Valerio Lorini

Valerio Lorini, Carlos Castillo, Domenico Nappo et al.

Social media can be used for disaster risk reduction as a complement to traditional information sources, and the literature has suggested numerous ways to achieve this. In the case of floods, for instance, data collection from social media can be triggered by a severe weather forecast and/or a flood prediction. By way of contrast, in this paper we explore the possibility of having an entirely independent flood monitoring system which is based completely on social media, and which is completely self-activated. This independence and self-activation would bring increased robustness, as the system would not depend on other mechanisms for forecasting. We observe that social media can indeed help in the early detection of some flood events that would otherwise not be detected until later, albeit at the cost of many false positives. Overall, our experiments suggest that social media signals should only be used to complement existing monitoring systems, and we provide various explanations to support this argument.

Valerio Lorini, Javier Rando, Diego Saez-Trumper et al.

The usage of non-authoritative data for disaster management presents the opportunity of accessing timely information that might not be available through other means, as well as the challenge of dealing with several layers of biases. Wikipedia, a collaboratively-produced encyclopedia, includes in-depth information about many natural and human-made disasters, and its editors are particularly good at adding information in real-time as a crisis unfolds. In this study, we focus on the English version of Wikipedia, that is by far the most comprehensive version of this encyclopedia. Wikipedia tends to have good coverage of disasters, particularly those having a large number of fatalities. However, we also show that a tendency to cover events in wealthy countries and not cover events in poorer ones permeates Wikipedia as a source for disaster-related information. By performing careful automatic content analysis at a large scale, we show how the coverage of floods in Wikipedia is skewed towards rich, English-speaking countries, in particular the US and Canada. We also note how coverage of floods in countries with the lowest income, as well as countries in South America, is substantially lower than the coverage of floods in middle-income countries. These results have implications for systems using Wikipedia or similar collaborative media platforms as an information source for detecting emergencies or for gathering valuable information for disaster response.