foundation model, thus enabling molecular conditioning while preserving the rich biological representation learned during pre-training. The proposed strategy allows not only the prediction of cellular responses to novel drugs, but also the zero-shot generalization to unseen cell lines. We establish a robust evaluation framework to assess model performance across different generalization tasks, demonstrating state-of-the-art results across all settings, with significant improvements in the few-shot and zero-shot generalization to new cell lines compared to existing baselines.
LGJul 1, 2025
Iterative Distillation for Reward-Guided Fine-Tuning of Diffusion Models in Biomolecular DesignXingyu Su, Xiner Li, Masatoshi Uehara et al. · princeton
We address the problem of fine-tuning diffusion models for reward-guided generation in biomolecular design. While diffusion models have proven highly effective in modeling complex, high-dimensional data distributions, real-world applications often demand more than high-fidelity generation, requiring optimization with respect to potentially non-differentiable reward functions such as physics-based simulation or rewards based on scientific knowledge. Although RL methods have been explored to fine-tune diffusion models for such objectives, they often suffer from instability, low sample efficiency, and mode collapse due to their on-policy nature. In this work, we propose an iterative distillation-based fine-tuning framework that enables diffusion models to optimize for arbitrary reward functions. Our method casts the problem as policy distillation: it collects off-policy data during the roll-in phase, simulates reward-based soft-optimal policies during roll-out, and updates the model by minimizing the KL divergence between the simulated soft-optimal policy and the current model policy. Our off-policy formulation, combined with KL divergence minimization, enhances training stability and sample efficiency compared to existing RL-based methods. Empirical results demonstrate the effectiveness and superior reward optimization of our approach across diverse tasks in protein, small molecule, and regulatory DNA design.
CLMar 9
DC-W2S: Dual-Consensus Weak-to-Strong Training for Reliable Process Reward Modeling in Biological ReasoningChi-Min Chan, Ehsan Hajiramezanali, Xiner Li et al.
In scientific reasoning tasks, the veracity of the reasoning process is as critical as the final outcome. While Process Reward Models (PRMs) offer a solution to the coarse-grained supervision problems inherent in Outcome Reward Models (ORMs), their deployment is hindered by the prohibitive cost of obtaining expert-verified step-wise labels. This paper addresses the challenge of training reliable PRMs using abundant but noisy "weak" supervision. We argue that existing Weak-to-Strong Generalization (W2SG) theories lack prescriptive guidelines for selecting high-quality training signals from noisy data. To bridge this gap, we introduce the Dual-Consensus Weak-to-Strong (DC-W2S) framework. By intersecting Self-Consensus (SC) metrics among weak supervisors with Neighborhood-Consensus (NC) metrics in the embedding space, we stratify supervision signals into distinct reliability regimes. We then employ a curriculum of instance-level balanced sampling and label-level reliability-aware masking to guide the training process. We demonstrate that DC-W2S enables the training of robust PRMs for complex reasoning without exhaustive expert annotation, proving that strategic data curation is more effective than indiscriminate training on large-scale noisy datasets.
BMMay 30, 2023
Accurate and Efficient Structural Ensemble Generation of Macrocyclic Peptides using Internal Coordinate DiffusionColin A. Grambow, Hayley Weir, Nathaniel L. Diamant et al.
Macrocyclic peptides are an emerging therapeutic modality, yet computational approaches for accurately sampling their diverse 3D ensembles remain challenging due to their conformational diversity and geometric constraints. Here, we introduce RINGER, a diffusion-based transformer model using a redundant internal coordinate representation that generates three-dimensional conformational ensembles of macrocyclic peptides from their 2D representations. RINGER provides fast backbone and side-chain sampling while respecting key structural invariances of cyclic peptides. Through extensive benchmarking and analysis against gold-standard conformer ensembles of cyclic peptides generated with metadynamics, we demonstrate how RINGER generates both high-quality and diverse geometries at a fraction of the computational cost. Our work lays the foundation for improved sampling of cyclic geometries and the development of geometric learning methods for peptides.
LGOct 7, 2019
Evaluating Scalable Uncertainty Estimation Methods for DNN-Based Molecular Property PredictionGabriele Scalia, Colin A. Grambow, Barbara Pernici et al.
Advances in deep neural network (DNN) based molecular property prediction have recently led to the development of models of remarkable accuracy and generalization ability, with graph convolution neural networks (GCNNs) reporting state-of-the-art performance for this task. However, some challenges remain and one of the most important that needs to be fully addressed concerns uncertainty quantification. DNN performance is affected by the volume and the quality of the training samples. Therefore, establishing when and to what extent a prediction can be considered reliable is just as important as outputting accurate predictions, especially when out-of-domain molecules are targeted. Recently, several methods to account for uncertainty in DNNs have been proposed, most of which are based on approximate Bayesian inference. Among these, only a few scale to the large datasets required in applications. Evaluating and comparing these methods has recently attracted great interest, but results are generally fragmented and absent for molecular property prediction. In this paper, we aim to quantitatively compare scalable techniques for uncertainty estimation in GCNNs. We introduce a set of quantitative criteria to capture different uncertainty aspects, and then use these criteria to compare MC-Dropout, deep ensembles, and bootstrapping, both theoretically in a unified framework that separates aleatoric/epistemic uncertainty and experimentally on the QM9 dataset. Our experiments quantify the performance of the different uncertainty estimation methods and their impact on uncertainty-related error reduction. Our findings indicate that ensembling and bootstrapping consistently outperform MC-Dropout, with different context-specific pros and cons. Our analysis also leads to a better understanding of the role of aleatoric/epistemic uncertainty and highlights the challenge posed by out-of-domain uncertainty.