Chrysafis Vogiatzis

SI
3papers
Novelty23%
AI Score29

3 Papers

2.0SIMay 14
Betweenness Central Nodes Under Uncertainty: An Absorbing Markov Chain Approach

Wencheng Bao, Eleftheria Kontou, Chrysafis Vogiatzis

We propose a betweenness centrality measure and algorithms for stochastic networks, where edges can fail and weights vary across realizations, making the most central node random. Our approach models the sequence of reported central nodes as an absorbing Markov chain and measures node importance by the share of pre-absorption time spent at each node. This produces a way to study centrality under uncertainty, which can then be estimated with Monte Carlo simulation. We also analyze robustness when the transition kernel is only approximately known, using row-wise perturbations to assess sensitivity and potential ranking changes. The framework further admits extensions to weighted rewards and restricted candidate sets without altering the Markov chain formulation. Experiments on Erdős-Rényi, Watts-Strogatz, and Les Misérables networks with stochastic edges show that the method identifies a small set of dominant nodes, reveals stable versus sensitive rankings under perturbations, and supports reward-based and structure-constrained variants.

LGNov 30, 2021
Solving reward-collecting problems with UAVs: a comparison of online optimization and Q-learning

Yixuan Liu, Chrysafis Vogiatzis, Ruriko Yoshida et al.

Uncrewed autonomous vehicles (UAVs) have made significant contributions to reconnaissance and surveillance missions in past US military campaigns. As the prevalence of UAVs increases, there has also been improvements in counter-UAV technology that makes it difficult for them to successfully obtain valuable intelligence within an area of interest. Hence, it has become important that modern UAVs can accomplish their missions while maximizing their chances of survival. In this work, we specifically study the problem of identifying a short path from a designated start to a goal, while collecting all rewards and avoiding adversaries that move randomly on the grid. We also provide a possible application of the framework in a military setting, that of autonomous casualty evacuation. We present a comparison of three methods to solve this problem: namely we implement a Deep Q-Learning model, an $\varepsilon$-greedy tabular Q-Learning model, and an online optimization framework. Our computational experiments, designed using simple grid-world environments with random adversaries showcase how these approaches work and compare them in terms of performance, accuracy, and computational time.

SINov 26, 2021
SARS-CoV-2 Dissemination using a Network of the United States Counties

Patrick Urrutia, David Wren, Chrysafis Vogiatzis et al.

During 2020 and 2021, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission has been increasing amongst the world's population at an alarming rate. Reducing the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and other diseases that are spread in similar manners is paramount for public health officials as they seek to effectively manage resources and potential population control measures such as social distancing and quarantines. By analyzing the United States' county network structure, one can model and interdict potential higher infection areas. County officials can provide targeted information, preparedness training, as well as increase testing in these areas. While these approaches may provide adequate countermeasures for localized areas, they are inadequate for the holistic United States. We solve this problem by collecting coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections and deaths from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention{\color{black},} and {\color{black} adjacency between all counties obtained} from the United States Census Bureau. Generalized network autoregressive (GNAR) time series models have been proposed as an efficient learning algorithm for networked datasets. This work fuses network science and operations research techniques to univariately model COVID-19 cases, deaths, and current survivors across the United States' county network structure.