Jarmo Mäkelä

Anton Björklund, Jarmo Mäkelä, Kai Puolamäki

Existing methods for explaining black box learning models often focus on building local explanations of model behaviour for a particular data item. It is possible to create global explanations for all data items, but these explanations generally have low fidelity for complex black box models. We propose a new supervised manifold visualisation method, SLISEMAP, that simultaneously finds local explanations for all data items and builds a (typically) two-dimensional global visualisation of the black box model such that data items with similar local explanations are projected nearby. We provide a mathematical derivation of our problem and an open source implementation implemented using the GPU-optimised PyTorch library. We compare SLISEMAP to multiple popular dimensionality reduction methods and find that SLISEMAP is able to utilise labelled data to create embeddings with consistent local white box models. We also compare SLISEMAP to other model-agnostic local explanation methods and show that SLISEMAP provides comparable explanations and that the visualisations can give a broader understanding of black box regression and classification models.

Laila Melkas, Rafael Savvides, Suyog Chandramouli et al.

Causal structure discovery (CSD) models are making inroads into several domains, including Earth system sciences. Their widespread adaptation is however hampered by the fact that the resulting models often do not take into account the domain knowledge of the experts and that it is often necessary to modify the resulting models iteratively. We present a workflow that is required to take this knowledge into account and to apply CSD algorithms in Earth system sciences. At the same time, we describe open research questions that still need to be addressed. We present a way to interactively modify the outputs of the CSD algorithms and argue that the user interaction can be modelled as a greedy finding of the local maximum-a-posteriori solution of the likelihood function, which is composed of the likelihood of the causal model and the prior distribution representing the knowledge of the expert user. We use a real-world data set for examples constructed in collaboration with our co-authors, who are the domain area experts. We show that finding maximally usable causal models in the Earth system sciences or other similar domains is a difficult task which contains many interesting open research questions. We argue that taking the domain knowledge into account has a substantial effect on the final causal models discovered.