Evgenia Romanenkova

Ilya Kuleshov, Evgenia Romanenkova, Vladislav Zhuzhel et al.

Neural CDEs provide a natural way to process the temporal evolution of irregular time series. The number of function evaluations (NFE) is these systems' natural analog of depth (the number of layers in traditional neural networks). It is usually regulated via solver error tolerance: lower tolerance means higher numerical precision, requiring more integration steps. However, lowering tolerances does not adequately increase the models' expressiveness. We propose a simple yet effective alternative: scaling the integration time horizon to increase NFEs and "deepen`` the model. Increasing the integration interval causes uncontrollable growth in conventional vector fields, so we also propose a way to stabilize the dynamics via Negative Feedback (NF). It ensures provable stability without constraining flexibility. It also implies robustness: we provide theoretical bounds for Neural ODE risk using Gaussian process theory. Experiments on four open datasets demonstrate that our method, DeNOTS, outperforms existing approaches~ -- ~including recent Neural RDEs and state space models,~ -- ~achieving up to $20\%$ improvement in metrics. DeNOTS combines expressiveness, stability, and robustness, enabling reliable modelling in continuous-time domains.

Anna Dmitrienko, Evgenia Romanenkova, Alexey Zaytsev

The change point is a moment of an abrupt alteration in the data distribution. Current methods for change point detection are based on recurrent neural methods suitable for sequential data. However, recent works show that transformers based on attention mechanisms perform better than standard recurrent models for many tasks. The most benefit is noticeable in the case of longer sequences. In this paper, we investigate different attentions for the change point detection task and proposed specific form of attention related to the task at hand. We show that using a special form of attention outperforms state-of-the-art results.

Alexander Stepikin, Evgenia Romanenkova, Alexey Zaytsev

A change points detection aims to catch an abrupt disorder in data distribution. Common approaches assume that there are only two fixed distributions for data: one before and another after a change point. Real-world data are richer than this assumption. There can be multiple different distributions before and after a change. We propose an approach that works in the multiple-distributions scenario. Our approach learn representations for semi-structured data suitable for change point detection, while a common classifiers-based approach fails. Moreover, our model is more robust, when predicting change points. The datasets used for benchmarking are sequences of images with and without change points in them.

Alexandra Bazarova, Maria Kovaleva, Ilya Kuleshov et al.

In today's world, banks use artificial intelligence to optimize diverse business processes, aiming to improve customer experience. Most of the customer-related tasks can be categorized into two groups: 1) local ones, which focus on a client's current state, such as transaction forecasting, and 2) global ones, which consider the general customer behaviour, e.g., predicting successful loan repayment. Unfortunately, maintaining separate models for each task is costly. Therefore, to better facilitate information management, we compared eight state-of-the-art unsupervised methods on 11 tasks in search for a one-size-fits-all solution. Contrastive self-supervised learning methods were demonstrated to excel at global problems, while generative techniques were superior at local tasks. We also introduced a novel approach, which enriches the client's representation by incorporating external information gathered from other clients. Our method outperforms classical models, boosting accuracy by up to 20\%.

Alexandra Bazarova, Evgenia Romanenkova, Alexey Zaytsev

Change point detection (CPD) methods aim to identify abrupt shifts in the distribution of input data streams. Accurate estimators for this task are crucial across various real-world scenarios. Yet, traditional unsupervised CPD techniques face significant limitations, often relying on strong assumptions or suffering from low expressive power due to inherent model simplicity. In contrast, representation learning methods overcome these drawbacks by offering flexibility and the ability to capture the full complexity of the data without imposing restrictive assumptions. However, these approaches are still emerging in the CPD field and lack robust theoretical foundations to ensure their reliability. Our work addresses this gap by integrating the expressive power of representation learning with the groundedness of traditional CPD techniques. We adopt spectral normalization (SN) for deep representation learning in CPD tasks and prove that the embeddings after SN are highly informative for CPD. Our method significantly outperforms current state-of-the-art methods during the comprehensive evaluation via three standard CPD datasets.

Alexander Stepikin, Evgenia Romanenkova, Alexey Zaytsev

Change Point Detection (CPD) aims to identify moments of abrupt distribution shifts in data streams. Real-world high-dimensional CPD remains challenging due to data pattern complexity and violation of common assumptions. Resorting to standalone deep neural networks, the current state-of-the-art detectors have yet to achieve perfect quality. Concurrently, ensembling provides more robust solutions, boosting the performance. In this paper, we investigate ensembles of deep change point detectors and realize that standard prediction aggregation techniques, e.g., averaging, are suboptimal and fail to account for problem peculiarities. Alternatively, we introduce WWAggr -- a novel task-specific method of ensemble aggregation based on the Wasserstein distance. Our procedure is versatile, working effectively with various ensembles of deep CPD models. Moreover, unlike existing solutions, we practically lift a long-standing problem of the decision threshold selection for CPD.

Evgenia Romanenkova, Alina Rogulina, Anuar Shakirov et al.

One of the first steps during the investigation of geological objects is the interwell correlation. It provides information on the structure of the objects under study, as it comprises the framework for constructing geological models and assessing hydrocarbon reserves. Today, the detailed interwell correlation relies on manual analysis of well-logging data. Thus, it is time-consuming and of a subjective nature. The essence of the interwell correlation constitutes an assessment of the similarities between geological profiles. There were many attempts to automate the process of interwell correlation by means of rule-based approaches, classic machine learning approaches, and deep learning approaches in the past. However, most approaches are of limited usage and inherent subjectivity of experts. We propose a novel framework to solve the geological profile similarity estimation based on a deep learning model. Our similarity model takes well-logging data as input and provides the similarity of wells as output. The developed framework enables (1) extracting patterns and essential characteristics of geological profiles within the wells and (2) model training following the unsupervised paradigm without the need for manual analysis and interpretation of well-logging data. For model testing, we used two open datasets originating in New Zealand and Norway. Our data-based similarity models provide high performance: the accuracy of our model is $0.926$ compared to $0.787$ for baselines based on the popular gradient boosting approach. With them, an oil\&gas practitioner can improve interwell correlation quality and reduce operation time.

Evgenia Romanenkova, Alexander Stepikin, Matvey Morozov et al.

For sequential data, a change point is a moment of abrupt regime switch in data streams. Such changes appear in different scenarios, including simpler data from sensors and more challenging video surveillance data. We need to detect disorders as fast as possible. Classic approaches for change point detection (CPD) might underperform for semi-structured sequential data because they cannot process its structure without a proper representation. We propose a principled loss function that balances change detection delay and time to a false alarm. It approximates classic rigorous solutions but is differentiable and allows representation learning for deep models. We consider synthetic sequences, real-world data sensors and videos with change points. We carefully labelled available data with change point moments for video data and released it for the first time. Experiments suggest that complex data require meaningful representations tailored for the specificity of the CPD task -- and our approach provides them outperforming considered baselines. For example, for explosion detection in video, the F1 score for our method is 0.53 compared to baseline scores of 0.31 and 0.35.