Jingang Liang

Xingyu Xiao, Jiejuan Tong, Jun Sun et al.

The rapid digitization of nuclear power plant main control rooms has fundamentally reshaped operator interaction patterns, introducing complex soft-control behaviors and elevated cognitive risks that are not adequately addressed by existing human reliability analysis approaches. Although recent advances in large language models and autonomous agents offer new opportunities for intelligent decision support, their deployment in safety critical environments remains constrained by risks of hallucinated reasoning and weakened human authority. This study proposes NuHF Claw, a persistent cognitive-risk agent framework that enables risk governed human centered autonomy for digital nuclear operations. The core methodological innovation lies in the introduction of a risk constrained agent runtime, which tightly couples cognitive state inference with probabilistic safety assessment to regulate autonomous system behavior in real time. By integrating cognitively grounded workload and situational awareness estimation with dynamic human error probability prediction, the framework transforms conventional offline reliability analysis into a proactive intervention mechanism embedded directly within operational workflows. Experimental validation on a high-fidelity digital control room simulator demonstrates that NuHF Claw can anticipate interface induced cognitive degradation, dynamically constrain unsafe autonomous recommendations, and provide risk-aware navigational guidance while preserving human decision authority. The results highlight a fundamental shift from automation-driven operation toward cognition-aware autonomy, offering a principled pathway for the safe integration of intelligent agents into next-generation nuclear control environments.

Xingyu Xiao, Mingwei Xiao, Hongbo Li et al.

Digitalization has fundamentally transformed human system interaction in nuclear main control rooms, yet the quantitative mechanisms by which interfaces amplify procedural risks remain insufficiently understood. This study presents a systematic assessment of interface procedure coupling based on real operational events collected from 2021 to 2025 in a modern nuclear power plant. A reusable three dimensional labeling framework and a four factor interface mechanism model are developed to characterize layout, semantic, mismatch, and labeling deficiencies. Results show that interface issues function as a significant risk amplifier. A total of 42.6 percent of events involved interface deficiencies, and their presence more than doubled the likelihood of procedural deviation. Machine learning interpretation further reveals that composite interface procedure coupling, particularly driven by semantic mismatches and layout induced traps, is the dominant contributor to coupled failures. Simulator based validation confirms that semantic confusion accounts for 27.3 percent of interface induced errors, with overall error patterns consistent with historical data. The study provides a data driven HRA workflow for early vulnerability identification in digital control rooms and proposes a systematic framework for interface procedure semantic alignment to support risk informed design and verification.

Xingyu Xiao, Jiejuan Tong, Jingang Liang et al.

Team-level failure in nuclear control rooms arises not from isolated operator error, but from emergent interaction dynamics, delayed diagnosis, suppressed dissent, and authority-driven error propagation, that conventional human reliability analysis methods are structurally unable to model. This study introduces TEAM-SimHRA, a multi-agent large language model simulation framework that reconceptualizes human reliability as an interaction-driven emergent property of control room teams rather than a static individual attribute. Unlike existing approaches that assign fixed error probabilities to predefined tasks, TEAM-SimHRA reproduces collective cognition, role-conditioned authority dynamics, and real-time communication suppression across temporally evolving accident progressions. Validated against the Three Mile Island (1979) and Chernobyl (1986) accidents, the two most extensively documented nuclear team failures , the framework achieves face-validity pass rates of 43.5% and 52.6% respectively, reproducing near-historical decision delay (134.8 vs. 138 min), perfect communication suppression stability, and full authority pressure cascade at historically accurate propagation depth. These results demonstrate that multi-agent simulation can extract quantitative team-level reliability indicators that are inaccessible to traditional methods, opening a viable path toward simulation-based dynamic probabilistic risk assessment for safety-critical sociotechnical systems.

Xingyu Xiao, Peng Chen, Ben Qi et al.

Human reliability analysis (HRA) is crucial for evaluating and improving the safety of complex systems. Recent efforts have focused on estimating human error probability (HEP), but existing methods often rely heavily on expert knowledge,which can be subjective and time-consuming. Inspired by the success of large language models (LLMs) in natural language processing, this paper introduces a novel two-stage framework for knowledge-driven reliability analysis, integrating IDHEAS and LLMs (KRAIL). This innovative framework enables the semi-automated computation of base HEP values. Additionally, knowledge graphs are utilized as a form of retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) for enhancing the framework' s capability to retrieve and process relevant data efficiently. Experiments are systematically conducted and evaluated on authoritative datasets of human reliability. The experimental results of the proposed methodology demonstrate its superior performance on base HEP estimation under partial information for reliability assessment.

Xingyu Xiao, Peng Chen, Jiejuan Tong et al.

Traditional human reliability analysis (HRA) methods, such as IDHEAS-ECA, rely on expert judgment and empirical rules that often overlook the cognitive underpinnings of human error. Moreover, conducting human-in-the-loop experiments for advanced nuclear power plants is increasingly impractical due to novel interfaces and limited operational data. This study proposes a cognitive-mechanistic framework (COGMIF) that enhances the IDHEAS-ECA methodology by integrating an ACT-R-based human digital twin (HDT) with TimeGAN-augmented simulation. The ACT-R model simulates operator cognition, including memory retrieval, goal-directed procedural reasoning, and perceptual-motor execution, under high-fidelity scenarios derived from a high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (HTGR) simulator. To overcome the resource constraints of large-scale cognitive modeling, TimeGAN is trained on ACT-R-generated time-series data to produce high-fidelity synthetic operator behavior datasets. These simulations are then used to drive IDHEAS-ECA assessments, enabling scalable, mechanism-informed estimation of human error probabilities (HEPs). Comparative analyses with SPAR-H and sensitivity assessments demonstrate the robustness and practical advantages of the proposed COGMIF. Finally, procedural features are mapped onto a Bayesian network to quantify the influence of contributing factors, revealing key drivers of operational risk. This work offers a credible and computationally efficient pathway to integrate cognitive theory into industrial HRA practices.

Xingyu Xiao, Peng Chen, Ben Qi et al.

As climate change and other global challenges increase the likelihood of unforeseen emergencies, the limitations of human-driven strategies in critical situations become more pronounced. Inadequate pre-established emergency plans can lead operators to become overwhelmed during complex systems malfunctions. This study addresses the urgent need for agile decision-making in response to various unforeseen incidents through a novel approach, EvoTaskTree (a task-driven method with evolvable interactive agents using event trees for emergency decision support). This advanced approach integrates two types of agents powered by large language models (LLMs): task executors, responsible for executing critical procedures, and task validators, ensuring the efficacy of those actions. By leveraging insights from event tree analysis, our framework encompasses three crucial tasks: initiating event subevent analysis, event tree header event analysis, and decision recommendations. The agents learn from both successful and unsuccessful responses from these tasks. Finally, we use nuclear power plants as a demonstration of a safety-critical system. Our findings indicate that the designed agents are not only effective but also outperform existing approaches, achieving an impressive accuracy rate of up to 100 % in processing previously unencoun32 tered incident scenarios. This paper demonstrates that EvoTaskTree significantly enhances the rapid formulation of emergency decision-making.

Xingyu Xiao, Jiejuan Tong, Peng Chen et al.

Human reliability remains a critical concern in safety-critical domains such as nuclear power, where operational failures are often linked to human error. While conventional human reliability analysis (HRA) methods have been widely adopted, they rely heavily on expert judgment for identifying human failure events (HFEs) and assigning performance influencing factors (PIFs). This reliance introduces challenges related to reproducibility, subjectivity, and limited integration of interface-level data. In particular, current approaches lack the capacity to rigorously assess how human-machine interface design contributes to operator performance variability and error susceptibility. To address these limitations, this study proposes a framework for risk-informed human failure event identification and interface-induced risk assessment driven by AutoGraph (InSight-R). By linking empirical behavioral data to the interface-embedded knowledge graph (IE-KG) constructed by the automated graph-based execution framework (AutoGraph), the InSight-R framework enables automated HFE identification based on both error-prone and time-deviated operational paths. Furthermore, we discuss the relationship between designer-user conflicts and human error. The results demonstrate that InSight-R not only enhances the objectivity and interpretability of HFE identification but also provides a scalable pathway toward dynamic, real-time human reliability assessment in digitalized control environments. This framework offers actionable insights for interface design optimization and contributes to the advancement of mechanism-driven HRA methodologies.

Xingyu Xiao, Peng Chen, Qianqian Jia et al.

HRA (Human Reliability Analysis) data is crucial for advancing HRA methodologies. however, existing data collection methods lack the necessary granularity, and most approaches fail to capture dynamic features. Additionally, many methods require expert knowledge as input, making them time-consuming and labor-intensive. To address these challenges, we propose a new paradigm for the automated collection of HRA data. Our approach focuses on key indicators behind human error, specifically measuring workload in collaborative settings. This study introduces a novel, scenario-driven method for workload estimation, leveraging fine-tuned large language models (LLMs). By training LLMs on real-world operational data from high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs), we simulate human behavior and cognitive load in real time across various collaborative scenarios. The method dynamically adapts to changes in operator workload, providing more accurate, flexible, and scalable workload estimates. The results demonstrate that the proposed WELLA (Workload Estimation with LLMs and Agents) outperforms existing commercial LLM-based methods in terms of prediction accuracy.