4.5AIJul 17, 2022
Certain and Uncertain Inference with Indicative ConditionalsPaul Égré, Lorenzo Rossi, Jan Sprenger
This paper develops a trivalent semantics for the truth conditions and the probability of the natural language indicative conditional. Our framework rests on trivalent truth conditions first proposed by W. Cooper and yields two logics of conditional reasoning: (i) a logic C of inference from certain premises; and (ii) a logic U of inference from uncertain premises. But whereas C is monotonic for the conditional, U is not, and whereas C obeys Modus Ponens, U does not without restrictions. We show systematic correspondences between trivalent and probabilistic representations of inferences in either framework, and we use the distinction between the two systems to cast light, in particular, on McGee's puzzle about Modus Ponens. The result is a unified account of the semantics and epistemology of indicative conditionals that can be fruitfully applied to analyzing the validity of conditional inferences.
1.8LGOct 1, 2022
DeltaBound Attack: Efficient decision-based attack in low queries regimeLorenzo Rossi
Deep neural networks and other machine learning systems, despite being extremely powerful and able to make predictions with high accuracy, are vulnerable to adversarial attacks. We proposed the DeltaBound attack: a novel, powerful attack in the hard-label setting with $\ell_2$ norm bounded perturbations. In this scenario, the attacker has only access to the top-1 predicted label of the model and can be therefore applied to real-world settings such as remote API. This is a complex problem since the attacker has very little information about the model. Consequently, most of the other techniques present in the literature require a massive amount of queries for attacking a single example. Oppositely, this work mainly focuses on the evaluation of attack's power in the low queries regime $\leq 1000$ queries) with $\ell_2$ norm in the hard-label settings. We find that the DeltaBound attack performs as well and sometimes better than current state-of-the-art attacks while remaining competitive across different kinds of models. Moreover, we evaluate our method against not only deep neural networks, but also non-deep learning models, such as Gradient Boosting Decision Trees and Multinomial Naive Bayes.
Evaluation of Embeddings of Laboratory Test Codes for Patients at a Cancer CenterLorenzo A. Rossi, Chad Shawber, Janet Munu et al.
Laboratory test results are an important and generally high dimensional component of a patient's Electronic Health Record (EHR). We train embedding representations (via Word2Vec and GloVe) for LOINC codes of laboratory tests from the EHRs of about 80,000 patients at a cancer center. To include information about lab test outcomes, we also train embeddings on the concatenation of a LOINC code with a symbol indicating normality or abnormality of the result. We observe several clinically meaningful similarities among LOINC embeddings trained over our data. For the embeddings of the concatenation of LOINCs with abnormality codes, we evaluate the performance for mortality prediction tasks and the ability to preserve ordinality properties: i.e. a lab test with normal outcome should be more similar to an abnormal one than to the a very abnormal one.