Andrew K. Thorpe

Vishal V. Batchu, Michelangelo Conserva, Alex Wilson et al.

Anthropogenic methane (CH4) point sources drive near-term climate forcing, safety hazards, and system inefficiencies. Space-based imaging spectroscopy is emerging as a tool for identifying emissions globally, but existing approaches largely rely on manual plume identification. Here we present the Methane Analysis and Plume Localization with EMIT (MAPL-EMIT) model, an end-to-end vision transformer framework that leverages the complete radiance spectrum from the Earth Surface Mineral Dust Source Investigation (EMIT) instrument to jointly retrieve methane enhancements across all pixels within a scene. This approach brings together spectral and spatial context to significantly lower detection limits. MAPL-EMIT simultaneously supports enhancement quantification, plume delineation, and source localization, even for multiple overlapping plumes. The model was trained on 3.6 million physics-based synthetic plumes injected into global EMIT radiance data. Synthetic evaluation confirms the model's ability to identify plumes with high recall and precision and to capture weaker plumes relative to existing matched-filter approaches. On real-world benchmarks, MAPL-EMIT captures 79% of known hand-annotated NASA L2B plume complexes across a test set of 1084 EMIT granules, while capturing twice as many plausible plumes than identified by human analysts. Further validation against coincident airborne data, top-emitting landfills, and controlled release experiments confirms the model's ability to identify previously uncaptured sources. By incorporating model-generated metrics such as spectral fit scores and estimated noise levels, the framework can further limit false-positive rates. Overall, MAPL-EMIT enables high-throughput implementation on the full EMIT catalog, shifting methane monitoring from labor-intensive workflows to a rapid, scalable paradigm for global plume mapping at the facility scale.

Brian D. Bue, Jake H. Lee, Andrew K. Thorpe et al.

Operational deployment of a fully automated greenhouse gas (GHG) plume detection system remains an elusive goal for imaging spectroscopy missions, despite recent advances in deep learning approaches. With the dramatic increase in data availability, however, automation continues to increase in importance for natural and anthropogenic emissions monitoring. This work reviews and addresses several key obstacles in the field: data and label quality control, prevention of spatiotemporal biases, and correctly aligned modeling objectives. We demonstrate through rigorous experiments using multicampaign data from airborne and spaceborne instruments that convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are able to achieve operational detection performance when these obstacles are alleviated. We demonstrate that a multitask model that learns both instance detection and pixelwise segmentation simultaneously can successfully lead towards an operational pathway. We evaluate the model's plume detectability across emission source types and regions, identifying thresholds for operational deployment. Finally, we provide analysis-ready data, models, and source code for reproducibility, and work to define a set of best practices and validation standards to facilitate future contributions to the field.

Vassiliki Mancoridis, Brian Bue, Jake H. Lee et al.

Prioritizing methane for near-term climate action is crucial due to its significant impact on global warming. Previous work used columnwise matched filter products from the airborne AVIRIS-NG imaging spectrometer to detect methane plume sources; convolutional neural networks (CNNs) discerned anthropogenic methane plumes from false positive enhancements. However, as an increasing number of remote sensing platforms are used for methane plume detection, there is a growing need to address cross-platform alignment. In this work, we describe model- and data-driven machine learning approaches that leverage airborne observations to improve spaceborne methane plume detection, reconciling the distributional shifts inherent with performing the same task across platforms. We develop a spaceborne methane plume classifier using data from the EMIT imaging spectroscopy mission. We refine classifiers trained on airborne imagery from AVIRIS-NG campaigns using transfer learning, outperforming the standalone spaceborne model. Finally, we use CycleGAN, an unsupervised image-to-image translation technique, to align the data distributions between airborne and spaceborne contexts. Translating spaceborne EMIT data to the airborne AVIRIS-NG domain using CycleGAN and applying airborne classifiers directly yields the best plume detection results. This methodology is useful not only for data simulation, but also for direct data alignment. Though demonstrated on the task of methane plume detection, our work more broadly demonstrates a data-driven approach to align related products obtained from distinct remote sensing instruments.