5.5LGAug 13, 2021
TDM: Trustworthy Decision-Making via Interpretability EnhancementDaoming Lyu, Fangkai Yang, Hugh Kwon et al.
Human-robot interactive decision-making is increasingly becoming ubiquitous, and trust is an influential factor in determining the reliance on autonomy. However, it is not reasonable to trust systems that are beyond our comprehension, and typical machine learning and data-driven decision-making are black-box paradigms that impede interpretability. Therefore, it is critical to establish computational trustworthy decision-making mechanisms enhanced by interpretability-aware strategies. To this end, we propose a Trustworthy Decision-Making (TDM) framework, which integrates symbolic planning into sequential decision-making. The framework learns interpretable subtasks that result in a complex, higher-level composite task that can be formally evaluated using the proposed trust metric. TDM enables the subtask-level interpretability by design and converges to an optimal symbolic plan from the learned subtasks. Moreover, a TDM-based algorithm is introduced to demonstrate the unification of symbolic planning with other sequential-decision making algorithms, reaping the benefits of both. Experimental results validate the effectiveness of trust-score-based planning while improving the interpretability of subtasks.
Transformer-based Conditional Variational Autoencoder for Controllable Story GenerationLe Fang, Tao Zeng, Chaochun Liu et al.
We investigate large-scale latent variable models (LVMs) for neural story generation -- an under-explored application for open-domain long text -- with objectives in two threads: generation effectiveness and controllability. LVMs, especially the variational autoencoder (VAE), have achieved both effective and controllable generation through exploiting flexible distributional latent representations. Recently, Transformers and its variants have achieved remarkable effectiveness without explicit latent representation learning, thus lack satisfying controllability in generation. In this paper, we advocate to revive latent variable modeling, essentially the power of representation learning, in the era of Transformers to enhance controllability without hurting state-of-the-art generation effectiveness. Specifically, we integrate latent representation vectors with a Transformer-based pre-trained architecture to build conditional variational autoencoder (CVAE). Model components such as encoder, decoder and the variational posterior are all built on top of pre-trained language models -- GPT2 specifically in this paper. Experiments demonstrate state-of-the-art conditional generation ability of our model, as well as its excellent representation learning capability and controllability.
Outline to Story: Fine-grained Controllable Story Generation from Cascaded EventsLe Fang, Tao Zeng, Chaochun Liu et al.
Large-scale pretrained language models have shown thrilling generation capabilities, especially when they generate consistent long text in thousands of words with ease. However, users of these models can only control the prefix of sentences or certain global aspects of generated text. It is challenging to simultaneously achieve fine-grained controllability and preserve the state-of-the-art unconditional text generation capability. In this paper, we first propose a new task named "Outline to Story" (O2S) as a test bed for fine-grained controllable generation of long text, which generates a multi-paragraph story from cascaded events, i.e. a sequence of outline events that guide subsequent paragraph generation. We then create dedicate datasets for future benchmarks, built by state-of-the-art keyword extraction techniques. Finally, we propose an extremely simple yet strong baseline method for the O2S task, which fine tunes pre-trained language models on augmented sequences of outline-story pairs with simple language modeling objective. Our method does not introduce any new parameters or perform any architecture modification, except several special tokens as delimiters to build augmented sequences. Extensive experiments on various datasets demonstrate state-of-the-art conditional story generation performance with our model, achieving better fine-grained controllability and user flexibility. Our paper is among the first ones by our knowledge to propose a model and to create datasets for the task of "outline to story". Our work also instantiates research interest of fine-grained controllable generation of open-domain long text, where controlling inputs are represented by short text.
3.3LGJun 6, 2020
Stable and Efficient Policy EvaluationDaoming Lyu, Bo Liu, Matthieu Geist et al.
Policy evaluation algorithms are essential to reinforcement learning due to their ability to predict the performance of a policy. However, there are two long-standing issues lying in this prediction problem that need to be tackled: off-policy stability and on-policy efficiency. The conventional temporal difference (TD) algorithm is known to perform very well in the on-policy setting, yet is not off-policy stable. On the other hand, the gradient TD and emphatic TD algorithms are off-policy stable, but are not on-policy efficient. This paper introduces novel algorithms that are both off-policy stable and on-policy efficient by using the oblique projection method. The empirical experimental results on various domains validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
Implicit Deep Latent Variable Models for Text GenerationLe Fang, Chunyuan Li, Jianfeng Gao et al.
Deep latent variable models (LVM) such as variational auto-encoder (VAE) have recently played an important role in text generation. One key factor is the exploitation of smooth latent structures to guide the generation. However, the representation power of VAEs is limited due to two reasons: (1) the Gaussian assumption is often made on the variational posteriors; and meanwhile (2) a notorious "posterior collapse" issue occurs. In this paper, we advocate sample-based representations of variational distributions for natural language, leading to implicit latent features, which can provide flexible representation power compared with Gaussian-based posteriors. We further develop an LVM to directly match the aggregated posterior to the prior. It can be viewed as a natural extension of VAEs with a regularization of maximizing mutual information, mitigating the "posterior collapse" issue. We demonstrate the effectiveness and versatility of our models in various text generation scenarios, including language modeling, unaligned style transfer, and dialog response generation. The source code to reproduce our experimental results is available on GitHub.
3.3SYMay 7, 2019
Optimal Control of Complex Systems through Variational Inference with a Discrete Event Decision ProcessWen Dong, Bo Liu, Fan Yang
Complex social systems are composed of interconnected individuals whose interactions result in group behaviors. Optimal control of a real-world complex system has many applications, including road traffic management, epidemic prevention, and information dissemination. However, such real-world complex system control is difficult to achieve because of high-dimensional and non-linear system dynamics, and the exploding state and action spaces for the decision maker. Prior methods can be divided into two categories: simulation-based and analytical approaches. Existing simulation approaches have high-variance in Monte Carlo integration, and the analytical approaches suffer from modeling inaccuracy. We adopted simulation modeling in specifying the complex dynamics of a complex system, and developed analytical solutions for searching optimal strategies in a complex network with high-dimensional state-action space. To capture the complex system dynamics, we formulate the complex social network decision making problem as a discrete event decision process. To address the curse of dimensionality and search in high-dimensional state action spaces in complex systems, we reduce control of a complex system to variational inference and parameter learning, introduce Bethe entropy approximation, and develop an expectation propagation algorithm. Our proposed algorithm leads to higher system expected rewards, faster convergence, and lower variance of value function in a real-world transportation scenario than state-of-the-art analytical and sampling approaches.
1.4LGApr 17, 2017
O$^2$TD: (Near)-Optimal Off-Policy TD LearningBo Liu, Daoming Lyu, Wen Dong et al.
Temporal difference learning and Residual Gradient methods are the most widely used temporal difference based learning algorithms; however, it has been shown that none of their objective functions is optimal w.r.t approximating the true value function $V$. Two novel algorithms are proposed to approximate the true value function $V$. This paper makes the following contributions: (1) A batch algorithm that can help find the approximate optimal off-policy prediction of the true value function $V$. (2) A linear computational cost (per step) near-optimal algorithm that can learn from a collection of off-policy samples. (3) A new perspective of the emphatic temporal difference learning which bridges the gap between off-policy optimality and off-policy stability.
4.6MLNov 7, 2016
Using Social Dynamics to Make Individual Predictions: Variational Inference with a Stochastic Kinetic ModelZhen Xu, Wen Dong, Sargur Srihari
Social dynamics is concerned primarily with interactions among individuals and the resulting group behaviors, modeling the temporal evolution of social systems via the interactions of individuals within these systems. In particular, the availability of large-scale data from social networks and sensor networks offers an unprecedented opportunity to predict state-changing events at the individual level. Examples of such events include disease transmission, opinion transition in elections, and rumor propagation. Unlike previous research focusing on the collective effects of social systems, this study makes efficient inferences at the individual level. In order to cope with dynamic interactions among a large number of individuals, we introduce the stochastic kinetic model to capture adaptive transition probabilities and propose an efficient variational inference algorithm the complexity of which grows linearly --- rather than exponentially --- with the number of individuals. To validate this method, we have performed epidemic-dynamics experiments on wireless sensor network data collected from more than ten thousand people over three years. The proposed algorithm was used to track disease transmission and predict the probability of infection for each individual. Our results demonstrate that this method is more efficient than sampling while nonetheless achieving high accuracy.
2.3SIApr 17, 2012
Automatic Prediction Of Small Group Performance In Information Sharing TasksWen Dong, Bruno Lepri, Alex Pentland
In this paper, we describe a novel approach, based on Markov jump processes, to model small group conversational dynamics and to predict small group performance. More precisely, we estimate conversational events such as turn taking, backchannels, turn-transitions at the micro-level (1 minute windows) and then we bridge the micro-level behavior and the macro-level performance. We tested our approach with a cooperative task, the Information Sharing task, and we verified the relevance of micro- level interaction dynamics in determining a good group performance (e.g. higher speaking turns rate and more balanced participation among group members).