Rick Steinert

2papers

2 Papers

STMar 31, 2020
Company classification using machine learning

Sven Husmann, Antoniya Shivarova, Rick Steinert

The recent advancements in computational power and machine learning algorithms have led to vast improvements in manifold areas of research. Especially in finance, the application of machine learning enables both researchers and practitioners to gain new insights into financial data and well-studied areas such as company classification. In our paper, we demonstrate that unsupervised machine learning algorithms can be used to visualize and classify company data in an economically meaningful and effective way. In particular, we implement the data-driven dimension reduction and visualization tool t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE) in combination with spectral clustering. The resulting company groups can then be utilized by experts in the field for empirical analysis and optimal decision making. By providing an exemplary out-of-sample study within a portfolio optimization framework, we show that the application of t-SNE and spectral clustering improves the overall portfolio performance. Therefore, we introduce our approach to the financial community as a valuable technique in the context of data analysis and company classification.

APFeb 27, 2014
Efficient Modeling and Forecasting of the Electricity Spot Price

Florian Ziel, Rick Steinert, Sven Husmann

The increasing importance of renewable energy, especially solar and wind power, has led to new forces in the formation of electricity prices. Hence, this paper introduces an econometric model for the hourly time series of electricity prices of the European Power Exchange (EPEX) which incorporates specific features like renewable energy. The model consists of several sophisticated and established approaches and can be regarded as a periodic VAR-TARCH with wind power, solar power, and load as influences on the time series. It is able to map the distinct and well-known features of electricity prices in Germany. An efficient iteratively reweighted lasso approach is used for the estimation. Moreover, it is shown that several existing models are outperformed by the procedure developed in this paper.