MLJun 2
Resource-Constrained Adaptive Inference for Sequential PricingRuicheng Ao, Jiashuo Jiang, David Simchi-Levi
Resource-constrained pricing controllers can make fixed-price inference impossible: the controller's resource state may remove the target price neighborhood from the feasible set, even when every realized action has a known positive density. We formalize this support-exclusion failure through a local non-identification result and a realized information clock. We then design a target-aware pricing controller that certifies feasible target bands and logs continuous local densities. Localized debiasing gives studentized intervals whose width is governed by this clock. The resulting regret--information accounting, stated up to pilot re-solving error, shows that cheap exploration can be insufficient for inference: polynomial target mass gives polynomial rates, while a pure $1/t$ target branch does not yield shrinking fixed-target intervals without additional local movement. Experiments show calibration in certified bands and diagnostic abstention when the resource state collapses target support.
LGJun 4
Cross-Epoch Adaptive Rollout Optimization for RL Post-TrainingYiming Zong, Yige Wang, Jiashuo Jiang
LLM post-training often relies on reinforcement learning methods that sample multiple rollouts per prompt, yet most existing approaches use a fixed rollout budget for every prompt, despite large differences in the training signal different prompts provide. In this paper, we study adaptive rollout allocation under a fixed global budget and formulate the problem as online resource allocation with prompt-level diminishing returns. Our method, CERO, maintains a Beta posterior over each prompt's success probability and uses the posterior expected Bernoulli variance as a Bayesian estimate of the value of additional rollouts. We use this estimate to construct a concave, saturating utility over cumulative allocations, yielding an objective in which decisions across prompts and epochs are coupled by the global budget. Since the resulting objective is temporally nonseparable, we derive a Fenchel-dual reformulation and update both prompt-level and budget-level dual variables via projected online gradient descent. Under fixed prompt utilities, we prove an $O(\sqrt{K})$ regret bound against the offline allocation benchmark. Experiments on mathematical-reasoning problems show that CERO consistently outperforms GRPO across multiple open-weight LLMs and benchmarks, demonstrating that adaptive rollout budgeting can improve sample efficiency.
OCJul 10, 2022
Learning to Order for Inventory Systems with Lost Sales and Uncertain SuppliesBoxiao Chen, Jiashuo Jiang, Jiawei Zhang et al.
We consider a stochastic lost-sales inventory control system with a lead time $L$ over a planning horizon $T$. Supply is uncertain, and is a function of the order quantity (due to random yield/capacity, etc). We aim to minimize the $T$-period cost, a problem that is known to be computationally intractable even under known distributions of demand and supply. In this paper, we assume that both the demand and supply distributions are unknown and develop a computationally efficient online learning algorithm. We show that our algorithm achieves a regret (i.e. the performance gap between the cost of our algorithm and that of an optimal policy over $T$ periods) of $O(L+\sqrt{T})$ when $L\geq\log(T)$. We do so by 1) showing our algorithm cost is higher by at most $O(L+\sqrt{T})$ for any $L\geq 0$ compared to an optimal constant-order policy under complete information (a well-known and widely-used algorithm) and 2) leveraging its known performance guarantee from the existing literature. To the best of our knowledge, a finite-sample $O(\sqrt{T})$ (and polynomial in $L$) regret bound when benchmarked against an optimal policy is not known before in the online inventory control literature. A key challenge in this learning problem is that both demand and supply data can be censored; hence only truncated values are observable. We circumvent this challenge by showing that the data generated under an order quantity $q^2$ allows us to simulate the performance of not only $q^2$ but also $q^1$ for all $q^1<q^2$, a key observation to obtain sufficient information even under data censoring. By establishing a high probability coupling argument, we are able to evaluate and compare the performance of different order policies at their steady state within a finite time horizon. Since the problem lacks convexity, we develop an active elimination method that adaptively rules out suboptimal solutions.
LGOct 14, 2022
Degeneracy is OK: Logarithmic Regret for Network Revenue Management with Indiscrete DistributionsJiashuo Jiang, Will Ma, Jiawei Zhang
We study the classical Network Revenue Management (NRM) problem with accept/reject decisions and $T$ IID arrivals. We consider a distributional form where each arrival must fall under a finite number of possible categories, each with a deterministic resource consumption vector, but a random value distributed continuously over an interval. We develop an online algorithm that achieves $O(\log^2 T)$ regret under this model, with the only (necessary) assumption being that the probability densities are bounded away from 0. We derive a second result that achieves $O(\log T)$ regret under an additional assumption of second-order growth. To our knowledge, these are the first results achieving logarithmic-level regret in an NRM model with continuous values that do not require any kind of "non-degeneracy" assumptions. Our results are achieved via new techniques including a new method of bounding myopic regret, a "semi-fluid" relaxation of the offline allocation, and an improved bound on the "dual convergence".
LGMay 25, 2022
Non-stationary Bandits with KnapsacksShang Liu, Jiashuo Jiang, Xiaocheng Li
In this paper, we study the problem of bandits with knapsacks (BwK) in a non-stationary environment. The BwK problem generalizes the multi-arm bandit (MAB) problem to model the resource consumption associated with playing each arm. At each time, the decision maker/player chooses to play an arm, and s/he will receive a reward and consume certain amount of resource from each of the multiple resource types. The objective is to maximize the cumulative reward over a finite horizon subject to some knapsack constraints on the resources. Existing works study the BwK problem under either a stochastic or adversarial environment. Our paper considers a non-stationary environment which continuously interpolates between these two extremes. We first show that the traditional notion of variation budget is insufficient to characterize the non-stationarity of the BwK problem for a sublinear regret due to the presence of the constraints, and then we propose a new notion of global non-stationarity measure. We employ both non-stationarity measures to derive upper and lower bounds for the problem. Our results are based on a primal-dual analysis of the underlying linear programs and highlight the interplay between the constraints and the non-stationarity. Finally, we also extend the non-stationarity measure to the problem of online convex optimization with constraints and obtain new regret bounds accordingly.
LGMar 17
Online Semi-infinite Linear Programming: Efficient Algorithms via Function ApproximationYiming Zong, Jiashuo Jiang
We consider the dynamic resource allocation problem where the decision space is finite-dimensional, yet the solution must satisfy a large or even infinite number of constraints revealed via streaming data or oracle feedback. We model this challenge as an Online Semi-infinite Linear Programming (OSILP) problem and develop a novel LP formulation to solve it approximately. Specifically, we employ function approximation to reduce the number of constraints to a constant $q$. This addresses a key limitation of traditional online LP algorithms, whose regret bounds typically depend on the number of constraints, leading to poor performance in this setting. We propose a dual-based algorithm to solve our new formulation, which offers broad applicability through the selection of appropriate potential functions. We analyze this algorithm under two classical input models-stochastic input and random permutation-establishing regret bounds of $O(q\sqrt{T})$ and $O\left(\left(q+q\log{T})\sqrt{T}\right)\right)$ respectively. Note that both regret bounds are independent of the number of constraints, which demonstrates the potential of our approach to handle a large or infinite number of constraints. Furthermore, we investigate the potential to improve upon the $O(q\sqrt{T})$ regret and propose a two-stage algorithm, achieving $O(q\log{T} + q/ε)$ regret under more stringent assumptions. We also extend our algorithms to the general function setting. A series of experiments validates that our algorithms outperform existing methods when confronted with a large number of constraints.
LGFeb 2, 2023
Constrained Online Two-stage Stochastic Optimization: Near Optimal Algorithms via Adversarial LearningJiashuo Jiang
We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage action from a feasible set that depends both on the first-stage decision and the model parameter. We aim to minimize the cumulative objective value while guaranteeing that the long-term average second-stage decision belongs to a set. We develop online algorithms for the online two-stage problem from adversarial learning algorithms. Also, the regret bound of our algorithm cam be reduced to the regret bound of embedded adversarial learning algorithms. Based on our framework, we obtain new results under various settings. When the model parameter at each period is drawn from identical distributions, we derive \textit{state-of-art} $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret that improves previous bounds under special cases. Our algorithm is also robust to adversarial corruptions of model parameter realizations. When the model parameters are drawn from unknown non-stationary distributions and we are given machine-learned predictions of the distributions, we develop a new algorithm from our framework with a regret $O(W_T+\sqrt{T})$, where $W_T$ measures the total inaccuracy of the machine-learned predictions.
OCMar 26
The Value of Information in Resource-Constrained PricingRuicheng Ao, Jiashuo Jiang, David Simchi-Levi
Firms that price perishable resources -- airline seats, hotel rooms, seasonal inventory -- now routinely use demand predictions, but these predictions vary widely in quality. Under hard capacity constraints, acting on an inaccurate prediction can irreversibly deplete inventory needed for future periods. We study how prediction uncertainty propagates into dynamic pricing decisions with linear demand, stochastic noise, and finite capacity. A certified demand forecast with known error bound~$ε^0$ specifies where the system should operate: it shifts regret from $O(\sqrt{T})$ to $O(\log T)$ when $ε^0 \lesssim T^{-1/4}$, and we prove this threshold is tight. A misspecified surrogate model -- biased but correlated with true demand -- cannot set prices directly but reduces learning variance by a factor of $(1-Ï^2)$ through control variates. The two mechanisms compose: the forecast determines the regret regime; the surrogate tightens estimation within it. All algorithms rest on a boundary attraction mechanism that stabilizes pricing near degenerate capacity boundaries without requiring non-degeneracy assumptions. Experiments confirm the phase transition threshold, the variance reduction from surrogates, and robustness across problem instances.
LGJun 26, 2024Code
Reinforcement Learning with Intrinsically Motivated Feedback Graph for Lost-sales Inventory ControlZifan Liu, Xinran Li, Shibo Chen et al.
Reinforcement learning (RL) has proven to be well-performed and general-purpose in the inventory control (IC). However, further improvement of RL algorithms in the IC domain is impeded due to two limitations of online experience. First, online experience is expensive to acquire in real-world applications. With the low sample efficiency nature of RL algorithms, it would take extensive time to train the RL policy to convergence. Second, online experience may not reflect the true demand due to the lost sales phenomenon typical in IC, which makes the learning process more challenging. To address the above challenges, we propose a decision framework that combines reinforcement learning with feedback graph (RLFG) and intrinsically motivated exploration (IME) to boost sample efficiency. In particular, we first take advantage of the inherent properties of lost-sales IC problems and design the feedback graph (FG) specially for lost-sales IC problems to generate abundant side experiences aid RL updates. Then we conduct a rigorous theoretical analysis of how the designed FG reduces the sample complexity of RL methods. Based on the theoretical insights, we design an intrinsic reward to direct the RL agent to explore to the state-action space with more side experiences, further exploiting FG's power. Experimental results demonstrate that our method greatly improves the sample efficiency of applying RL in IC. Our code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/RLIMFG4IC-811D/
AIDec 31, 2025
Ask, Clarify, Optimize: Human-LLM Agent Collaboration for Smarter Inventory ControlYaqi Duan, Yichun Hu, Jiashuo Jiang
Inventory management remains a challenge for many small and medium-sized businesses that lack the expertise to deploy advanced optimization methods. This paper investigates whether Large Language Models (LLMs) can help bridge this gap. We show that employing LLMs as direct, end-to-end solvers incurs a significant "hallucination tax": a performance gap arising from the model's inability to perform grounded stochastic reasoning. To address this, we propose a hybrid agentic framework that strictly decouples semantic reasoning from mathematical calculation. In this architecture, the LLM functions as an intelligent interface, eliciting parameters from natural language and interpreting results while automatically calling rigorous algorithms to build the optimization engine. To evaluate this interactive system against the ambiguity and inconsistency of real-world managerial dialogue, we introduce the Human Imitator, a fine-tuned "digital twin" of a boundedly rational manager that enables scalable, reproducible stress-testing. Our empirical analysis reveals that the hybrid agentic framework reduces total inventory costs by 32.1% relative to an interactive baseline using GPT-4o as an end-to-end solver. Moreover, we find that providing perfect ground-truth information alone is insufficient to improve GPT-4o's performance, confirming that the bottleneck is fundamentally computational rather than informational. Our results position LLMs not as replacements for operations research, but as natural-language interfaces that make rigorous, solver-based policies accessible to non-experts.
LGNov 2, 2023
High-dimensional Linear Bandits with KnapsacksWanteng Ma, Dong Xia, Jiashuo Jiang
We investigate the contextual bandits with knapsack (CBwK) problem in a high-dimensional linear setting, where the feature dimension can be very large. Our goal is to harness sparsity to obtain sharper regret guarantees. To this end, we first develop an online variant of the hard thresholding algorithm that performs the sparse estimation in an online manner. We then embed this estimator in a primal-dual scheme: every knapsack constraint is paired with a dual variable, which is updated by an online learning rule to keep the cumulative resource consumption within budget. This integrated approach achieves a two-phase sub-linear regret that scales only logarithmically with the feature dimension, improving on the polynomial dependency reported in prior work. Furthermore, we show that either of the following structural assumptions is sufficient for a sharper regret bound of $\tilde{O}(s_{0} \sqrt{T})$: (i) a diverse-covariate condition; and (ii) a margin condition. When both conditions hold simultaneously, we can further control the regret to $O(s_{0}^{2} \log(dT)\log T)$ by a dual resolving scheme. As a by-product, applying our framework to high-dimensional contextual bandits without knapsack constraints recovers the optimal regret rates in both the data-poor and data-rich regimes. Finally, numerical experiments confirm the empirical efficiency of our algorithms in high-dimensional settings.
LGFeb 10, 2025
Online Scheduling for LLM Inference with KV Cache ConstraintsPatrick Jaillet, Jiashuo Jiang, Konstantina Mellou et al. · harvard
Large Language Model (LLM) inference, where a trained model generates text one word at a time in response to user prompts, is a computationally intensive process requiring efficient scheduling to optimize latency and resource utilization. A key challenge in LLM inference is the management of the Key-Value (KV) cache, which reduces redundant computations but introduces memory constraints. In this work, we model LLM inference with KV cache constraints theoretically and propose a novel batching and scheduling algorithm that minimizes inference latency while effectively managing the KV cache's memory. More specifically, we make the following contributions. First, to evaluate the performance of online algorithms for scheduling in LLM inference, we introduce a hindsight optimal benchmark, formulated as an integer program that computes the minimum total inference latency under full future information. Second, we prove that no deterministic online algorithm can achieve a constant competitive ratio when the arrival process is arbitrary. Third, motivated by the computational intractability of solving the integer program at scale, we propose a polynomial-time online scheduling algorithm and show that under certain conditions it can achieve a constant competitive ratio. We also demonstrate our algorithm's strong empirical performance by comparing it to the hindsight optimal in a synthetic dataset. Finally, we conduct empirical evaluations on a real-world public LLM inference dataset, simulating the Llama2-70B model on A100 GPUs, and show that our algorithm significantly outperforms the benchmark algorithms. Overall, our results offer a path toward more sustainable and cost-effective LLM deployment.
LGFeb 21, 2025
Efficiently Solving Discounted MDPs with Predictions on Transition MatricesLixing Lyu, Jiashuo Jiang, Wang Chi Cheung
We study infinite-horizon Discounted Markov Decision Processes (DMDPs) under a generative model. Motivated by the Algorithm with Advice framework Mitzenmacher and Vassilvitskii 2022, we propose a novel framework to investigate how a prediction on the transition matrix can enhance the sample efficiency in solving DMDPs and improve sample complexity bounds. We focus on the DMDPs with $N$ state-action pairs and discounted factor $γ$. Firstly, we provide an impossibility result that, without prior knowledge of the prediction accuracy, no sampling policy can compute an $ε$-optimal policy with a sample complexity bound better than $\tilde{O}((1-γ)^{-3} Nε^{-2})$, which matches the state-of-the-art minimax sample complexity bound with no prediction. In complement, we propose an algorithm based on minimax optimization techniques that leverages the prediction on the transition matrix. Our algorithm achieves a sample complexity bound depending on the prediction error, and the bound is uniformly better than $\tilde{O}((1-γ)^{-4} N ε^{-2})$, the previous best result derived from convex optimization methods. These theoretical findings are further supported by our numerical experiments.
OCJan 24, 2025
Learning to Price with Resource Constraints: From Full Information to Machine-Learned PricesRuicheng Ao, Jiashuo Jiang, David Simchi-Levi
We study the dynamic pricing problem with knapsack, addressing the challenge of balancing exploration and exploitation under resource constraints. We introduce three algorithms tailored to different informational settings: a Boundary Attracted Re-solve Method for full information, an online learning algorithm for scenarios with no prior information, and an estimate-then-select re-solve algorithm that leverages machine-learned informed prices with known upper bound of estimation errors. The Boundary Attracted Re-solve Method achieves logarithmic regret without requiring the non-degeneracy condition, while the online learning algorithm attains an optimal $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret. Our estimate-then-select approach bridges the gap between these settings, providing improved regret bounds when reliable offline data is available. Numerical experiments validate the effectiveness and robustness of our algorithms across various scenarios. This work advances the understanding of online resource allocation and dynamic pricing, offering practical solutions adaptable to different informational structures.
LGJan 2, 2024
Constrained Online Two-stage Stochastic Optimization: Algorithm with (and without) PredictionsPiao Hu, Jiashuo Jiang, Guodong Lyu et al.
We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage action from a feasible set that depends both on the first-stage decision and the model parameter. We aim to minimize the cumulative objective value while guaranteeing that the long-term average second-stage decision belongs to a set. We develop online algorithms for the online two-stage problem from adversarial learning algorithms. Also, the regret bound of our algorithm can be reduced to the regret bound of embedded adversarial learning algorithms. Based on this framework, we obtain new results under various settings. When the model parameters are drawn from unknown non-stationary distributions and we are given machine-learned predictions of the distributions, we develop a new algorithm from our framework with a regret $O(W_T+\sqrt{T})$, where $W_T$ measures the total inaccuracy of the machine-learned predictions. We then develop another algorithm that works when no machine-learned predictions are given and show the performances.
LGFeb 20
Non-Stationary Online Resource Allocation: Learning from a Single SampleYiding Feng, Jiashuo Jiang, Yige Wang
We study online resource allocation under non-stationary demand with a minimum offline data requirement. In this problem, a decision-maker must allocate multiple types of resources to sequentially arriving queries over a finite horizon. Each query belongs to a finite set of types with fixed resource consumption and a stochastic reward drawn from an unknown, type-specific distribution. Critically, the environment exhibits arbitrary non-stationarity -- arrival distributions may shift unpredictably-while the algorithm requires only one historical sample per period to operate effectively. We distinguish two settings based on sample informativeness: (i) reward-observed samples containing both query type and reward realization, and (ii) the more challenging type-only samples revealing only query type information. We propose a novel type-dependent quantile-based meta-policy that decouples the problem into modular components: reward distribution estimation, optimization of target service probabilities via fluid relaxation, and real-time decisions through dynamic acceptance thresholds. For reward-observed samples, our static threshold policy achieves $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{T})$ regret. For type-only samples, we first establish that sublinear regret is impossible without additional structure; under a mild minimum-arrival-probability assumption, we design both a partially adaptive policy attaining the same $\tilde{O}({T})$ bound and, more significantly, a fully adaptive resolving policy with careful rounding that achieves the first poly-logarithmic regret guarantee of $O((\log T)^3)$ for non-stationary multi-resource allocation. Our framework advances prior work by operating with minimal offline data (one sample per period), handling arbitrary non-stationarity without variation-budget assumptions, and supporting multiple resource constraints.
GTApr 3
Adaptive Bidding Policies for First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints under Non-stationarityYige Wang, Jiashuo Jiang
In this paper, we study how a budget-constrained bidder should learn to bid adaptively in repeated first-price auctions to maximize cumulative payoff. This problem arises from the recent industry-wide shift from second-price auctions to first-price auctions in display advertising, which renders truthful bidding suboptimal. We propose a simple dual-gradient-descent-based bidding policy that maintains a dual variable for the budget constraint as the bidder consumes the budget. We analyze two settings based on the bidder's knowledge of future private values: (i) an uninformative setting where all distributional knowledge (potentially non-stationary) is entirely unknown, and (ii) an informative setting where a prediction of budget allocation is available in advance. We characterize the performance loss (regret) relative to an optimal policy with complete information. For uninformative setting, we show that the regret is ~O(sqrt(T)) plus a Wasserstein-based variation term capturing non-stationarity, which is order-optimal. In the informative setting, the variation term can be eliminated using predictions, yielding a regret of ~O(sqrt(T)) plus the prediction error. Furthermore, we go beyond the global budget constraint by introducing a refined benchmark based on a per-period budget allocation plan, achieving exactly ~O(sqrt(T)) regret. We also establish robustness guarantees when the baseline policy deviates from the planned allocation, covering both ideal and adversarial deviations.
LGJan 29, 2025
Joint Pricing and Resource Allocation: An Optimal Online-Learning ApproachJianyu Xu, Xuan Wang, Yu-Xiang Wang et al.
We study an online learning problem on dynamic pricing and resource allocation, where we make joint pricing and inventory decisions to maximize the overall net profit. We consider the stochastic dependence of demands on the price, which complicates the resource allocation process and introduces significant non-convexity and non-smoothness to the problem. To solve this problem, we develop an efficient algorithm that utilizes a "Lower-Confidence Bound (LCB)" meta-strategy over multiple OCO agents. Our algorithm achieves $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{Tmn})$ regret (for $m$ suppliers and $n$ consumers), which is optimal with respect to the time horizon $T$. Our results illustrate an effective integration of statistical learning methodologies with complex operations research problems.
LGNov 10, 2024
Regret Minimization and Statistical Inference in Online Decision Making with High-dimensional CovariatesCongyuan Duan, Wanteng Ma, Jiashuo Jiang et al.
This paper investigates regret minimization, statistical inference, and their interplay in high-dimensional online decision-making based on the sparse linear context bandit model. We integrate the $\varepsilon$-greedy bandit algorithm for decision-making with a hard thresholding algorithm for estimating sparse bandit parameters and introduce an inference framework based on a debiasing method using inverse propensity weighting. Under a margin condition, our method achieves either $O(T^{1/2})$ regret or classical $O(T^{1/2})$-consistent inference, indicating an unavoidable trade-off between exploration and exploitation. If a diverse covariate condition holds, we demonstrate that a pure-greedy bandit algorithm, i.e., exploration-free, combined with a debiased estimator based on average weighting can simultaneously achieve optimal $O(\log T)$ regret and $O(T^{1/2})$-consistent inference. We also show that a simple sample mean estimator can provide valid inference for the optimal policy's value. Numerical simulations and experiments on Warfarin dosing data validate the effectiveness of our methods.
LGJun 4, 2025
A Lyapunov Drift-Plus-Penalty Method Tailored for Reinforcement Learning with Queue StabilityWenhan Xu, Jiashuo Jiang, Lei Deng et al.
With the proliferation of Internet of Things (IoT) devices, the demand for addressing complex optimization challenges has intensified. The Lyapunov Drift-Plus-Penalty algorithm is a widely adopted approach for ensuring queue stability, and some research has preliminarily explored its integration with reinforcement learning (RL). In this paper, we investigate the adaptation of the Lyapunov Drift-Plus-Penalty algorithm for RL applications, deriving an effective method for combining Lyapunov Drift-Plus-Penalty with RL under a set of common and reasonable conditions through rigorous theoretical analysis. Unlike existing approaches that directly merge the two frameworks, our proposed algorithm, termed Lyapunov drift-plus-penalty method tailored for reinforcement learning with queue stability (LDPTRLQ) algorithm, offers theoretical superiority by effectively balancing the greedy optimization of Lyapunov Drift-Plus-Penalty with the long-term perspective of RL. Simulation results for multiple problems demonstrate that LDPTRLQ outperforms the baseline methods using the Lyapunov drift-plus-penalty method and RL, corroborating the validity of our theoretical derivations. The results also demonstrate that our proposed algorithm outperforms other benchmarks in terms of compatibility and stability.
LGMay 17, 2025
Adaptive Resolving Methods for Reinforcement Learning with Function ApproximationsJiashuo Jiang, Yiming Zong, Yinyu Ye
Reinforcement learning (RL) problems are fundamental in online decision-making and have been instrumental in finding an optimal policy for Markov decision processes (MDPs). Function approximations are usually deployed to handle large or infinite state-action space. In our work, we consider the RL problems with function approximation and we develop a new algorithm to solve it efficiently. Our algorithm is based on the linear programming (LP) reformulation and it resolves the LP at each iteration improved with new data arrival. Such a resolving scheme enables our algorithm to achieve an instance-dependent sample complexity guarantee, more precisely, when we have $N$ data, the output of our algorithm enjoys an instance-dependent $\tilde{O}(1/N)$ suboptimality gap. In comparison to the $O(1/\sqrt{N})$ worst-case guarantee established in the previous literature, our instance-dependent guarantee is tighter when the underlying instance is favorable, and the numerical experiments also reveal the efficient empirical performances of our algorithms.
GTMay 5, 2025
Adaptive Bidding Policies for First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints under Non-stationarityYige Wang, Jiashuo Jiang
We study how a budget-constrained bidder should learn to adaptively bid in repeated first-price auctions to maximize her cumulative payoff. This problem arose due to an industry-wide shift from second-price auctions to first-price auctions in display advertising recently, which renders truthful bidding (i.e., always bidding one's private value) no longer optimal. We propose a simple dual-gradient-descent-based bidding policy that maintains a dual variable for budget constraint as the bidder consumes her budget. In analysis, we consider two settings regarding the bidder's knowledge of her private values in the future: (i) an uninformative setting where all the distributional knowledge (can be non-stationary) is entirely unknown to the bidder, and (ii) an informative setting where a prediction of the budget allocation in advance. We characterize the performance loss (or regret) relative to an optimal policy with complete information on the stochasticity. For uninformative setting, We show that the regret is \tilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) plus a variation term that reflects the non-stationarity of the value distributions, and this is of optimal order. We then show that we can get rid of the variation term with the help of the prediction; specifically, the regret is \tilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) plus the prediction error term in the informative setting.
LGFeb 26, 2024
Achieving Instance-dependent Sample Complexity for Constrained Markov Decision ProcessJiashuo Jiang, Yinyu Ye
We consider the reinforcement learning problem for the constrained Markov decision process (CMDP), which plays a central role in satisfying safety or resource constraints in sequential learning and decision-making. In this problem, we are given finite resources and a MDP with unknown transition probabilities. At each stage, we take an action, collecting a reward and consuming some resources, all assumed to be unknown and need to be learned over time. In this work, we take the first step towards deriving optimal problem-dependent guarantees for the CMDP problems. We derive a logarithmic regret bound, which translates into a $O(\frac{1}{Δ\cdotε}\cdot\log^2(1/ε))$ sample complexity bound, with $Δ$ being a problem-dependent parameter, yet independent of $ε$. Our sample complexity bound improves upon the state-of-art $O(1/ε^2)$ sample complexity for CMDP problems established in the previous literature, in terms of the dependency on $ε$. To achieve this advance, we develop a new framework for analyzing CMDP problems. To be specific, our algorithm operates in the primal space and we resolve the primal LP for the CMDP problem at each period in an online manner, with adaptive remaining resource capacities. The key elements of our algorithm are: i) a characterization of the instance hardness via LP basis, ii) an eliminating procedure that identifies one optimal basis of the primal LP, and; iii) a resolving procedure that is adaptive to the remaining resources and sticks to the characterized optimal basis.
LGDec 13, 2020
Online Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Based Non-stationarityJiashuo Jiang, Xiaocheng Li, Jiawei Zhang
We consider a general online stochastic optimization problem with multiple budget constraints over a horizon of finite time periods. In each time period, a reward function and multiple cost functions are revealed, and the decision maker needs to specify an action from a convex and compact action set to collect the reward and consume the budget. Each cost function corresponds to the consumption of one budget. In each period, the reward and cost functions are drawn from an unknown distribution, which is non-stationary across time. The objective of the decision maker is to maximize the cumulative reward subject to the budget constraints. This formulation captures a wide range of applications including online linear programming and network revenue management, among others. In this paper, we consider two settings: (i) a data-driven setting where the true distribution is unknown but a prior estimate (possibly inaccurate) is available; (ii) an uninformative setting where the true distribution is completely unknown. We propose a unified Wasserstein-distance based measure to quantify the inaccuracy of the prior estimate in setting (i) and the non-stationarity of the system in setting (ii). We show that the proposed measure leads to a necessary and sufficient condition for the attainability of a sublinear regret in both settings. For setting (i), we propose a new algorithm, which takes a primal-dual perspective and integrates the prior information of the underlying distributions into an online gradient descent procedure in the dual space. The algorithm also naturally extends to the uninformative setting (ii). Under both settings, we show the corresponding algorithm achieves a regret of optimal order. In numerical experiments, we demonstrate how the proposed algorithms can be naturally integrated with the re-solving technique to further boost the empirical performance.