AIAug 10, 2021
Matching Algorithms for Blood DonationDuncan C McElfresh, Christian Kroer, Sergey Pupyrev et al.
Global demand for donated blood far exceeds supply, and unmet need is greatest in low- and middle-income countries; experts suggest that large-scale coordination is necessary to alleviate demand. Using the Facebook Blood Donation tool, we conduct the first large-scale algorithmic matching of blood donors with donation opportunities. While measuring actual donation rates remains a challenge, we measure donor action (e.g., making a donation appointment) as a proxy for actual donation. We develop automated policies for matching donors with donation opportunities, based on an online matching model. We provide theoretical guarantees for these policies, both regarding the number of expected donations and the equitable treatment of blood recipients. In simulations, a simple matching strategy increases the number of donations by 5-10%; a pilot experiment with real donors shows a 5% relative increase in donor action rate (from 3.7% to 3.9%). When scaled to the global Blood Donation tool user base, this corresponds to an increase of around one hundred thousand users taking action toward donation. Further, observing donor action on a social network can shed light onto donor behavior and response to incentives. Our initial findings align with several observations made in the medical and social science literature regarding donor behavior.
GTJan 21, 2019
Online Learning for Measuring Incentive Compatibility in Ad AuctionsZhe Feng, Okke Schrijvers, Eric Sodomka
In this paper we investigate the problem of measuring end-to-end Incentive Compatibility (IC) regret given black-box access to an auction mechanism. Our goal is to 1) compute an estimate for IC regret in an auction, 2) provide a measure of certainty around the estimate of IC regret, and 3) minimize the time it takes to arrive at an accurate estimate. We consider two main problems, with different informational assumptions: In the \emph{advertiser problem} the goal is to measure IC regret for some known valuation $v$, while in the more general \emph{demand-side platform (DSP) problem} we wish to determine the worst-case IC regret over all possible valuations. The problems are naturally phrased in an online learning model and we design $Regret-UCB$ algorithms for both problems. We give an online learning algorithm where for the advertiser problem the error of determining IC shrinks as $O\Big(\frac{|B|}{T}\cdot\Big(\frac{\ln T}{n} + \sqrt{\frac{\ln T}{n}}\Big)\Big)$ (where $B$ is the finite set of bids, $T$ is the number of time steps, and $n$ is number of auctions per time step), and for the DSP problem it shrinks as $O\Big(\frac{|B|}{T}\cdot\Big( \frac{|B|\ln T}{n} + \sqrt{\frac{|B|\ln T}{n}}\Big)\Big)$. For the DSP problem, we also consider stronger IC regret estimation and extend our $Regret-UCB$ algorithm to achieve better IC regret error. We validate the theoretical results using simulations with Generalized Second Price (GSP) auctions, which are known to not be incentive compatible and thus have strictly positive IC regret.
GTJan 18, 2019
Computing large market equilibria using abstractionsChristian Kroer, Alexander Peysakhovich, Eric Sodomka et al.
Computing market equilibria is an important practical problem for market design, for example in fair division of items. However, computing equilibria requires large amounts of information (typically the valuation of every buyer for every item) and computing power. We consider ameliorating these issues by applying a method used for solving complex games: constructing a coarsened abstraction of a given market, solving for the equilibrium in the abstraction, and lifting the prices and allocations back to the original market. We show how to bound important quantities such as regret, envy, Nash social welfare, Pareto optimality, and maximin share/proportionality when the abstracted prices and allocations are used in place of the real equilibrium. We then study two abstraction methods of interest for practitioners: (1) filling in unknown valuations using techniques from matrix completion, (2) reducing the problem size by aggregating groups of buyers/items into smaller numbers of representative buyers/items and solving for equilibrium in this coarsened market. We find that in real data allocations/prices that are relatively close to equilibria can be computed from even very coarse abstractions.