Dhyanesh Narayanan

Siddharth Nishtala, Lovish Madaan, Aditya Mate et al.

India has a maternal mortality ratio of 113 and child mortality ratio of 2830 per 100,000 live births. Lack of access to preventive care information is a major contributing factor for these deaths, especially in low resource households. We partner with ARMMAN, a non-profit based in India employing a call-based information program to disseminate health-related information to pregnant women and women with recent child deliveries. We analyze call records of over 300,000 women registered in the program created by ARMMAN and try to identify women who might not engage with these call programs that are proven to result in positive health outcomes. We built machine learning based models to predict the long term engagement pattern from call logs and beneficiaries' demographic information, and discuss the applicability of this method in the real world through a pilot validation. Through a pilot service quality improvement study, we show that using our model's predictions to make interventions boosts engagement metrics by 61.37%. We then formulate the intervention planning problem as restless multi-armed bandits (RMABs), and present preliminary results using this approach.

Ramesha Karunasena, Mohammad Sarparajul Ambiya, Arunesh Sinha et al.

Data analytics has tremendous potential to provide targeted benefit in low-resource communities, however the availability of high-quality public health data is a significant challenge in developing countries primarily due to non-diligent data collection by community health workers (CHWs). In this work, we define and test a data collection diligence score. This challenging unlabeled data problem is handled by building upon domain expert's guidance to design a useful data representation of the raw data, using which we design a simple and natural score. An important aspect of the score is relative scoring of the CHWs, which implicitly takes into account the context of the local area. The data is also clustered and interpreting these clusters provides a natural explanation of the past behavior of each data collector. We further predict the diligence score for future time steps. Our framework has been validated on the ground using observations by the field monitors of our partner NGO in India. Beyond the successful field test, our work is in the final stages of deployment in the state of Rajasthan, India.

Siddharth Nishtala, Harshavardhan Kamarthi, Divy Thakkar et al.

India accounts for 11% of maternal deaths globally where a woman dies in childbirth every fifteen minutes. Lack of access to preventive care information is a significant problem contributing to high maternal morbidity and mortality numbers, especially in low-income households. We work with ARMMAN, a non-profit based in India, to further the use of call-based information programs by early-on identifying women who might not engage on these programs that are proven to affect health parameters positively.We analyzed anonymized call-records of over 300,000 women registered in an awareness program created by ARMMAN that uses cellphone calls to regularly disseminate health related information. We built robust deep learning based models to predict short term and long term dropout risk from call logs and beneficiaries' demographic information. Our model performs 13% better than competitive baselines for short-term forecasting and 7% better for long term forecasting. We also discuss the applicability of this method in the real world through a pilot validation that uses our method to perform targeted interventions.