Qinxuan Pan

Constantinos Daskalakis, Qinxuan Pan

We show that $n$-variable tree-structured Ising models can be learned computationally-efficiently to within total variation distance $ε$ from an optimal $O(n \ln n/ε^2)$ samples, where $O(\cdot)$ hides an absolute constant which, importantly, does not depend on the model being learned - neither its tree nor the magnitude of its edge strengths, on which we place no assumptions. Our guarantees hold, in fact, for the celebrated Chow-Liu [1968] algorithm, using the plug-in estimator for estimating mutual information. While this (or any other) algorithm may fail to identify the structure of the underlying model correctly from a finite sample, we show that it will still learn a tree-structured model that is $ε$-close to the true one in total variation distance, a guarantee called "proper learning." Our guarantees do not follow from known results for the Chow-Liu algorithm and the ensuing literature on learning graphical models, including a recent renaissance of algorithms on this learning challenge, which only yield asymptotic consistency results, or sample-inefficient and/or time-inefficient algorithms, unless further assumptions are placed on the graphical model, such as bounds on the "strengths" of the model's edges/hyperedges. While we establish guarantees for a widely known and simple algorithm, the analysis that this algorithm succeeds and is sample-optimal is quite complex, requiring a hierarchical classification of the edges into layers with different reconstruction guarantees, depending on their strength, combined with delicate uses of the subadditivity of the squared Hellinger distance over graphical models to control the error accumulation.

Constantinos Daskalakis, Qinxuan Pan

We show that the square Hellinger distance between two Bayesian networks on the same directed graph, $G$, is subadditive with respect to the neighborhoods of $G$. Namely, if $P$ and $Q$ are the probability distributions defined by two Bayesian networks on the same DAG, our inequality states that the square Hellinger distance, $H^2(P,Q)$, between $P$ and $Q$ is upper bounded by the sum, $\sum_v H^2(P_{\{v\} \cup Π_v}, Q_{\{v\} \cup Π_v})$, of the square Hellinger distances between the marginals of $P$ and $Q$ on every node $v$ and its parents $Π_v$ in the DAG. Importantly, our bound does not involve the conditionals but the marginals of $P$ and $Q$. We derive a similar inequality for more general Markov Random Fields. As an application of our inequality, we show that distinguishing whether two Bayesian networks $P$ and $Q$ on the same (but potentially unknown) DAG satisfy $P=Q$ vs $d_{\rm TV}(P,Q)>ε$ can be performed from $\tilde{O}(|Σ|^{3/4(d+1)} \cdot n/ε^2)$ samples, where $d$ is the maximum in-degree of the DAG and $Σ$ the domain of each variable of the Bayesian networks. If $P$ and $Q$ are defined on potentially different and potentially unknown trees, the sample complexity becomes $\tilde{O}(|Σ|^{4.5} n/ε^2)$, whose dependence on $n, ε$ is optimal up to logarithmic factors. Lastly, if $P$ and $Q$ are product distributions over $\{0,1\}^n$ and $Q$ is known, the sample complexity becomes $O(\sqrt{n}/ε^2)$, which is optimal up to constant factors.