Peter Klimek

2papers

2 Papers

48.5SOC-PHMay 15
Reconstructing temporal multi-relational firm networks at scale using large language models. The case of the semiconductor industry

Seyda Köse, Christian Diem, Elma Dervic et al.

The semiconductor industry is foundational to modern technology, yet its complex global multi-relational firm network remains poorly understood, posing challenges to scientists, firms, and policymakers. Traditional analysis relies on proprietary databases that are often expensive, incomplete, and slowly updated, limiting their ability to capture rapidly evolving dependencies. Here, we demonstrate that a novel, generalizable methodology combining Large Language Models (LLMs) with open web data can reconstruct this network and its structural dynamics at scale. We identify and classify supply-chain, partnership, and ownership links from 170 million semiconductor firm webpages, yielding a temporal network of over 1,300 linked firms. We validate link-extraction quality (Precision: 0.884; F1-score: 0.784), network overlap and complementarity with a proprietary database, and consistency with aggregate economic data. Our network reveals a temporary 9% decline in edges during the 2022 chip shortage, rapid increases in the centrality of AI supply-chain bottleneck firms such as NVIDIA, and geographic realignment of interfirm relations amid geopolitical turbulence. This generalizable framework overcomes barriers to transparency and provides essential, up-to-date maps for assessing resilience and informing policy across strategically relevant sectors.

MED-PHAug 2, 2019
Identification of gatekeeper diseases on the way to cardiovascular mortality

Nils Haug, Stefan Thurner, Alexandra Kautzky-Willer et al.

Multimorbidity, the co-occurrence of two or more chronic diseases such as diabetes, obesity or cardiovascular diseases in one patient, is a frequent phenomenon. To make care more efficient, it is of relevance to understand how different diseases condition each other over the life time of a patient. However, most of our current knowledge on such patient careers is either confined to narrow time spans or specific (sets of) diseases. Here, we present a population-wide analysis of long-term patient trajectories by clustering them according to their disease history observed over 17 years. When patients acquire new diseases, their cluster assignment might change. A health trajectory can then be described by a temporal sequence of disease clusters. From the transitions between clusters we construct an age-dependent multilayer network of disease clusters. Random walks on this multilayer network provide a more precise model for the time evolution of multimorbid health states when compared to models that cluster patients based on single diseases. Our results can be used to identify decisive events that potentially determine the future disease trajectory of a patient. We find that for elderly patients the cluster network consists of regions of low, medium and high in-hospital mortality. Diagnoses of diabetes and hypertension are found to strongly increase the likelihood for patients to subsequently move into the high-mortality region later in life.