18.1AIDec 3, 2025
Evaluating Generalization Capabilities of LLM-Based Agents in Mixed-Motive Scenarios Using ConcordiaChandler Smith, Marwa Abdulhai, Manfred Diaz et al.
Large Language Model (LLM) agents have demonstrated impressive capabilities for social interaction and are increasingly being deployed in situations where they might engage with both human and artificial agents. These interactions represent a critical frontier for LLM-based agents, yet existing evaluation methods fail to measure how well these capabilities generalize to novel social situations. In this paper, we introduce a method for evaluating the ability of LLM-based agents to cooperate in zero-shot, mixed-motive environments using Concordia, a natural language multi-agent simulation environment. Our method measures general cooperative intelligence by testing an agent's ability to identify and exploit opportunities for mutual gain across diverse partners and contexts. We present empirical results from the NeurIPS 2024 Concordia Contest, where agents were evaluated on their ability to achieve mutual gains across a suite of diverse scenarios ranging from negotiation to collective action problems. Our findings reveal significant gaps between current agent capabilities and the robust generalization required for reliable cooperation, particularly in scenarios demanding persuasion and norm enforcement.
OpenSanctions Pairs: Large-Scale Entity Matching with LLMsChandler Smith, Magnus Sesodia, Friedrich Lindenberg et al.
We release OpenSanctions Pairs, a large-scale entity matching benchmark derived from real-world international sanctions aggregation and analyst deduplication. The dataset contains 755,540 labeled pairs spanning 293 heterogeneous sources across 31 countries, with multilingual and cross-script names, noisy and missing attributes, and set-valued fields typical of compliance workflows. We benchmark a production rule-based matcher (nomenklatura RegressionV1 algorithm) against open- and closed-source LLMs in zero- and few-shot settings. Off-the-shelf LLMs substantially outperform the production rule-based baseline (91.33\% F1), reaching up to 98.95\% F1 (GPT-4o) and 98.23\% F1 with a locally deployable open model (DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-14B). DSPy MIPROv2 prompt optimization yields consistent but modest gains, while adding in-context examples provides little additional benefit and can degrade performance. Error analysis shows complementary failure modes: the rule-based system over-matches (high false positives), whereas LLMs primarily fail on cross-script transliteration and minor identifier/date inconsistencies. These results indicate that pairwise matching performance is approaching a practical ceiling in this setting, and motivate shifting effort toward pipeline components such as blocking, clustering, and uncertainty-aware review. Code available at https://github.com/chansmi/OSINT_entity_resolution
29.3MAFeb 19, 2025
Multi-Agent Risks from Advanced AILewis Hammond, Alan Chan, Jesse Clifton et al. · stanford
The rapid development of advanced AI agents and the imminent deployment of many instances of these agents will give rise to multi-agent systems of unprecedented complexity. These systems pose novel and under-explored risks. In this report, we provide a structured taxonomy of these risks by identifying three key failure modes (miscoordination, conflict, and collusion) based on agents' incentives, as well as seven key risk factors (information asymmetries, network effects, selection pressures, destabilising dynamics, commitment problems, emergent agency, and multi-agent security) that can underpin them. We highlight several important instances of each risk, as well as promising directions to help mitigate them. By anchoring our analysis in a range of real-world examples and experimental evidence, we illustrate the distinct challenges posed by multi-agent systems and their implications for the safety, governance, and ethics of advanced AI.
Escalation Risks from Language Models in Military and Diplomatic Decision-MakingJuan-Pablo Rivera, Gabriel Mukobi, Anka Reuel et al. · stanford
Governments are increasingly considering integrating autonomous AI agents in high-stakes military and foreign-policy decision-making, especially with the emergence of advanced generative AI models like GPT-4. Our work aims to scrutinize the behavior of multiple AI agents in simulated wargames, specifically focusing on their predilection to take escalatory actions that may exacerbate multilateral conflicts. Drawing on political science and international relations literature about escalation dynamics, we design a novel wargame simulation and scoring framework to assess the escalation risks of actions taken by these agents in different scenarios. Contrary to prior studies, our research provides both qualitative and quantitative insights and focuses on large language models (LLMs). We find that all five studied off-the-shelf LLMs show forms of escalation and difficult-to-predict escalation patterns. We observe that models tend to develop arms-race dynamics, leading to greater conflict, and in rare cases, even to the deployment of nuclear weapons. Qualitatively, we also collect the models' reported reasonings for chosen actions and observe worrying justifications based on deterrence and first-strike tactics. Given the high stakes of military and foreign-policy contexts, we recommend further examination and cautious consideration before deploying autonomous language model agents for strategic military or diplomatic decision-making.
34.0AINov 20, 2024
BetterBench: Assessing AI Benchmarks, Uncovering Issues, and Establishing Best PracticesAnka Reuel, Amelia Hardy, Chandler Smith et al. · stanford
AI models are increasingly prevalent in high-stakes environments, necessitating thorough assessment of their capabilities and risks. Benchmarks are popular for measuring these attributes and for comparing model performance, tracking progress, and identifying weaknesses in foundation and non-foundation models. They can inform model selection for downstream tasks and influence policy initiatives. However, not all benchmarks are the same: their quality depends on their design and usability. In this paper, we develop an assessment framework considering 46 best practices across an AI benchmark's lifecycle and evaluate 24 AI benchmarks against it. We find that there exist large quality differences and that commonly used benchmarks suffer from significant issues. We further find that most benchmarks do not report statistical significance of their results nor allow for their results to be easily replicated. To support benchmark developers in aligning with best practices, we provide a checklist for minimum quality assurance based on our assessment. We also develop a living repository of benchmark assessments to support benchmark comparability, accessible at betterbench.stanford.edu.