SYMar 5, 2013
Embedded Online Optimization for Model Predictive Control at Megahertz RatesJuan L. Jerez, Paul J. Goulart, Stefan Richter et al.
Faster, cheaper, and more power efficient optimization solvers than those currently offered by general-purpose solutions are required for extending the use of model predictive control (MPC) to resource-constrained embedded platforms. We propose several custom computational architectures for different first-order optimization methods that can handle linear-quadratic MPC problems with input, input-rate, and soft state constraints. We provide analysis ensuring the reliable operation of the resulting controller under reduced precision fixed-point arithmetic. Implementation of the proposed architectures in FPGAs shows that satisfactory control performance at a sample rate beyond 1 MHz is achievable even on low-end devices, opening up new possibilities for the application of MPC on embedded systems.
STNov 5, 2020
Statistical analysis of Wasserstein GANs with applications to time series forecastingMoritz Haas, Stefan Richter
We provide statistical theory for conditional and unconditional Wasserstein generative adversarial networks (WGANs) in the framework of dependent observations. We prove upper bounds for the excess Bayes risk of the WGAN estimators with respect to a modified Wasserstein-type distance. Furthermore, we formalize and derive statements on the weak convergence of the estimators and use them to develop confidence intervals for new observations. The theory is applied to the special case of high-dimensional time series forecasting. We analyze the behavior of the estimators in simulations based on synthetic data and investigate a real data example with temperature data. The dependency of the data is quantified with absolutely regular beta-mixing coefficients.
STSep 18, 2020
Forecasting time series with encoder-decoder neural networksNathawut Phandoidaen, Stefan Richter
In this paper, we consider high-dimensional stationary processes where a new observation is generated from a compressed version of past observations. The specific evolution is modeled by an encoder-decoder structure. We estimate the evolution with an encoder-decoder neural network and give upper bounds for the expected forecast error under specific structural and sparsity assumptions. The results are shown separately for conditions either on the absolutely regular mixing coefficients or the functional dependence measure of the observed process. In a quantitative simulation we discuss the behavior of the network estimator under different model assumptions. We corroborate our theory by a real data example where we consider forecasting temperature data.