Anselmo R. Pitombeira-Neto

Anselmo R. Pitombeira-Neto, Arthur H. Fonseca Murta

We propose a formulation of the stochastic cutting stock problem as a discounted infinite-horizon Markov decision process. At each decision epoch, given current inventory of items, an agent chooses in which patterns to cut objects in stock in anticipation of the unknown demand. An optimal solution corresponds to a policy that associates each state with a decision and minimizes the expected total cost. Since exact algorithms scale exponentially with the state-space dimension, we develop a heuristic solution approach based on reinforcement learning. We propose an approximate policy iteration algorithm in which we apply a linear model to approximate the action-value function of a policy. Policy evaluation is performed by solving the projected Bellman equation from a sample of state transitions, decisions and costs obtained by simulation. Due to the large decision space, policy improvement is performed via the cross-entropy method. Computational experiments are carried out with the use of realistic data to illustrate the application of the algorithm. Heuristic policies obtained with polynomial and Fourier basis functions are compared with myopic and random policies. Results indicate the possibility of obtaining policies capable of adequately controlling inventories with an average cost up to 80% lower than the cost obtained by a myopic policy.

Anselmo R. Pitombeira-Neto, Helano P. Santos, Ticiana L. Coelho da Silva et al.

We consider the problem of modeling trajectories of drivers in a road network from the perspective of inverse reinforcement learning. Cars are detected by sensors placed on sparsely distributed points on the street network of a city. As rational agents, drivers are trying to maximize some reward function unknown to an external observer. We apply the concept of random utility from econometrics to model the unknown reward function as a function of observed and unobserved features. In contrast to current inverse reinforcement learning approaches, we do not assume that agents act according to a stochastic policy; rather, we assume that agents act according to a deterministic optimal policy and show that randomness in data arises because the exact rewards are not fully observed by an external observer. We introduce the concept of extended state to cope with unobserved features and develop a Markov decision process formulation of drivers decisions. We present theoretical results which guarantee the existence of solutions and show that maximum entropy inverse reinforcement learning is a particular case of our approach. Finally, we illustrate Bayesian inference on model parameters through a case study with real trajectory data from a large city in Brazil.