Christopher E. Denniston

Gautam Salhotra, Christopher E. Denniston, David A. Caron et al.

We investigate improving Monte Carlo Tree Search based solvers for Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs), when applied to adaptive sampling problems. We propose improvements in rollout allocation, the action exploration algorithm, and plan commitment. The first allocates a different number of rollouts depending on how many actions the agent has taken in an episode. We find that rollouts are more valuable after some initial information is gained about the environment. Thus, a linear increase in the number of rollouts, i.e. allocating a fixed number at each step, is not appropriate for adaptive sampling tasks. The second alters which actions the agent chooses to explore when building the planning tree. We find that by using knowledge of the number of rollouts allocated, the agent can more effectively choose actions to explore. The third improvement is in determining how many actions the agent should take from one plan. Typically, an agent will plan to take the first action from the planning tree and then call the planner again from the new state. Using statistical techniques, we show that it is possible to greatly reduce the number of rollouts by increasing the number of actions taken from a single planning tree without affecting the agent's final reward. Finally, we demonstrate experimentally, on simulated and real aquatic data from an underwater robot, that these improvements can be combined, leading to better adaptive sampling. The code for this work is available at https://github.com/uscresl/AdaptiveSamplingPOMCP

Isabel M. Rayas Fernández, Christopher E. Denniston, David A. Caron et al.

Scientists interested in studying natural phenomena often take physical specimens from locations in the environment for later analysis. These analysis locations are typically specified by expert heuristics. Instead, we propose to choose locations for scientific analysis by using a robot to perform an informative path planning survey. The survey results in a list of locations that correspond to the quantile values of the phenomenon of interest. We develop a robot planner using novel objective functions to improve the estimates of the quantile values over time and an approach to find locations which correspond to the quantile values. We test our approach in four different environments using previously collected aquatic data and validate it in a field trial. Our proposed approach to estimate quantiles has a 10.2% mean reduction in median error when compared to a baseline approach which attempts to maximize spatial coverage. Additionally, when localizing these values in the environment, we see a 15.7% mean reduction in median error when using cross-entropy with our loss function compared to a baseline.

Eric Heiden, Christopher E. Denniston, David Millard et al.

To accurately reproduce measurements from the real world, simulators need to have an adequate model of the physical system and require the parameters of the model be identified. We address the latter problem of estimating parameters through a Bayesian inference approach that approximates a posterior distribution over simulation parameters given real sensor measurements. By extending the commonly used Gaussian likelihood model for trajectories via the multiple-shooting formulation, our chosen particle-based inference algorithm Stein Variational Gradient Descent is able to identify highly nonlinear, underactuated systems. We leverage GPU code generation and differentiable simulation to evaluate the likelihood and its gradient for many particles in parallel. Our algorithm infers non-parametric distributions over simulation parameters more accurately than comparable baselines and handles constraints over parameters efficiently through gradient-based optimization. We evaluate estimation performance on several physical experiments. On an underactuated mechanism where a 7-DOF robot arm excites an object with an unknown mass configuration, we demonstrate how our inference technique can identify symmetries between the parameters and provide highly accurate predictions. Project website: https://uscresl.github.io/prob-diff-sim