Mathias Hudoba de Badyn

Sebastian Zieglmeier, Mathias Hudoba de Badyn, Narada D. Warakagoda et al.

This paper presents a fully data-driven 3-D path-following framework for autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs), a representative class of underwater field robotics, based on Data-Enabled Predictive Control (DeePC). The approach eliminates explicit hydrodynamic modeling by exploiting measured input-output trajectories to predict and optimize future system behavior. Classic DeePC is employed for heading control, while a cascaded DeePC architecture with loop-frequency separation is proposed for depth regulation, extending DeePC to plants whose dominant output evolves significantly slower than the actuator bandwidth. For 3-D waypoint path following, the Adaptive Line-of-Sight (ALOS) guidance law is extended to a predictive multistep formulation (PALOS) that supplies the horizon-consistent reference required by receding-horizon predictive controllers. All methods are validated in high-fidelity 6 degrees of freedom simulation on the REMUS~100 AUV under nominal operation, ocean-current disturbances, operation beyond the data regime, and 3-D waypoint path following, consistently outperforming the corresponding state-of-the-art benchmarks. In 3-D waypoint path following, the framework reduces cross-track error by approximately 28\% relative to the ALOS-PI/PID baseline.

Nikolas Recke, Mathias Hudoba de Badyn

This paper presents a distributionally robust model predictive control (DRMPC) framework for the optimal Virtual Power Plant (VPP) operation under electricity price uncertainty. A unified VPP model is formulated that captures the interaction between buildings, battery storage, and renewable generation, all influenced by exogenous weather and market signals. The proposed approach integrates data-driven forecasting with quantile-based uncertainty quantification to construct time-varying Wasserstein ambiguity sets that adapt to forecast dispersion and distributional shifts. This yields a tractable DR-MPC formulation that incorporates predictive distribution information directly into real-time decision making. The method is evaluated using real weather and market data from a Nordic case study across two seasonal scenarios. The results show that DR-MPC improves economic performance relative to standard forecast-based MPC when the ambiguity radius is chosen appropriately, with consistent gains of up to 0.8% for small radii across both seasonal scenarios. Larger radii become overly conservative and reduce revenue, underscoring the importance of proper radius selection. These findings demonstrate the practical value of distributionally robust optimization for uncertainty-aware VPP operation.

Felix Bünning, Benjamin Huber, Adrian Schalbetter et al.

Because physics-based building models are difficult to obtain as each building is individual, there is an increasing interest in generating models suitable for building MPC directly from measurement data. Machine learning methods have been widely applied to this problem and validated mostly in simulation; there are, however, few studies on a direct comparison of different models or validation in real buildings to be found in the literature. Methods that are indeed validated in application often lead to computationally complex non-convex optimization problems. Here we compare physics-informed Autoregressive-Moving-Average with Exogenous Inputs (ARMAX) models to Machine Learning models based on Random Forests and Input Convex Neural Networks and the resulting convex MPC schemes in experiments on a practical building application with the goal of minimizing energy consumption while maintaining occupant comfort, and in a numerical case study. We demonstrate that Predictive Control in general leads to savings between 26% and 49% of heating and cooling energy, compared to the building's baseline hysteresis controller. Moreover, we show that all model types lead to satisfactory control performance in terms of constraint satisfaction and energy reduction. However, we also see that the physics-informed ARMAX models have a lower computational burden, and a superior sample efficiency compared to the Machine Learning based models. Moreover, even if abundant training data is available, the ARMAX models have a significantly lower prediction error than the Machine Learning models, which indicates that the encoded physics-based prior of the former cannot independently be found by the latter.

Felix Bünning, Adrian Schalbetter, Ahmed Aboudonia et al.

Model Predictive Control in buildings can significantly reduce their energy consumption. The cost and effort necessary for creating and maintaining first principle models for buildings make data-driven modelling an attractive alternative in this domain. In MPC the models form the basis for an optimization problem whose solution provides the control signals to be applied to the system. The fact that this optimization problem has to be solved repeatedly in real-time implies restrictions on the learning architectures that can be used. Here, we adapt Input Convex Neural Networks that are generally only convex for one-step predictions, for use in building MPC. We introduce additional constraints to their structure and weights to achieve a convex input-output relationship for multistep ahead predictions. We assess the consequences of the additional constraints for the model accuracy and test the models in a real-life MPC experiment in an apartment in Switzerland. In two five-day cooling experiments, MPC with Input Convex Neural Networks is able to keep room temperatures within comfort constraints while minimizing cooling energy consumption.