Jay Yu

Jay Yu, Amy Zhao, Danning Sui

DeFi investment agents, systems that use AI for autonomous on-chain trading, have attained over USD 3 billion in combined token valuations since late 2024. We survey over 1,900 AI-tagged crypto projects, filter to investment-focused agents, and curate 10 representative projects spanning strategy and observability dimensions. We then conduct a deep-dive architectural analysis of two prominent agent frameworks, ElizaOS and Virtuals Protocol, and a quantitative on-chain performance analysis of 11 Solana-based agent treasuries with publicly attributable trading activity, covering 925,323 token holders. We find that current deployments remain early and heterogeneous: (1) in our sample, many projects do not yet provide clear evidence of autonomous trade execution, and developer interviews suggest that many visible deployments remain basic API integrations; (2) agent treasuries retain over USD 30M in paper gains while token holders collectively lost USD 191.7M, with the top 1% of wallets capturing 81.4% of all gains (USD 1.81B); (3) token valuations are weakly connected to treasury fundamentals, with market-cap-to-AUM ratios exceeding 10,000x versus below 1x for established DeFi protocols; and (4) aggregate user gains peaked at USD 2.4B before declining to net losses, with median returns negative on every platform and tokens declining 93% on average from all-time highs. We interpret these outcomes as characteristic of a permissionless, first-generation market in which open infrastructure enables rapid experimentation but also allows naive or speculative agents to launch before robust standards for autonomy, performance, and stakeholder alignment emerge. We therefore propose a maturity framework along three dimensions: autonomous execution, risk-adjusted profitability, and stakeholder alignment, to characterize the gap between current deployments and future investment-grade agent systems.

Jay Yu, Shunfan Zhou, Hang Yin et al.

Blockchain wallets conventionally follow an ownership model where possession of a private key grants unilateral control. However, this assumption is brittle for emerging settings such as AI agent wallets, organizational custody, and enterprise payroll, where multiple actors must coordinate without exposing secrets or leaking internal activity. We present PASS, a Provenanced Access Subaccount System that replaces role-based or identity-based control with provenance-based control: assets can only be used by subaccounts that can trace custody back to a valid deposit. A simple Inbox-Outbox mechanism ensures all external actions have verifiable lineage, while internal transfers remain private and indistinguishable from ordinary EOAs. We formalize PASS in Lean 4 and prove core invariants, including privacy of internal transfers, asset accessibility, and provenance integrity. We implement a prototype with enclave backends on AWS Nitro Enclaves and dstack Intel TDX, integrate with WalletConnect, and benchmark throughput across wallet operations. These results show that provenance-based wallets are both implementable and efficient. PASS bridges today's gap between strict self-custody and flexible shared access, advancing the design space for practical, privacy-preserving custody.

Jay Yu, Kevin McCluskey, Saikat Mukherjee

Most knowledge graph use cases are data-centric, focusing on representing data entities and their semantic relationships. There are no published success stories to represent large-scale complicated business logic with knowledge graph technologies. In this paper, we will share our innovative and practical approach to representing complicated U.S. and Canadian income tax compliance logic (calculations and rules) via a large-scale knowledge graph. We will cover how the Tax Knowledge Graph is constructed and automated, how it is used to calculate tax refunds, reasoned to find missing info, and navigated to explain the calculated results. The Tax Knowledge Graph has helped transform Intuit's flagship TurboTax product into a smart and personalized experience, accelerating and automating the tax preparation process while instilling confidence for millions of customers.