Ruth Misener

Jose Pablo Folch, Robert M Lee, Behrang Shafei et al.

Bayesian Optimization is a useful tool for experiment design. Unfortunately, the classical, sequential setting of Bayesian Optimization does not translate well into laboratory experiments, for instance battery design, where measurements may come from different sources and their evaluations may require significant waiting times. Multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimization addresses the setting with measurements from different sources. Asynchronous batch Bayesian Optimization provides a framework to select new experiments before the results of the prior experiments are revealed. This paper proposes an algorithm combining multi-fidelity and asynchronous batch methods. We empirically study the algorithm behavior, and show it can outperform single-fidelity batch methods and multi-fidelity sequential methods. As an application, we consider designing electrode materials for optimal performance in pouch cells using experiments with coin cells to approximate battery performance.

Alexander Thebelt, Calvin Tsay, Robert M. Lee et al.

Tree ensembles can be well-suited for black-box optimization tasks such as algorithm tuning and neural architecture search, as they achieve good predictive performance with little or no manual tuning, naturally handle discrete feature spaces, and are relatively insensitive to outliers in the training data. Two well-known challenges in using tree ensembles for black-box optimization are (i) effectively quantifying model uncertainty for exploration and (ii) optimizing over the piece-wise constant acquisition function. To address both points simultaneously, we propose using the kernel interpretation of tree ensembles as a Gaussian Process prior to obtain model variance estimates, and we develop a compatible optimization formulation for the acquisition function. The latter further allows us to seamlessly integrate known constraints to improve sampling efficiency by considering domain-knowledge in engineering settings and modeling search space symmetries, e.g., hierarchical relationships in neural architecture search. Our framework performs as well as state-of-the-art methods for unconstrained black-box optimization over continuous/discrete features and outperforms competing methods for problems combining mixed-variable feature spaces and known input constraints.

Johannes P. Dürholt, Thomas S. Asche, Johanna Kleinekorte et al.

Our open-source Python package BoFire combines Bayesian Optimization (BO) with other design of experiments (DoE) strategies focusing on developing and optimizing new chemistry. Previous BO implementations, for example as they exist in the literature or software, require substantial adaptation for effective real-world deployment in chemical industry. BoFire provides a rich feature-set with extensive configurability and realizes our vision of fast-tracking research contributions into industrial use via maintainable open-source software. Owing to quality-of-life features like JSON-serializability of problem formulations, BoFire enables seamless integration of BO into RESTful APIs, a common architecture component for both self-driving laboratories and human-in-the-loop setups. This paper discusses the differences between BoFire and other BO implementations and outlines ways that BO research needs to be adapted for real-world use in a chemistry setting.

Clara Stoddart, Lauren Shrack, Richard Sserunjogi et al.

Monitoring air pollution is of vital importance to the overall health of the population. Unfortunately, devices that can measure air quality can be expensive, and many cities in low and middle-income countries have to rely on a sparse allocation of them. In this paper, we investigate the use of Gaussian Processes for both nowcasting the current air-pollution in places where there are no sensors and forecasting the air-pollution in the future at the sensor locations. In particular, we focus on the city of Kampala in Uganda, using data from AirQo's network of sensors. We demonstrate the advantage of removing outliers, compare different kernel functions and additional inputs. We also compare two sparse approximations to allow for the large amounts of temporal data in the dataset.

Christopher Hojny, Shiqiang Zhang, Juan S. Campos et al.

Since graph neural networks (GNNs) are often vulnerable to attack, we need to know when we can trust them. We develop a computationally effective approach towards providing robust certificates for message-passing neural networks (MPNNs) using a Rectified Linear Unit (ReLU) activation function. Because our work builds on mixed-integer optimization, it encodes a wide variety of subproblems, for example it admits (i) both adding and removing edges, (ii) both global and local budgets, and (iii) both topological perturbations and feature modifications. Our key technology, topology-based bounds tightening, uses graph structure to tighten bounds. We also experiment with aggressive bounds tightening to dynamically change the optimization constraints by tightening variable bounds. To demonstrate the effectiveness of these strategies, we implement an extension to the open-source branch-and-cut solver SCIP. We test on both node and graph classification problems and consider topological attacks that both add and remove edges.

Becky Langdon, Gabriel D. Patrón, Chrysoula D. Kappatou et al.

The optimisation of fed-batch (bio)chemical process recipes is subject to inherent, underlying, and unmeasurable fluctuations across batches, whose trajectories are difficult to model and costly to measure. Bayesian Optimisation (BayesOpt) is a powerful tool for sampling and optimisation of expensive-to-measure functions. Gaussian Processes (GPs), the surrogate models used in BayesOpt, are static, forecast poorly, and lack generalisation across experiments, limiting their applicability to time-varying batch processes with stochastic parameters, i.e., process fluctuations. This work investigates System-Aware Neural ODE Processes (SANODEP) as a meta-learning model to overcome the limitations of GPs and increase few-shot optimisation performance in BayesOpt. Using a penicillin batch production case study, we find that SANODEP outperforms GP-based BayesOpt in the low-data regime, resulting in improved objectives when few experimental runs are performed. These improvements are observed in both on- and off-distribution batches, highlighting the generalisation capabilities of SANODEP. Using this approach, batch process operators can accelerate the initial optimisation steps in BayesOpt by deploying meta-learning or optimise the process with fewer experiments when the experimental cost is high.

Francesco Ceccon, Jordan Jalving, Joshua Haddad et al.

The optimization and machine learning toolkit (OMLT) is an open-source software package incorporating neural network and gradient-boosted tree surrogate models, which have been trained using machine learning, into larger optimization problems. We discuss the advances in optimization technology that made OMLT possible and show how OMLT seamlessly integrates with the algebraic modeling language Pyomo. We demonstrate how to use OMLT for solving decision-making problems in both computer science and engineering.

Simon Olofsson, Lukas Hebing, Sebastian Niedenführ et al.

Model discrimination identifies a mathematical model that usefully explains and predicts a given system's behaviour. Researchers will often have several models, i.e. hypotheses, about an underlying system mechanism, but insufficient experimental data to discriminate between the models, i.e. discard inaccurate models. Given rival mathematical models and an initial experimental data set, optimal design of experiments suggests maximally informative experimental observations that maximise a design criterion weighted by prediction uncertainty. The model uncertainty requires gradients, which may not be readily available for black-box models. This paper (i) proposes a new design criterion using the Jensen-Rényi divergence, and (ii) develops a novel method replacing black-box models with Gaussian process surrogates. Using the surrogates, we marginalise out the model parameters with approximate inference. Results show these contributions working well for both classical and new test instances. We also (iii) introduce and discuss GPdoemd, the open-source implementation of the Gaussian process surrogate method.

Jose Pablo Folch, Calvin Tsay, Robert M Lee et al.

Bayesian optimization is a methodology to optimize black-box functions. Traditionally, it focuses on the setting where you can arbitrarily query the search space. However, many real-life problems do not offer this flexibility; in particular, the search space of the next query may depend on previous ones. Example challenges arise in the physical sciences in the form of local movement constraints, required monotonicity in certain variables, and transitions influencing the accuracy of measurements. Altogether, such transition constraints necessitate a form of planning. This work extends classical Bayesian optimization via the framework of Markov Decision Processes. We iteratively solve a tractable linearization of our utility function using reinforcement learning to obtain a policy that plans ahead for the entire horizon. This is a parallel to the optimization of an acquisition function in policy space. The resulting policy is potentially history-dependent and non-Markovian. We showcase applications in chemical reactor optimization, informative path planning, machine calibration, and other synthetic examples.

Yilin Xie, Shiqiang Zhang, Jixiang Qing et al.

Graph Bayesian optimization (BO) has shown potential as a powerful and data-efficient tool for neural architecture search (NAS). Most existing graph BO works focus on developing graph surrogates models, i.e., metrics of networks and/or different kernels to quantify the similarity between networks. However, the acquisition optimization, as a discrete optimization task over graph structures, is not well studied due to the complexity of formulating the graph search space and acquisition functions. This paper presents explicit optimization formulations for graph input space including properties such as reachability and shortest paths, which are used later to formulate graph kernels and the acquisition function. We theoretically prove that the proposed encoding is an equivalent representation of the graph space and provide restrictions for the NAS domain with either node or edge labels. Numerical results over several NAS benchmarks show that our method efficiently finds the optimal architecture for most cases, highlighting its efficacy.

Toby Boyne, Jose Pablo Folch, Robert M Lee et al.

We perform Bayesian optimization using a Gaussian process perspective on Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART). Our BART Kernel (BARK) uses tree agreement to define a posterior over piecewise-constant functions, and we explore the space of tree kernels using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach. Where BART only samples functions, the resulting BARK model obtains samples of Gaussian processes defining distributions over functions, which allow us to build acquisition functions for Bayesian optimization. Our tree-based approach enables global optimization over the surrogate, even for mixed-feature spaces. Moreover, where many previous tree-based kernels provide uncertainty quantification over function values, our sampling scheme captures uncertainty over the tree structure itself. Our experiments show the strong performance of BARK on both synthetic and applied benchmarks, due to the combination of our fully Bayesian surrogate and the optimization procedure.

Toby Boyne, Juan S. Campos, Becky D. Langdon et al.

Machine learning has promised to change the landscape of laboratory chemistry, with impressive results in molecular property prediction and reaction retro-synthesis. However, chemical datasets are often inaccessible to the machine learning community as they tend to require cleaning, thorough understanding of the chemistry, or are simply not available. In this paper, we introduce a novel dataset for yield prediction, providing the first-ever transient flow dataset for machine learning benchmarking, covering over 1200 process conditions. While previous datasets focus on discrete parameters, our experimental set-up allow us to sample a large number of continuous process conditions, generating new challenges for machine learning models. We focus on solvent selection, a task that is particularly difficult to model theoretically and therefore ripe for machine learning applications. We showcase benchmarking for regression algorithms, transfer-learning approaches, feature engineering, and active learning, with important applications towards solvent replacement and sustainable manufacturing.

Jixiang Qing, Becky D Langdon, Robert M Lee et al.

We consider the problem of optimizing initial conditions and termination time in dynamical systems governed by unknown ordinary differential equations (ODEs), where evaluating different initial conditions is costly and the state's value can not be measured in real-time but only with a delay while the measuring device processes the sample. To identify the optimal conditions in limited trials, we introduce a few-shot Bayesian Optimization (BO) framework based on the system's prior information. At the core of our approach is the System-Aware Neural ODE Processes (SANODEP), an extension of Neural ODE Processes (NODEP) designed to meta-learn ODE systems from multiple trajectories using a novel context embedding block. We further develop a two-stage BO framework to effectively incorporate search space constraints, enabling efficient optimization of both initial conditions and observation timings. We conduct extensive experiments showcasing SANODEP's potential for few-shot BO within dynamical systems. We also explore SANODEP's adaptability to varying levels of prior information, highlighting the trade-off between prior flexibility and model fitting accuracy.

Ruby Sedgwick, John P. Goertz, Molly M. Stevens et al.

With the rise in engineered biomolecular devices, there is an increased need for tailor-made biological sequences. Often, many similar biological sequences need to be made for a specific application meaning numerous, sometimes prohibitively expensive, lab experiments are necessary for their optimization. This paper presents a transfer learning design of experiments workflow to make this development feasible. By combining a transfer learning surrogate model with Bayesian optimization, we show how the total number of experiments can be reduced by sharing information between optimization tasks. We demonstrate the reduction in the number of experiments using data from the development of DNA competitors for use in an amplification-based diagnostic assay. We use cross-validation to compare the predictive accuracy of different transfer learning models, and then compare the performance of the models for both single objective and penalized optimization tasks.

James Odgers, Ruby Sedgwick, Chrysoula Kappatou et al.

This work develops a Bayesian non-parametric approach to signal separation where the signals may vary according to latent variables. Our key contribution is to augment Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) for the case where each data point comprises the weighted sum of a known number of pure component signals, observed across several input locations. Our framework allows arbitrary non-linear variations in the signals while being able to incorporate useful priors for the linear weights, such as summing-to-one. Our contributions are particularly relevant to spectroscopy, where changing conditions may cause the underlying pure component signals to vary from sample to sample. To demonstrate the applicability to both spectroscopy and other domains, we consider several applications: a near-infrared spectroscopy dataset with varying temperatures, a simulated dataset for identifying flow configuration through a pipe, and a dataset for determining the type of rock from its reflectance.

Jan Kronqvist, Ruth Misener, Calvin Tsay

We develop a class of mixed-integer formulations for disjunctive constraints intermediate to the big-M and convex hull formulations in terms of relaxation strength. The main idea is to capture the best of both the big-M and convex hull formulations: a computationally light formulation with a tight relaxation. The "P-split" formulations are based on a lifted transformation that splits convex additively separable constraints into P partitions and forms the convex hull of the linearized and partitioned disjunction. The "P-split" formulations are derived for disjunctive constraints with convex constraints within each disjunct, and we generalize the results for the case with nonconvex constraints within the disjuncts. We analyze the continuous relaxation of the P-split formulations and show that, under certain assumptions, the formulations form a hierarchy starting from a big-M equivalent and converging to the convex hull. We computationally compare the P-split formulations against big-M and convex hull formulations on 344 test instances. The test problems include K-means clustering, semi-supervised clustering, P_ball problems, and optimization over trained ReLU neural networks. The computational results show promising potential of the P-split formulations. For many of the test problems, P-split formulations are solved with a similar number of explored nodes as the convex hull formulation, while reducing the solution time by an order of magnitude and outperforming big-M both in time and number of explored nodes.

Jose Pablo Folch, Shiqiang Zhang, Robert M Lee et al.

Bayesian Optimization is a very effective tool for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Inspired by applications developing and characterizing reaction chemistry using droplet microfluidic reactors, we consider a novel setting where the expense of evaluating the function can increase significantly when making large input changes between iterations. We further assume we are working asynchronously, meaning we have to select new queries before evaluating previous experiments. This paper investigates the problem and introduces 'Sequential Bayesian Optimization via Adaptive Connecting Samples' (SnAKe), which provides a solution by considering large batches of queries and preemptively building optimization paths that minimize input costs. We investigate some convergence properties and empirically show that the algorithm is able to achieve regret similar to classical Bayesian Optimization algorithms in both synchronous and asynchronous settings, while reducing input costs significantly. We show the method is robust to the choice of its single hyper-parameter and provide a parameter-free alternative.

Alexander Thebelt, Johannes Wiebe, Jan Kronqvist et al.

It is well-documented how artificial intelligence can have (and already is having) a big impact on chemical engineering. But classical machine learning approaches may be weak for many chemical engineering applications. This review discusses how challenging data characteristics arise in chemical engineering applications. We identify four characteristics of data arising in chemical engineering applications that make applying classical artificial intelligence approaches difficult: (1) high variance, low volume data, (2) low variance, high volume data, (3) noisy/corrupt/missing data, and (4) restricted data with physics-based limitations. For each of these four data characteristics, we discuss applications where these data characteristics arise and show how current chemical engineering research is extending the fields of data science and machine learning to incorporate these challenges. Finally, we identify several challenges for future research.

Alexander Thebelt, Calvin Tsay, Robert M. Lee et al.

Energy systems optimization problems are complex due to strongly non-linear system behavior and multiple competing objectives, e.g. economic gain vs. environmental impact. Moreover, a large number of input variables and different variable types, e.g. continuous and categorical, are challenges commonly present in real-world applications. In some cases, proposed optimal solutions need to obey explicit input constraints related to physical properties or safety-critical operating conditions. This paper proposes a novel data-driven strategy using tree ensembles for constrained multi-objective optimization of black-box problems with heterogeneous variable spaces for which underlying system dynamics are either too complex to model or unknown. In an extensive case study comprised of synthetic benchmarks and relevant energy applications we demonstrate the competitive performance and sampling efficiency of the proposed algorithm compared to other state-of-the-art tools, making it a useful all-in-one solution for real-world applications with limited evaluation budgets.

Calvin Tsay, Jan Kronqvist, Alexander Thebelt et al.

This paper introduces a class of mixed-integer formulations for trained ReLU neural networks. The approach balances model size and tightness by partitioning node inputs into a number of groups and forming the convex hull over the partitions via disjunctive programming. At one extreme, one partition per input recovers the convex hull of a node, i.e., the tightest possible formulation for each node. For fewer partitions, we develop smaller relaxations that approximate the convex hull, and show that they outperform existing formulations. Specifically, we propose strategies for partitioning variables based on theoretical motivations and validate these strategies using extensive computational experiments. Furthermore, the proposed scheme complements known algorithmic approaches, e.g., optimization-based bound tightening captures dependencies within a partition.

Simon Olofsson, Eduardo S. Schultz, Adel Mhamdi et al.

Diverse domains of science and engineering use parameterised mechanistic models. Engineers and scientists can often hypothesise several rival models to explain a specific process or phenomenon. Consider a model discrimination setting where we wish to find the best mechanistic, dynamic model candidate and the best model parameter estimates. Typically, several rival mechanistic models can explain the available data, so design of dynamic experiments for model discrimination helps optimally collect additional data by finding experimental settings that maximise model prediction divergence. We argue there are two main approaches in the literature for solving the optimal design problem: (i) the analytical approach, using linear and Gaussian approximations to find closed-form expressions for the design objective, and (ii) the data-driven approach, which often relies on computationally intensive Monte Carlo techniques. Olofsson et al. (ICML 35, 2018) introduced Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models to hybridise the analytical and data-driven approaches, which allowed for computationally efficient design of experiments for discriminating between black-box models. In this study, we demonstrate that we can extend existing methods for optimal design of dynamic experiments to incorporate a wider range of problem uncertainty. We also extend the Olofsson et al. (2018) method of using GP surrogate models for discriminating between dynamic black-box models. We evaluate our approach on a well-known case study from literature, and explore the consequences of using GP surrogates to approximate gradient-based methods.

Jan Kronqvist, Ruth Misener, Calvin Tsay

This work develops a class of relaxations in between the big-M and convex hull formulations of disjunctions, drawing advantages from both. The proposed "P-split" formulations split convex additively separable constraints into P partitions and form the convex hull of the partitioned disjuncts. Parameter P represents the trade-off of model size vs. relaxation strength. We examine the novel formulations and prove that, under certain assumptions, the relaxations form a hierarchy starting from a big-M equivalent and converging to the convex hull. We computationally compare the proposed formulations to big-M and convex hull formulations on a test set including: K-means clustering, P_ball problems, and ReLU neural networks. The computational results show that the intermediate P-split formulations can form strong outer approximations of the convex hull with fewer variables and constraints than the extended convex hull formulations, giving significant computational advantages over both the big-M and convex hull.

Ruby Sedgwick, John Goertz, Molly Stevens et al.

There is a growing trend in molecular and synthetic biology of using mechanistic (non machine learning) models to design biomolecular networks. Once designed, these networks need to be validated by experimental results to ensure the theoretical network correctly models the true system. However, these experiments can be expensive and time consuming. We propose a design of experiments approach for validating these networks efficiently. Gaussian processes are used to construct a probabilistic model of the discrepancy between experimental results and the designed response, then a Bayesian optimization strategy used to select the next sample points. We compare different design criteria and develop a stopping criterion based on a metric that quantifies this discrepancy over the whole surface, and its uncertainty. We test our strategy on simulated data from computer models of biochemical processes.

Alexander Thebelt, Jan Kronqvist, Miten Mistry et al.

Gradient boosted trees and other regression tree models perform well in a wide range of real-world, industrial applications. These tree models (i) offer insight into important prediction features, (ii) effectively manage sparse data, and (iii) have excellent prediction capabilities. Despite their advantages, they are generally unpopular for decision-making tasks and black-box optimization, which is due to their difficult-to optimize structure and the lack of a reliable uncertainty measure. ENTMOOT is our new framework for integrating (already trained) tree models into larger optimization problems. The contributions of ENTMOOT include: (i) explicitly introducing a reliable uncertainty measure that is compatible with tree models, (ii) solving the larger optimization problems that incorporate these uncertainty aware tree models, (iii) proving that the solutions are globally optimal, i.e. no better solution exists. In particular, we show how the ENTMOOT approach allows a simple integration of tree models into decision-making and black-box optimization, where it proves as a strong competitor to commonly-used frameworks.

Kristijonas Čyras, Dimitrios Letsios, Ruth Misener et al.

Mathematical optimization offers highly-effective tools for finding solutions for problems with well-defined goals, notably scheduling. However, optimization solvers are often unexplainable black boxes whose solutions are inaccessible to users and which users cannot interact with. We define a novel paradigm using argumentation to empower the interaction between optimization solvers and users, supported by tractable explanations which certify or refute solutions. A solution can be from a solver or of interest to a user (in the context of 'what-if' scenarios). Specifically, we define argumentative and natural language explanations for why a schedule is (not) feasible, (not) efficient or (not) satisfying fixed user decisions, based on models of the fundamental makespan scheduling problem in terms of abstract argumentation frameworks (AFs). We define three types of AFs, whose stable extensions are in one-to-one correspondence with schedules that are feasible, efficient and satisfying fixed decisions, respectively. We extract the argumentative explanations from these AFs and the natural language explanations from the argumentative ones.

Miten Mistry, Dimitrios Letsios, Gerhard Krennrich et al.

Decision trees usefully represent sparse, high dimensional and noisy data. Having learned a function from this data, we may want to thereafter integrate the function into a larger decision-making problem, e.g., for picking the best chemical process catalyst. We study a large-scale, industrially-relevant mixed-integer nonlinear nonconvex optimization problem involving both gradient-boosted trees and penalty functions mitigating risk. This mixed-integer optimization problem with convex penalty terms broadly applies to optimizing pre-trained regression tree models. Decision makers may wish to optimize discrete models to repurpose legacy predictive models, or they may wish to optimize a discrete model that particularly well-represents a data set. We develop several heuristic methods to find feasible solutions, and an exact, branch-and-bound algorithm leveraging structural properties of the gradient-boosted trees and penalty functions. We computationally test our methods on concrete mixture design instance and a chemical catalysis industrial instance.

Simon Olofsson, Marc Peter Deisenroth, Ruth Misener

Healthcare companies must submit pharmaceutical drugs or medical devices to regulatory bodies before marketing new technology. Regulatory bodies frequently require transparent and interpretable computational modelling to justify a new healthcare technology, but researchers may have several competing models for a biological system and too little data to discriminate between the models. In design of experiments for model discrimination, the goal is to design maximally informative physical experiments in order to discriminate between rival predictive models. Prior work has focused either on analytical approaches, which cannot manage all functions, or on data-driven approaches, which may have computational difficulties or lack interpretable marginal predictive distributions. We develop a methodology introducing Gaussian process surrogates in lieu of the original mechanistic models. We thereby extend existing design and model discrimination methods developed for analytical models to cases of non-analytical models in a computationally efficient manner.

Doniyor Ulmasov, Caroline Baroukh, Benoit Chachuat et al.

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a data-efficient method for global black-box optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate fitness function. BO typically assumes that computation cost of BO is cheap, but experiments are time consuming or costly. In practice, this allows us to optimize ten or fewer critical parameters in up to 1,000 experiments. But experiments may be less expensive than BO methods assume: In some simulation models, we may be able to conduct multiple thousands of experiments in a few hours, and the computational burden of BO is no longer negligible compared to experimentation time. To address this challenge we introduce a new Dimension Scheduling Algorithm (DSA), which reduces the computational burden of BO for many experiments. The key idea is that DSA optimizes the fitness function only along a small set of dimensions at each iteration. This DSA strategy (1) reduces the necessary computation time, (2) finds good solutions faster than the traditional BO method, and (3) can be parallelized straightforwardly. We evaluate the DSA in the context of optimizing parameters of dynamic models of microalgae metabolism and show faster convergence than traditional BO.