Luofeng Zhou

Huaiyu Jia, Luofeng Zhou, Wentao Zhang et al.

Prediction markets are markets for trading claims on future events, such as presidential elections, and their prices provide continuously updated signals of collective beliefs. In decentralized platforms such as Polymarket, the market lifecycle spans market creation, token registration, trading, oracle interaction, dispute, and final settlement, yet the corresponding data are fragmented across heterogeneous off-chain and on-chain sources. We present the first continuously maintained dataset suite for the full lifecycle of decentralized prediction markets, built on Polymarket. To address the challenges of large-scale cross-source integration, incomplete linkage, and continuous synchronization, we build a unified relational data system that integrates three canonical layers: market metadata, fill-level trading records, and oracle-resolution events, through identifier resolution, on-chain recovery, and incremental updates. The resulting dataset spans October 2020 to March 2026 and comprises more than 770 thousand market records, over 943 million fill records, and nearly 2 million oracle events. We describe the data model, collection pipeline, and consistency mechanisms that make the dataset reproducible and extensible, and we demonstrate its utility through descriptive analyses of market activity and two downstream case studies: NBA outcome calibration and CPI expectation reconstruction.

Qichen Li, Yuanqing Lin, Luofeng Zhou et al.

Creating meta-embeddings for better performance in language modelling has received attention lately, and methods based on concatenation or merely calculating the arithmetic mean of more than one separately trained embeddings to perform meta-embeddings have shown to be beneficial. In this paper, we devise a new meta-embedding model based on the self-attention mechanism, namely the Duo. With less than 0.4M parameters, the Duo mechanism achieves state-of-the-art accuracy in text classification tasks such as 20NG. Additionally, we propose a new meta-embedding sequece-to-sequence model for machine translation, which to the best of our knowledge, is the first machine translation model based on more than one word-embedding. Furthermore, it has turned out that our model outperform the Transformer not only in terms of achieving a better result, but also a faster convergence on recognized benchmarks, such as the WMT 2014 English-to-French translation task.