LGJun 11, 2020
Revisiting Explicit Regularization in Neural Networks for Well-Calibrated Predictive UncertaintyTaejong Joo, Uijung Chung
From the statistical learning perspective, complexity control via explicit regularization is a necessity for improving the generalization of over-parameterized models. However, the impressive generalization performance of neural networks with only implicit regularization may be at odds with this conventional wisdom. In this work, we revisit the importance of explicit regularization for obtaining well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Specifically, we introduce a probabilistic measure of calibration performance, which is lower bounded by the log-likelihood. We then explore explicit regularization techniques for improving the log-likelihood on unseen samples, which provides well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Our findings present a new direction to improve the predictive probability quality of deterministic neural networks, which can be an efficient and scalable alternative to Bayesian neural networks and ensemble methods.
LGFeb 19, 2020
Being Bayesian about Categorical ProbabilityTaejong Joo, Uijung Chung, Min-Gwan Seo
Neural networks utilize the softmax as a building block in classification tasks, which contains an overconfidence problem and lacks an uncertainty representation ability. As a Bayesian alternative to the softmax, we consider a random variable of a categorical probability over class labels. In this framework, the prior distribution explicitly models the presumed noise inherent in the observed label, which provides consistent gains in generalization performance in multiple challenging tasks. The proposed method inherits advantages of Bayesian approaches that achieve better uncertainty estimation and model calibration. Our method can be implemented as a plug-and-play loss function with negligible computational overhead compared to the softmax with the cross-entropy loss function.