Kyriacos Koupparis

Federica Sibilla, Vasiliki Voukelatou, Duccio Piovani et al.

Data scarcity limits inference in many scientific and policy domains. Survey data are essential for decision-making, but sparse samples often fail to capture fine spatial granularities. We evaluate normalizing flows, a generative model that learns complex data distributions and can be conditioned on exogenous contextual features, in controlled data scarcity scenarios. Across eight household survey datasets spanning six low-income or middle-income countries in the humanitarian domain, we show that context-conditioned generative models can refine sub-national survey distributions under severe data scarcity, and that performance increases systematically with the richness of the conditioning information. These findings support a general principle for survey data augmentation: generative models can improve sub-national estimates when the sparse sample retains sufficient support and contextual covariates encode relevant local heterogeneity. By learning full conditional distributions rather than point estimates, the approach provides fine-grained evidence for humanitarian decision-making and resource allocation.

Jihyeon Lee, Joseph Z. Xu, Kihyuk Sohn et al.

To respond to disasters such as earthquakes, wildfires, and armed conflicts, humanitarian organizations require accurate and timely data in the form of damage assessments, which indicate what buildings and population centers have been most affected. Recent research combines machine learning with remote sensing to automatically extract such information from satellite imagery, reducing manual labor and turn-around time. A major impediment to using machine learning methods in real disaster response scenarios is the difficulty of obtaining a sufficient amount of labeled data to train a model for an unfolding disaster. This paper shows a novel application of semi-supervised learning (SSL) to train models for damage assessment with a minimal amount of labeled data and large amount of unlabeled data. We compare the performance of state-of-the-art SSL methods, including MixMatch and FixMatch, to a supervised baseline for the 2010 Haiti earthquake, 2017 Santa Rosa wildfire, and 2016 armed conflict in Syria. We show how models trained with SSL methods can reach fully supervised performance despite using only a fraction of labeled data and identify areas for further improvements.