MEOct 21, 2020
Conditional Density Estimation via Weighted Logistic RegressionsYiping Guo, Howard D. Bondell
Compared to the conditional mean as a simple point estimator, the conditional density function is more informative to describe the distributions with multi-modality, asymmetry or heteroskedasticity. In this paper, we propose a novel parametric conditional density estimation method by showing the connection between the general density and the likelihood function of inhomogeneous Poisson process models. The maximum likelihood estimates can be obtained via weighted logistic regressions, and the computation can be significantly relaxed by combining a block-wise alternating maximization scheme and local case-control sampling. We also provide simulation studies for illustration.
MEOct 21, 2020
On Robust Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis using Multivariate $t$-DistributionsYiping Guo, Howard D. Bondell
Probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA) is a probabilistic reformulation of principal component analysis (PCA), under the framework of a Gaussian latent variable model. To improve the robustness of PPCA, it has been proposed to change the underlying Gaussian distributions to multivariate $t$-distributions. Based on the representation of $t$-distribution as a scale mixture of Gaussian distributions, a hierarchical model is used for implementation. However, in the existing literature, the hierarchical model implemented does not yield the equivalent interpretation. In this paper, we present two sets of equivalent relationships between the high-level multivariate $t$-PPCA framework and the hierarchical model used for implementation. In doing so, we clarify a current misrepresentation in the literature, by specifying the correct correspondence. In addition, we discuss the performance of different multivariate $t$ robust PPCA methods both in theory and simulation studies, and propose a novel Monte Carlo expectation-maximization (MCEM) algorithm to implement one general type of such models.