Ching-Yuan Bai

Ching-Yuan Bai, Hsuan-Tien Lin, Colin Raffel et al.

Many recent developments on generative models for natural images have relied on heuristically-motivated metrics that can be easily gamed by memorizing a small sample from the true distribution or training a model directly to improve the metric. In this work, we critically evaluate the gameability of these metrics by designing and deploying a generative modeling competition. Our competition received over 11000 submitted models. The competitiveness between participants allowed us to investigate both intentional and unintentional memorization in generative modeling. To detect intentional memorization, we propose the ``Memorization-Informed Fréchet Inception Distance'' (MiFID) as a new memorization-aware metric and design benchmark procedures to ensure that winning submissions made genuine improvements in perceptual quality. Furthermore, we manually inspect the code for the 1000 top-performing models to understand and label different forms of memorization. Our analysis reveals that unintentional memorization is a serious and common issue in popular generative models. The generated images and our memorization labels of those models as well as code to compute MiFID are released to facilitate future studies on benchmarking generative models.

Ching-Yuan Bai, Buo-Fu Chen, Hsuan-Tien Lin

Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones often causes major destruction to human civilization due to short response time. It is an important yet challenging task to accurately predict this kind of extreme weather event in advance. Traditionally, meteorologists tackle the task with human-driven feature extraction and predictor correction procedures. Nevertheless, these procedures do not leverage the power of modern machine learning models and abundant sensor data, such as satellite images. In addition, the human-driven nature of such an approach makes it difficult to reproduce and benchmark prediction models. In this study, we build a benchmark for RI prediction using only satellite images, which are underutilized in traditional techniques. The benchmark follows conventional data science practices, making it easier for data scientists to contribute to RI prediction. We demonstrate the usefulness of the benchmark by designing a domain-inspired spatiotemporal deep learning model. The results showcase the promising performance of deep learning in solving complex meteorological problems such as RI prediction.