Adam Abdin

Boshuai Zhao, Adam Abdin, Jakob Puchinger

The Electric Autonomous Dial-a-Ride Problem (E-ADARP) involves routing and scheduling electric autonomous vehicles under battery capacity and partial recharging constraints, aiming to minimize total travel cost and excess ride time. In practice, operational data for time and state-of-charge (SoC) are often available only at a coarse granularity. This raises a natural question: can discretization be exploited to improve computational performance by enabling alternative formulation structures? To investigate this question, we develop three formulations reflecting different levels of discretization. The first is an improved event-based formulation (IEBF) with arc-flow SoC variables for the continuous-parameter E-ADARP, serving as a strengthened baseline. The latter two are fragment-based formulations designed for discretized inputs. The second is a time-space fragment-based formulation with continuous SoC arc-flow variables (TSFFCS), which discretizes time while keeping SoC continuous. The third is a battery-time-space fragment-based formulation (BTSFF), which discretizes both time and SoC. Here, an event denotes a tuple consisting of a location and a set of onboard customers, while a fragment denotes a partial path. Computational results show that IEBF improves upon the existing event-based formulation for the original E-ADARP. Under discretized settings, TSFFCS tends to outperform IEBF, particularly when recharging is frequent and time discretization is relatively coarse, indicating that time discretization can improve computational performance across a wide range of settings. In contrast, BTSFF rarely outperforms TSFFCS unless the number of reachable SoC levels is limited, suggesting that explicit SoC discretization is beneficial only in relatively restricted settings.

Susmitha Patnala, Adam Abdin

This study develops an AI-based implementation of autonomous On-Orbit Servicing (OOS) mission to assist with spacecraft collision avoidance maneuvers (CAMs). We propose an autonomous `servicer' trained with Reinforcement Learning (RL) to autonomously detect potential collisions between a target satellite and space debris, rendezvous and dock with endangered satellites, and execute optimal CAM. The RL model integrates collision risk estimates, satellite specifications, and debris data to generate an optimal maneuver matrix for OOS rendezvous and collision prevention. We employ the Cross-Entropy algorithm to find optimal decision policies efficiently. Initial results demonstrate the feasibility of autonomous robotic OOS for collision avoidance services, focusing on one servicer spacecraft to one endangered satellite scenario. However, merging spacecraft rendezvous and optimal CAM presents significant complexities. We discuss design challenges and critical parameters for the successful implementation of the framework presented through a case study.

Antoine Poupon, Hugo de Rohan Willner, Pierre Nikitits et al.

The proliferation of debris in Low Earth Orbit (LEO) represents a significant threat to space sustainability and spacecraft safety. Active Debris Removal (ADR) has emerged as a promising approach to address this issue, utilising Orbital Transfer Vehicles (OTVs) to facilitate debris deorbiting, thereby reducing future collision risks. However, ADR missions are substantially complex, necessitating accurate planning to make the missions economically viable and technically effective. Moreover, these servicing missions require a high level of autonomous capability to plan under evolving orbital conditions and changing mission requirements. In this paper, an autonomous decision-planning model based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) is developed to train an OTV to plan optimal debris removal sequencing. It is shown that using the proposed framework, the agent can find optimal mission plans and learn to update the planning autonomously to include risk handling of debris with high collision risk.

Thomas Georges, Adam Abdin

We introduce a Transformer-based Reinforcement Learning framework for autonomous orbital collision avoidance that explicitly models the effects of partial observability and imperfect monitoring in space operations. The framework combines a configurable encounter simulator, a distance-dependent observation model, and a sequential state estimator to represent uncertainty in relative motion. A central contribution of this work is the use of transformer-based Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) architecture, which leverage long-range temporal attention to interpret noisy and intermittent observations more effectively than traditional architectures. This integration provides a foundation for training collision avoidance agents that can operate more reliably under imperfect monitoring environments.

Zhuojun Xie, Adam Abdin, Yiping Fang

Recent research increasingly integrates machine learning (ML) into predictive maintenance (PdM) to reduce operational and maintenance costs in data-rich operational settings. However, uncertainty due to model misspecification continues to limit widespread industrial adoption. This paper proposes a PdM framework in which sensor-driven prognostics inform decision-making under economic trade-offs within a finite decision space. We investigate two key questions: (1) Does higher predictive accuracy necessarily lead to better maintenance decisions? (2) If not, how can the impact of prediction errors on downstream maintenance decisions be mitigated? We first demonstrate that in the traditional estimate-then-optimize (ETO) framework, errors in probabilistic prediction can result in inconsistent and suboptimal maintenance decisions. To address this, we propose an integrated estimate-optimize (IEO) framework that jointly tunes predictive models while directly optimizing for maintenance outcomes. We establish theoretical finite-sample guarantees on decision consistency under standard assumptions. Specifically, we develop a stochastic perturbation gradient descent algorithm suitable for small run-to-failure datasets. Empirical evaluations on a turbofan maintenance case study show that the IEO framework reduces average maintenance regret up to 22% compared to ETO. This study provides a principled approach to managing prediction errors in data-driven PdM. By aligning prognostic model training with maintenance objectives, the IEO framework improves robustness under model misspecification and improves decision quality. The improvement is particularly pronounced when the decision-making policy is misaligned with the decision-maker's target. These findings support more reliable maintenance planning in uncertain operational environments.