3 Papers

75.6AIApr 29Code
FutureWorld: A Live Environment for Training Predictive Agents with Real-World Outcome Rewards

Zhixin Han, Yanzhi Zhang, Chuyang Wei et al.

Live future prediction refers to the task of making predictions about real-world events before they unfold. This task is increasingly studied using large language model-based agent systems, and it is important for building agents that can continually learn from real-world. Just as interactive environments have often driven progress in agents, advancing live future prediction naturally motivates viewing it as a learning environment. Prior works have explored future prediction from several different parts, but have generally not framed it as a unified learning environment. This task is appealing for learning because it can provide a large number of prediction questions grounded in diverse real-world events, while preventing answer leakage. To leverage the advantages of live future prediction, we present FutureWorld, a live agentic reinforcement learning environment that closes the training loop between prediction, outcome realization, and parameters update. In our environment, we take three open-source base models and train them for consecutive days. The results show that training is effective. Furthermore, we build a daily benchmark based on the environment and evaluate several frontier agents on it to establish performance baselines for current agent systems.

88.6AIApr 20
The World Leaks the Future: Harness Evolution for Future Prediction Agents

Chuyang Wei, Maohang Gao, Zhixin Han et al.

Many consequential decisions must be made before the relevant outcome is known. Such problems are commonly framed as future prediction, where an LLM agent must form a prediction for an unresolved question using only the public information available at the prediction time. The setting is difficult because public evidence evolves while useful supervision arrives only after the question is resolved, so most existing approaches still improve mainly from final outcomes. Yet final outcomes are too coarse to guide earlier factor tracking, evidence gathering and interpretation, or uncertainty handling. When the same unresolved question is revisited over time, temporal contrasts between earlier and later predictions can expose omissions in the earlier prediction process; we call this signal internal feedback. We introduce Milkyway, a self-evolving agent system that keeps the base model fixed and instead updates a persistent future prediction harness for factor tracking, evidence gathering and interpretation, and uncertainty handling. Across repeated predictions on the same unresolved question, Milkyway extracts internal feedback and writes reusable guidance back into the harness, so later predictions on that question can improve before the outcome is known. After the question is resolved, the final outcome provides a retrospective check before the updated harness is carried forward to subsequent questions. On FutureX and FutureWorld, Milkyway achieves the best overall score among the compared methods, improving FutureX from 44.07 to 60.90 and FutureWorld from 62.22 to 77.96.

QUANT-PHOct 8, 2019
A framework for quantum homomorphic encryption with experimental demonstration

Yu Zhang, Li Yu, Qi-Ping Su et al.

Quantum homomorphic encryption (QHE) is an encryption method that allows quantum computation to be performed on one party's private data with the program provided by another party, without revealing much information about the data nor the program to the opposite party. We propose a framework for (interactive) QHE based on the universal circuit approach. It contains a subprocedure of calculating a classical linear polynomial, which can be implemented with quantum or classical methods; apart from the subprocedure, the framework has low requirement on the quantum capabilities of the party who provides the circuit. We illustrate the subprocedure using a quite simple classical protocol with some privacy tradeoff. For a special case of such protocol, we obtain a scheme similar to blind quantum computation but with the output on a different party. Another way of implementing the subprocedure is to use a recently studied quantum check-based protocol, which has low requirement on the quantum capabilities of both parties. The subprocedure could also be implemented with a classical additive homomorphic encryption scheme. We demonstrate some key steps of the outer part of the framework in a quantum optics experiment.